| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | 8 | — | 8 | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.66 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 0.50 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.63 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.50 |
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.37 |
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.33 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.31 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.29 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.28 |
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 0.25 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 0.21 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 102.89 | 114.44 | 99.05 | 110.35 |
| Receivables | 312.43 | 312.77 | 290.81 | 201.70 |
| Inventory | 507.13 | 425.49 | 440.77 | 185.53 |
| Other | 58.00 | 14.53 | 5.61 | — |
| 980.59 | 929.48 | 890.59 | 723.61 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 116.65 | 119.35 | 137.48 | 90.98 |
| ST’ Debt | 42.00 | — | — | — |
| Other | 177.00 | — | — | — |
| 359.15 | 348.99 | 334.56 | 300.19 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Dec | Mar | Jun | Sep | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 649.09 | 421.86 | 481.37 | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 632.37 | 426.68 | 449.69 | 1,011.18 |
2,519.93
|
| ’24 | 643.15 | 672.88 | 647.81 | 659.67 |
2,623.52
|
| ’23 | 649.38 | 710.98 | 683.43 | 641.39 |
2,685.18
|
| ’22 | 591.75 | 779.62 | 768.18 | 708.94 |
2,848.49
|
| ’21 | 541.52 | 574.68 | 584.22 | 570.20 |
2,270.63
|
| ’20 | 548.44 | 566.35 | 632.06 | 319.70 |
2,066.55
|
| Dec | Mar | Jun | Sep | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 106.99 | 11.32 | 99.63 | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 142.92 | (3.22) | 94.82 | 122.92 |
357.44
|
| ’24 | 146.06 | 39.80 | 122.08 | 72.10 |
380.04
|
| ’23 | 75.48 | 86.16 | 147.37 | 122.76 |
431.77
|
| ’22 | (85.00) | (88.37) | 108.37 | 124.24 |
59.24
|
| ’21 | 12.32 | (56.73) | 57.73 | 56.49 |
69.81
|
| ’20 | (18.17) | (42.67) | 116.79 | 50.94 |
106.89
|
| Dec | Mar | Jun | Sep | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 99.33 | 1.33 | 93.55 | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 142.69 | (28.93) | 88.26 | 120.99 |
323.01
|
| ’24 | 132.52 | 21.33 | 119.82 | 52.46 |
326.12
|
| ’23 | 82.57 | 79.06 | 139.03 | 88.46 |
389.12
|
| ’22 | (95.55) | (99.82) | 96.94 | 115.27 |
16.84
|
| ’21 | 3.35 | (65.51) | 50.65 | 44.61 |
33.09
|
| ’20 | (31.16) | (51.91) | 104.60 | 44.54 |
66.07
|
| Dec | Mar | Jun | Sep | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1.41 | 0.42 | 1.14 | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1.49 | 1.21 | (2.65) | 0.95 |
1.09
|
| ’24 | 0.82 | 1.28 | 0.84 | 1.29 |
4.23
|
| ’23 | 0.88 | (1.17) | 0.90 | 0.79 |
1.42
|
| ’22 | 0.36 | 1.23 | 2.60 | (8.00) |
(3.71)
|
| ’21 | 0.55 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.30 |
1.48
|
| ’20 | 0.24 | 0.02 | 0.50 | 0.41 |
1.19
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 17.56 | 25.97 | 55.01 | 63.92 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 37.69 | 62.45 | 86.73 | 84.24 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6,200 | 5,700 | 5,300 | 5,100 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.46 | 0.47 | 0.50 | 0.49 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,848.49 | 2,685.18 | 2,623.52 | 2,519.93 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 32.89% | 35.34% | 38.88% | 41.99% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (270.88) | 112.68 | 296.65 | 127.37 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (9.51%) | 4.20% | 11.31% | 5.05% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (191.56) | 77.62 | 209.90 | 51.11 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 68.43 | 178.88 | 64.91 | 310.80 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 55.13 | 51.53 | 55.15 | 55.56 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | (3.71) | 1.49 | 4.41 | 1.13 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.15 | 8.29 | 7.99 | 7.88 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.82) | (0.82) | (1.13) | (0.76) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.33 | 7.47 | 6.86 | 7.12 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.24 | 6.05 | 4.73 | 1.63 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 51.67 | 52.11 | 47.57 | 45.35 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 25.84 | 15.87 | 67.99 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.54 | 0.77 | 1.27 | 1.37 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.19 | 6.54 | 14.81 | 46.69 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.06 | 1.29 | 1.82 | 1.91 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 178.73 | 8.89 | 14.64 | 14.86 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 59.24 | 431.77 | 380.04 | 357.44 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (42.40) | (42.64) | (53.92) | (34.43) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 16.84 | 389.12 | 326.12 | 323.01 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 791.09 | 621.44 | 580.49 | 556.04 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,605.00 | 1,501.90 | 1,515.90 | 1,404.39 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,484.81 | 1,399.02 | 1,401.46 | 1,305.34 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 477.57 | 315.24 | 224.89 | 73.97 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (7.07%) | 2.97% | 8.76% | 2.31% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (6.02%) | 7.18% | 15.31% | 9.35% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (29.82%) | 19.58% | 77.72% | 34.20% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Griffon Corporation (GFF) has transformed from a diversified manufacturer into a streamlined home and building products powerhouse, driven by the $1.2 billion Clopay acquisition and strategic divestitures like the $345 million Pompano sale. Revenue peaked at $2.85 billion in 2022 before an 8% drop to $2.62 billion in 2024, with forecasts signaling further contraction to $1.86 billion by 2028 amid housing cycles—yet gross margins are projected to hit 42% by 2025, EPS to surge 66% to $7.31, and free cash flow per share has exploded 1,200% since 2016 to $6.86. Stock performance reflects this: a rally from $9-10 pandemic lows to recent $55-86 highs, decoupling from softening revenue on margin expansion and 15.3% ROIC.
Profitability metrics shine—EBT margins from 2.2% to 11.3%, net income up 599% to $210 million—bolstered by pricing power, cost controls, and an 8.4% share reduction via buybacks. However, balance sheet red flags persist: net debt at $1.4 billion, book value per share plummeting 90% to $1.63 by 2025, and elevated multiples (68x PE, 46.7x PB) amid recent insider selling totaling $1.73 million. These tensions correlate with volatility, as shares tripled on past EPS spikes but face risks from leverage and execution in a rate-sensitive environment.
Analysts project mid-teens upside to targets (15-25%), positioning GFF as a cash-generative compounder akin to post-restructuring industrials—if revenue stabilizes and synergies hold. High EV/FCF at 14.6x offers value below means, but housing weakness and refinancing hurdles demand caution. Dive into the full analysis for correlated trends, probabilistic scenarios, and quantitative valuation models.
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