| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 |
| Sell | — | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 0.40 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 0.40 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.32 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.32 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.29 |
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.25 |
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.25 |
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.21 |
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.21 |
—
—
|
| 2017 | 0.17 |
—
—
|
| 2016 | 0.16 |
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 9.02 | 6.51 | 1.24 | 12.73 |
| Receivables | 138.11 | 151.55 | 341.83 | 379.98 |
| Inventory | 213.53 | 187.42 | 261.15 | 331.33 |
| Other | 45.19 | 135.42 | 247.04 | 258.87 |
| 408.95 | 488.21 | 869.18 | 995.02 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 27.48 | 44.65 | 110.44 | 171.72 |
| ST’ Debt | — | 16.00 | — | — |
| Other | 13.76 | 14.91 | 80.67 | 12.75 |
| 126.75 | 174.91 | 330.86 | 330.27 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 496.94 | 626.98 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 322.05 | 311.57 | 384.24 | 424.22 |
1,442.08
|
| ’24 | 262.10 | 313.57 | 327.25 | 297.72 |
1,200.64
|
| ’23 | 265.95 | 283.96 | 311.97 | 306.64 |
1,168.52
|
| ’22 | 182.77 | 208.81 | 242.61 | 254.60 |
888.79
|
| ’21 | 115.79 | 143.88 | 138.57 | 136.28 |
534.52
|
| ’20 | 137.48 | 125.60 | 134.77 | 116.70 |
514.55
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 33.99 | 20.97 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (9.21) | (21.83) | 12.26 | 19.32 |
0.53
|
| ’24 | 92.37 | 35.54 | 63.78 | 0.85 |
192.53
|
| ’23 | 4.82 | 55.12 | 47.21 | 51.75 |
158.90
|
| ’22 | (6.80) | 5.22 | 44.99 | 17.90 |
61.32
|
| ’21 | 28.84 | 34.07 | 11.79 | (13.52) |
61.18
|
| ’20 | 37.60 | 25.17 | 34.23 | 31.82 |
128.81
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (17.29) | (28.66) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (59.61) | (60.94) | (36.89) | (46.87) |
(204.32)
|
| ’24 | 53.64 | (1.15) | 25.41 | (98.49) |
(20.59)
|
| ’23 | (24.01) | 23.43 | 24.96 | 25.16 |
49.53
|
| ’22 | (20.83) | (29.96) | 30.64 | 5.47 |
(14.69)
|
| ’21 | 12.43 | 17.32 | 2.33 | (26.25) |
5.84
|
| ’20 | 15.78 | 13.53 | 18.79 | 12.97 |
61.07
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 0.48 | 0.68 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.35 | 0.19 | 0.37 | 0.39 |
1.29
|
| ’24 | 0.46 | 0.62 | 0.63 | 0.30 |
2.02
|
| ’23 | 0.45 | 0.55 | 0.58 | 0.56 |
2.13
|
| ’22 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 0.34 | 0.47 |
1.24
|
| ’21 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.19 | 0.07 |
0.73
|
| ’20 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.23 |
0.99
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 31.67 | 46.87 | 68.38 | 62.00 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 55.33 | 75.24 | 144.07 | 137.90 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,666 | 3,856 | 4,812 | 5,897 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.24 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.24 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 888.79 | 1,168.52 | 1,200.64 | 1,442.08 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 26.73% | 34.15% | 33.07% | 26.75% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 124.53 | 223.15 | 206.59 | 128.75 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14.01% | 19.10% | 17.21% | 8.93% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 100.38 | 177.62 | 168.56 | 107.59 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 35.47 | 46.87 | 63.08 | 79.75 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 11.17 | 14.40 | 14.74 | 17.69 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.26 | 2.19 | 2.07 | 1.32 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.77 | 1.96 | 2.36 | 0.01 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.96) | (1.35) | (2.62) | (2.51) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.18) | 0.61 | (0.25) | (2.51) | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.05 | 9.06 | 10.12 | 10.98 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 79.58 | 81.16 | 81.47 | 81.53 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 39.59 | 33.74 | 56.85 | 57.77 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.47 | 5.13 | 7.99 | 4.31 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.08 | 8.16 | 11.63 | 6.95 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.54 | 5.16 | 8.11 | 4.60 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (274.71) | 110.15 | (472.76) | (32.45) | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 61.32 | 158.90 | 192.53 | 0.53 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (76.01) | (109.36) | (213.13) | (204.85) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (14.69) | 49.53 | (20.59) | (204.32) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 203.55 | 282.21 | 313.31 | 538.33 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 72.26 | 38.33 | 154.89 | 398.32 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 66.31 | 29.31 | 148.38 | 397.08 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 560.71 | 735.22 | 824.58 | 894.99 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.71% | 20.24% | 15.93% | 7.52% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.64% | 18.60% | 13.43% | 7.07% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 19.55% | 27.41% | 21.61% | 12.51% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
AAON, Inc., a premier HVAC manufacturer for commercial and industrial sectors, has delivered explosive growth, with revenue tripling from $384 million in 2016 to $1.20 billion in 2024 at a 17% CAGR—outpacing the S&P 500 Industrials average. This surge, fueled by post-pandemic construction in data centers, healthcare, and education, aligned with a new Oklahoma facility and employee headcount doubling to nearly 5,000. Analyst forecasts paint an even brighter picture: revenue climbing 46% above 2024 levels by 2027 to $1.81 billion, with EPS potentially doubling to $22.16 amid AI-driven cooling demands.
Profitability remains resilient, with gross margins up to 33% and ROE averaging 22%, though 2024 saw a net income dip and negative free cash flow from $213 million in capex for expansions—pushing net debt higher but still conservative. Valuation looks compelling today, with shares near recent lows, trailing PE at 57x (premium to peers but backed by growth), and models signaling 15-24% upside. Insider net selling (24x buys in dollar terms, led by CEO) and capex risks temper enthusiasm, yet quantitative screens rank AAON top-decile for industrials.
Positioned for hyperscale data center wins in a $200 billion annual AI infrastructure boom, AAON offers discounted growth potential—72% odds of 20%+ returns in 12-24 months per backtests. Watch Q1 2026 earnings for capex payoff amid macro headwinds like rates and construction slowdowns.
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