Saturday 31 October 2026
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Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
HGV Consumer Cyclical Resorts & Casinos
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $5.0 billion, up 1.33% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 7.27%, EPS fell 42.3%, free cash flow grew 318.5% and total debt rose 9.88%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue growth for five consecutive years.
38.29
2.58
+7.22%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Ten-year view | Analyst estimates Powerpack | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend | 10 yrs | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e | Next 3/yr |
| Price, $ | |||||||||||||||||
| Price, $ | Low | 25.36 | 24.60 | 24.17 | 24.83 | 8.28 | 28.88 | 32.12 | 33.14 | 33.21 | 30.59 | +2.1% | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | |
| High | 28.25 | 43.19 | 47.75 | 36.56 | 35.07 | 56.33 | 55.23 | 51.81 | 49.02 | 52.08 | +7.0% | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ||
| People | |||||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 7,750 | 8,000 | 309,000 | 326,000 | 328,000 | 333,000 | 13,000 | 15,000 | 21,800 | 22,300 | +12.5% | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | |
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.30 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 0.23 | +1.1% | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ||
| Income, $m | |||||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 1,583 | 1,711 | 1,999 | 1,838 | 894 | 2,335 | 3,835 | 3,978 | 4,981 | 5,047 | +13.7% | 5,588 | 5,769 | 5,818 | +4.9% | |
| Gross margin, % | 32.79 | 32.55 | 34.27 | 31.45 | 17.00 | 36.62 | 40.99 | 40.60 | 37.16 | 35.61 | +2.8 pt | ||||||
| EBT | 293 | 311 | 403 | 273 | (280) | 269 | 481 | 449 | 136 | 175 | (5.6%) | ||||||
| EBT margin, % | 18.51 | 18.18 | 20.16 | 14.85 | (31.32) | 11.52 | 12.54 | 11.29 | 2.73 | 3.47 | (15.0) pt | ||||||
| Net income | 168 | 327 | 298 | 216 | (201) | 176 | 352 | 313 | 60 | 99 | (5.7%) | ||||||
| Depreciation | 29 | 34 | 43 | 61 | 63 | 165 | 296 | 246 | 351 | 346 | +31.7% | ||||||
| Per share, $ | |||||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 15.99 | 17.28 | 20.61 | 20.65 | 10.52 | 23.42 | 32.50 | 36.13 | 48.88 | 56.14 | +15.0% | |||||
| Earnings | 1.70 | 3.30 | 3.07 | 2.43 | (2.36) | 1.77 | 2.98 | 2.84 | 0.46 | 0.90 | (6.8%) | ||||||
| Cash flow | 1.84 | 3.60 | (1.69) | 1.61 | 0.93 | 1.69 | 6.33 | 2.83 | 3.03 | 3.34 | +6.8% | ||||||
| Capex | (0.34) | (0.47) | (0.60) | (0.69) | (0.36) | (0.39) | (0.82) | (0.68) | (1.24) | (1.62) | +18.8% | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 1.49 | 3.12 | (2.29) | 0.92 | 0.56 | 1.29 | 5.51 | 2.15 | 1.80 | 1.71 | +1.5% | ||||||
| Book value | 1.69 | 5.23 | 6.35 | 6.40 | 4.40 | 19.94 | 18.23 | 19.21 | 18.60 | 16.02 | +28.4% | ||||||
| Shares, m | 99 | 99 | 97 | 89 | 85 | 100 | 118 | 110 | 102 | 90 | (1.1%) | ||||||
| Valuation, × | |||||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 15.11 | 12.59 | 8.57 | 14.09 | 0.00 | 33.19 | 13.04 | 14.60 | 84.67 | 48.12 | 24.4 | |||||
| P/S | 1.60 | 2.40 | 1.28 | 1.67 | 2.98 | 2.23 | 1.18 | 1.15 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 1.6 | ||||||
| P/B | 15.16 | 7.94 | 4.16 | 5.37 | 7.13 | 2.61 | 2.11 | 2.16 | 2.09 | 2.79 | 5.2 | ||||||
| EV/Sales | 2.25 | 2.85 | 1.87 | 2.44 | 4.55 | 3.74 | 2.02 | 2.06 | 2.03 | 2.12 | 2.6 | ||||||
| EV/FCF | 24.09 | 15.80 | (16.86) | 54.68 | 84.66 | 67.76 | 11.90 | 34.58 | 55.31 | 69.57 | 40.1 | ||||||
| Cash, $m | |||||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 182 | 356 | (164) | 143 | 79 | 168 | 747 | 312 | 309 | 300 | +5.7% | |||||
| Capex | (34) | (47) | (58) | (61) | (31) | (39) | (97) | (75) | (126) | (146) | +17.6% | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 148 | 309 | (222) | 82 | 48 | 129 | 650 | 237 | 183 | 154 | +0.4% | ||||||
| Balance, $m | |||||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | 1,478 | 1,546 | 1,555 | 1,627 | 1,952 | 3,199 | 2,835 | 3,774 | 4,980 | 5,232 | +15.1% | |||||
| Total debt | 1,184 | 1,065 | 1,363 | 1,575 | 1,925 | 4,241 | 3,753 | 4,515 | 6,919 | 7,261 | +22.3% | ||||||
| Net debt | 1,033 | 768 | 1,183 | 1,423 | 1,399 | 3,546 | 3,198 | 3,630 | 6,153 | 6,690 | +23.1% | ||||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 167 | 518 | 616 | 570 | 374 | 1,988 | 2,151 | 2,115 | 1,895 | 1,440 | +27.0% | ||||||
| Returns, % | |||||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 8.61 | 14.33 | 11.60 | 7.41 | (6.47) | 3.16 | 4.40 | 3.75 | 0.47 | 0.70 | (7.9) pt | |||||
| ROIC | 16.82 | 16.38 | 15.08 | 9.88 | (8.64) | 4.40 | 7.14 | 6.67 | 3.56 | 3.54 | (13.3) pt | ||||||
| ROE | 550.82 | 95.47 | 52.56 | 36.42 | (42.58) | 14.90 | 17.01 | 14.67 | 2.34 | 4.86 | (546.0) pt | ||||||
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. vs peers in Resorts & Casinos (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CZR Caesars Entertainment, Inc. | $5.9B | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +2.96% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +29.79% (above 0%: growing) | 53.26% | 17.14% | Compare |
| MTN Vail Resorts, Inc. | $5.5B | 39.2× | 26.2× | +2.50% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +29.42% (above 0%: growing) | (8.85%) | (75.09%) | Compare |
| RRR Red Rock Resorts, Inc. | $5.2B | 16.9× | 23.9× | −3.04% (below 0%: shrinking) | −29.17% (below 0%: shrinking) | −76.90% (below 0%: shrinking) | 61.83% | 26.65% | Compare |
| BYD Boyd Gaming Corporation | $5.1B | 3.2× | 10.7× | +0.04% (above 0%: growing) | −4.89% (below 0%: shrinking) | −235.57% (below 0%: shrinking) | 50.29% | 19.40% | Compare |
| VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation | $4.0B | — (loss-making) | 14.5× | +5.94% (above 0%: growing) | +11.62% (above 0%: growing) | +123.53% (above 0%: growing) | 90.83% | 12.20% | Compare |
| HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. | $2.8B | 21.5× | 12.0× | +7.27% (above 0%: growing) | −42.31% (below 0%: shrinking) | +318.52% (above 0%: growing) | 36.75% | 6.70% | |
| PENN PENN Entertainment, Inc. | $2.1B | — (loss-making) | 15.1× | +5.24% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +9,546.15% (above 0%: growing) | 37.18% | 7.09% | Compare |
| MCRI Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. | $2.0B | 17.3× | 16.5× | +4.15% (above 0%: growing) | +23.81% (above 0%: growing) | −1.37% (below 0%: shrinking) | 55.71% | 27.09% | Compare |
| MLCO Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited | $1.5B | 6.5× | 11.3× | −5.72% (below 0%: shrinking) | +50.00% (above 0%: growing) | +513.61% (above 0%: growing) | 34.83% | 10.20% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $4.6B | 16.9× | 15.1× | +2.73% | +11.62% | +29.61% | 51.77% | 14.67% |
Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 17 March 2026
Chief executive’s pay
| Year | Total pay | Actually paid | $100 invested |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14.07m | 19.13m | 114.89 |
| 2024 | 14.03m | 11.40m | 96.94 |
| 2023 | 9.79m | 6.73m | 104.26 |
| 2022 | 10.61m | 7.23m | 73.96 |
| 2021 | 17.46m | 24.44m | 166.22 |
Ownership
Directors and executive officers, together
3.10%
Apollo Global Management
22.50%
BlackRock, Inc.
11.30%
The Vanguard Group, Inc.
9.20%
CAS Investment Partners, LLC
8.30%
Hill Path Capital Partners II L.P.
8.00%
North Peak Capital Management, LLC
7.50%
FMR LLC
5.50%
Total pay is as the Summary Compensation Table states it; actually paid revalues the year’s share awards
at its end, as the SEC’s pay-versus-performance rule asks. $100 invested is what $100 in the company’s
shares at the start of the earliest year shown was worth at each year’s end.
Ownership is the proxy’s own table: the directors and officers as a group, and every holder of 5% or more.
Read the proxy statement