Friday 6 November 2026
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National Vision Holdings, Inc.
EYE Consumer Cyclical Specialty Retail
National Vision Holdings, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $2.0 billion, up 9.00% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +2.55%
- EPS
- +45.5%
- Free cash flow
- −133.2%
- Total debt
- −12.7%
Quarter to June 2026, against a year earlier
17.78
0.16
−0.89%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Ten-year view | Analyst estimates Powerpack | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM Jun ’26 | Trend | 10 yrs | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e | Next 3/yr |
| Income, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 1,196 | 1,375 | 1,537 | 1,724 | 1,712 | 2,080 | 1,645 | 1,756 | 1,823 | 1,987 | 2,033 | +5.8% | 2,058 | 2,162 | 2,329 | +5.4% | |
| Gross margin, % | 54.46 | 53.69 | 53.57 | 53.23 | 54.05 | 56.49 | 59.40 | 58.17 | 58.10 | 58.77 | 58.62 | +4.3 pt | ||||||
| EBT | 25 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 39 | 149 | 52 | 10 | (26) | 42 | 68 | +5.9% | ||||||
| EBT margin, % | 2.09 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 1.77 | 2.26 | 7.18 | 3.18 | 0.54 | (1.41) | 2.10 | 3.36 | 0.0 pt | ||||||
| Net income | 13 | 43 | 24 | 33 | 36 | 128 | 42 | (66) | (28) | 30 | 50 | +9.3% | ||||||
| Per share, $ | ||||||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 21.29 | 22.96 | 20.25 | 21.94 | 21.25 | 25.42 | 20.60 | 22.43 | 23.20 | 25.12 | 25.56 | +1.9% | |||||
| Earnings | 0.24 | 0.77 | 0.31 | 0.42 | 0.45 | 1.57 | 0.53 | (0.84) | (0.36) | 0.37 | 0.63 | +5.0% | ||||||
| Cash flow | 1.74 | 1.51 | 1.40 | 2.10 | 2.92 | 3.16 | 1.49 | 2.21 | 1.70 | 1.85 | 1.63 | +0.7% | ||||||
| Capex | (1.60) | (1.56) | (1.38) | (1.29) | (0.95) | (1.17) | (1.42) | (1.47) | (1.22) | (0.92) | (1.01) | (6.0%) | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 0.13 | (0.05) | 0.03 | 0.81 | 1.96 | 2.00 | 0.07 | 0.74 | 0.49 | 0.93 | 0.62 | +23.9% | ||||||
| Book value | 7.15 | 10.93 | 9.79 | 9.88 | 11.25 | 11.32 | 11.29 | 10.59 | 10.39 | 10.99 | 11.28 | +4.9% | ||||||
| Shares, m | 56 | 60 | 76 | 79 | 81 | 82 | 80 | 78 | 79 | 79 | 79 | +3.9% | ||||||
| Valuation, × | ||||||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 77.16 | 56.17 | 80.49 | 78.11 | 102.93 | 30.57 | 76.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.78 | 28.22 | 57.2 | |||||
| P/S | 1.16 | 1.75 | 1.39 | 1.48 | 2.13 | 1.89 | 1.93 | 0.95 | 0.45 | 1.03 | 0.70 | 1.4 | ||||||
| P/B | 6.17 | 3.68 | 2.88 | 3.28 | 4.03 | 4.24 | 3.52 | 2.01 | 1.00 | 2.35 | 1.58 | 3.3 | ||||||
| EV/Sales | 1.82 | 2.16 | 1.76 | 1.79 | 2.30 | 2.02 | 2.13 | 1.12 | 0.60 | 1.13 | 0.79 | 1.7 | ||||||
| EV/FCF | 199.24 | (1,003.37) | 1,264.19 | 48.30 | 24.85 | 25.64 | 620.38 | 33.91 | 28.71 | 30.64 | 32.93 | 127.2 | ||||||
| Cash, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 98 | 90 | 107 | 165 | 235 | 259 | 119 | 173 | 134 | 146 | 130 | +4.6% | |||||
| Capex | (90) | (93) | (104) | (101) | (77) | (96) | (114) | (115) | (96) | (73) | (81) | (2.3%) | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 8 | (3) | 2 | 64 | 158 | 163 | 6 | 58 | 38 | 73 | 49 | +28.7% | ||||||
| Balance, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | (52) | (49) | 3 | (39) | 238 | 171 | 130 | (1) | (218) | (187) | (156) | +15.2% | |||||
| Net debt | 741 | 565 | 561 | 530 | 281 | 264 | 338 | 311 | 276 | 207 | 202 | (13.2%) | ||||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 402 | 655 | 743 | 776 | 907 | 926 | 901 | 829 | 816 | 870 | 897 | +9.0% | ||||||
| Returns, % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 0.89 | 2.77 | 1.46 | 1.78 | 1.66 | 5.54 | 1.84 | (2.95) | (1.36) | 1.48 | 2.54 | +0.6 pt | |||||
| ROIC | 3.50 | 3.29 | 2.03 | 3.52 | 4.58 | 9.19 | 2.66 | 1.34 | (0.59) | 3.41 | 4.71 | (0.1) pt | ||||||
| ROE | 3.39 | 8.17 | 3.38 | 4.32 | 4.31 | 14.00 | 4.61 | (7.62) | (3.46) | 3.51 | 5.75 | +0.1 pt | ||||||
| People | ||||||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 10,360 | 10,902 | 10,668 | 11,781 | 12,792 | 13,735 | 13,975 | 13,998 | 13,411 | 13,138 | — | +2.7% | |||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.15 | — | +3.0% | ||||||
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026
National Vision Holdings, Inc. vs peers in Specialty Retail (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RH RH | $2.6B | 23.3× | 21.6× | +2.56% (above 0%: growing) | +15.22% (above 0%: growing) | +23.83% (above 0%: growing) | 48.24% | 11.67% | Compare |
| BOBS Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc. | $2.5B | 16.7× | 15.4× | +19.47% (above 0%: growing) | +0.03% (above 0%: growing) | +685.84% (above 0%: growing) | 46.45% | 8.68% | Compare |
| ARHS Arhaus, Inc. | $1.8B | 27.5× | 23.2× | +6.83% (above 0%: growing) | −33.33% (below 0%: shrinking) | +303.70% (above 0%: growing) | 39.23% | 2.74% | Compare |
| SBH Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. | $1.8B | 9.4× | 8.8× | +0.23% (above 0%: growing) | +23.91% (above 0%: growing) | +25.44% (above 0%: growing) | 52.41% | 9.24% | Compare |
| EYE National Vision Holdings, Inc. | $1.4B | 28.2× | 23.8× | +2.55% (above 0%: growing) | +45.45% (above 0%: growing) | −133.21% (below 0%: shrinking) | 58.23% | 4.27% | |
| SVV Savers Value Village, Inc. | $1.4B | 22.5× | 21.7× | +8.47% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +563.29% (above 0%: growing) | 56.89% | 9.83% | Compare |
| HZO MarineMax, Inc. | $1.2B | — (loss-making) | 254× | −5.80% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | +0.54% (above 0%: growing) | 37.36% | (0.33%) | Compare |
| WINA Winmark Corporation | $956.0M | 23.1× | 25.7× | +23.23% (above 0%: growing) | +5.11% (above 0%: growing) | +3.89% (above 0%: growing) | 82.89% | 56.60% | Compare |
| WOOF Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. | $853.5M | 27.1× | 15.9× | +0.05% (above 0%: growing) | +180.00% (above 0%: growing) | +136.50% (above 0%: growing) | 39.70% | 3.21% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $1.6B | 23.1× | 21.7× | +4.70% | +10.17% | +80.97% | 47.35% | 8.96% |
Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 4 May 2026
Ownership
Directors and executive officers, together
2.40%
BlackRock, Inc.
14.40%
The Vanguard Group
13.00%
Wellington Management
7.30%
William Blair Investment Management, LLC
6.20%
Ownership is the proxy’s own table: the directors and officers as a group, and every holder of 5% or more.
Read the proxy statement