Churchill Downs, Incorporated

CHDN Consumer Cyclical Gambling

Churchill Downs, Incorporated’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $2.9 billion, up 7.01% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 4.93%, EPS grew 13.6%, free cash flow grew 2.58% and total debt fell 4.64%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Dividend growth for twenty-five consecutive years, revenue growth for five.

81.70 0.45 −0.55%
Market cap
$5.7B
P/E
14.0×
Fwd P/E
12.1×
Dividend yield
0.54%
F-score
6/9
Altman Z
1.59
Beneish M
−2.74
Dividend safety
74/100

Insider Decisions trades per month

Dec 25 Mar 26 Jun 26 Sep 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — — — — — — — — — — —
Insider Ownership 7.03%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Market Cap 5,730.00
Revenue 2,991.90
Net Income 415.50
Free Cash Flow 567.90
Net Debt 4,478.00
Current Ratio 0.36 (below 1: weak)
Debt/Equity 3.56 (above 2: weak)
P/E ratio 13.99
Fwd P/E 12.10
P/S ratio 1.91
P/B ratio 4.26
Past 5Y EPS Growth —
This Y EPS Growth 12.48%
Next Y EPS Growth 6.22%
Next Y revenue growth 3.35%
Next 5Y EPS Growth 10.50%

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

P/E against its own 10 years 9.79%
10-year low 10-year high
P/S against its own 10 years 0.74%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 14.19%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 4.83%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/FCF against its own 10 years 29.42%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Payout Ratio 0.08
Annual Dividend Rate 0.44
Annual Dividend Yield 0.54%
total individual payouts
2028 Powerpack
2027 Powerpack
2026 Powerpack
2025 0.44
0.44
2024 0.41
0.41
2023 0.38
0.38
2022 0.36
0.36
2021 0.33
0.33
2020 0.31
0.31
2019 0.29
0.29
2018 0.27
0.27
2017 0.25
0.25
2016 0.22
0.22
predictions special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 222 253 289 295
Receivables 120 113 111 129
Inventory — — — —
Other 60 46 44 60
401 412 443 484
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 159 180 184 261
ST’ Debt 68 63 63 663
Other — — — —
756 729 733 1,359

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales 13.87% 22.65% 17.37%
Cash Flow 11.27% 39.99% 14.65%
Earnings 19.37% 0.00% (4.48%)
Book Value 5.05% 22.43% 22.33%

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 663 980 — — —
’25 643 934 683 666 2,926
’24 591 891 629 624 2,734
’23 560 769 573 561 2,462
’22 364 583 383 480 1,810
’21 324 515 393 365 1,597
’20 253 185 338 278 1,054
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 295 217 — — —
’25 247 240 187 96 770
’24 255 217 169 131 772
’23 216 187 96 107 605
’22 135 246 44 86 511
’21 104 230 57 69 460
’20 44 33 62 5 143
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 236 159 — — —
’25 167 155 (58) 46 310
’24 100 80 44 1 225
’23 277 9 (89) (72) 125
’22 80 413 (86) (73) 333
’21 92 213 34 29 368
’20 (5) (50) (17) (19) (91)
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 1.16 3.42 — — —
’25 1.02 2.99 0.54 0.71 5.29
’24 1.08 2.79 0.86 0.95 5.68
’23 2.05 1.86 0.79 0.76 5.49
’22 0.54 4.40 0.75 0.02 5.71
’21 0.46 1.38 0.79 0.56 3.18
’20 (0.29) (1.50) 0.54 0.22 (1.04)
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

1.2
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Trend 2026e 2027e 2028e
Price, $
Price, $ Low 19.79 23.50 37.21 38.69 26.45 87.51 86.38 104.32 111.10 85.58

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
High 26.19 39.92 52.43 69.09 106.30 131.10 124.67 150.45 150.21 136.34
People
People Employees 4,000 4,300 4,100 5,500 7,000 5,000 7,000 7,970 8,870 9,000
Revenue/emp, $m 0.21 0.21 0.25 0.24 0.15 0.32 0.26 0.31 0.31 0.33
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue 822 883 1,009 1,330 1,054 1,597 1,810 2,462 2,734 2,926
Gross margin, % 27.77 28.69 28.71 25.80 18.36 27.93 31.30 32.32 34.32 33.58
EBT 147 103 234 196 8 344 609 562 573 532
EBT margin, % 17.92 11.61 23.18 14.77 0.76 21.51 33.64 22.82 20.96 18.20
Net income 108 141 353 137 (82) 249 439 417 429 386
Depreciation 126 115 64 101 98 109 119 175 205 240
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue 8.34 9.35 12.22 16.58 13.31 20.69 23.84 32.74 36.95 40.98
Earnings 1.09 1.49 4.27 1.72 (1.03) 3.23 5.79 5.55 5.73 5.32
Cash flow 2.35 2.28 2.39 3.65 1.81 5.95 6.73 8.05 10.43 10.78
Capex (0.30) (1.24) (1.81) (2.04) (2.96) (1.19) (2.34) (6.39) (7.39) (6.45)
Free cash flow 2.05 1.04 0.59 1.61 (1.15) 4.76 4.39 1.66 3.04 4.34
Book value 6.95 6.78 5.73 6.37 4.64 3.97 7.27 11.88 14.64 14.14
Shares, m 99 94 83 80 79 77 76 75 74 71
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E 22.98 26.78 9.68 40.12 0.00 37.35 18.20 24.12 23.31 21.51
P/S 2.03 4.13 3.33 4.14 7.32 5.82 4.41 4.09 3.61 2.78
P/B 3.54 5.69 7.10 10.77 21.01 30.31 14.47 11.27 9.12 8.04
EV/Sales 2.74 5.31 4.03 5.14 8.74 6.83 6.84 5.96 5.32 4.43
EV/FCF 16.73 51.47 98.54 53.93 (73.37) 32.76 38.33 180.83 80.13 46.92
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow 231 215 198 293 143 460 511 605 772 770
Capex (29) (117) (149) (163) (234) (92) (178) (481) (547) (460)
Free cash flow 202 98 48 129 (91) 368 333 125 225 310
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital (222) (197) (15) (80) (189) 107 (277) (355) (317) (290)
Total debt 922 1,129 884 1,474 1,622 1,968 4,606 4,836 4,907 5,130
Net debt 842 1,046 711 1,331 1,501 1,612 4,401 4,615 4,655 4,842
Shareholders’ equity 685 640 473 511 367 307 552 894 1,084 1,010
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA 4.77 6.09 17.27 6.43 (3.13) 8.79 9.56 6.34 6.00 5.19
ROIC 7.06 5.40 9.96 7.32 2.01 9.26 4.06 6.40 7.72 7.30
ROE 16.60 21.20 63.36 27.94 (18.65) 73.93 102.39 57.75 43.17 36.59
Negative figures in brackets.

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Charts ten years each

Churchill Downs, Incorporated vs peers in Gambling (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
DKNG DraftKings Inc. $17.2B — (loss-making) 90.5× −4.58% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m −51.62% (below 0%: shrinking) 38.21% (4.72%) Compare
FLUT Flutter Entertainment PLC $13.2B — (loss-making) 43.5× +3.32% (above 0%: growing) n/m +21.15% (above 0%: growing) 39.60% (3.33%) Compare
LNWO Light & Wonder, Inc. $7.0B 24.0× 15.2× +2.35% (above 0%: growing) +38.39% (above 0%: growing) +464.29% (above 0%: growing) 74.64% 26.93% Compare
CHDN Churchill Downs, Incorporated $5.7B 14.0× 12.1× +4.93% (above 0%: growing) +13.58% (above 0%: growing) +2.58% (above 0%: growing) 42.76% 36.43%
SGHC Super Group (SGHC) Limited $5.7B 15.1× 14.9× +32.30% (above 0%: growing) +100.00% (above 0%: growing) −39.92% (below 0%: shrinking) 100.00% 25.15% Compare
RSI Rush Street Interactive, Inc. $4.4B 61.7× 69.2× +46.27% (above 0%: growing) −44.44% (below 0%: shrinking) +128.07% (above 0%: growing) 35.47% 11.74% Compare
BRSL Brightstar Lottery $1.8B 7.3× 16.1× −7.45% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m −719.07% (below 0%: shrinking) 46.92% 19.69% Compare
ACEL Accel Entertainment, Inc. $898.0M 15.8× 16.9× +9.59% (above 0%: growing) +66.67% (above 0%: growing) +266.72% (above 0%: growing) 31.30% 8.71% Compare
CDRO Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. $437.9M — (loss-making) — +232.74% (above 0%: growing) +94.12% (above 0%: growing) +7,111.62% (above 0%: growing) 47.71% 0.00% Compare
Median of peers $5.1B 15.8× 16.9× +6.46% +66.67% +74.61% 43.26% 10.23%

All 16 Gambling stocks →

Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) key facts

  • Concern: Net income was $385.5 million, or $5.32 per share (basic), a net margin of 13.1%.
  • Strength: Churchill Downs, Incorporated’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $2.9 billion, up 7.01% from fiscal 2024.
  • Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) is a Gambling company in the Consumer Cyclical sector, listed on Nasdaq.
  • As of October 16, 2026, CHDN traded at $81.70, a market capitalization of $5.7 billion.
  • At that price the stock trades at 14.0× trailing-twelve-month earnings and 1.9× sales; its P/E is higher than 10% of its own readings over the past ten years.
  • Churchill Downs, Incorporated pays an annual dividend of $0.44 per share, a yield of 0.54%, with a payout ratio of 7.51%.
  • Return on equity was 36.6% and debt-to-equity 3.56.
  • Its Piotroski F-score is 6 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 1.59 (distress zone) for fiscal 2025.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) Latest News

stockrow.com/CHDN · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com