Saturday 17 October 2026
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Churchill Downs, Incorporated
CHDN Consumer Cyclical Gambling
Churchill Downs, Incorporated’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $2.9 billion, up 7.01% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 4.93%, EPS grew 13.6%, free cash flow grew 2.58% and total debt fell 4.64%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Dividend growth for twenty-five consecutive years, revenue growth for five.
81.70
0.45
−0.55%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Price, $ | Low | 19.79 | 23.50 | 37.21 | 38.69 | 26.45 | 87.51 | 86.38 | 104.32 | 111.10 | 85.58 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
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| High | 26.19 | 39.92 | 52.43 | 69.09 | 106.30 | 131.10 | 124.67 | 150.45 | 150.21 | 136.34 | |||||
| People | |||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 4,000 | 4,300 | 4,100 | 5,500 | 7,000 | 5,000 | 7,000 | 7,970 | 8,870 | 9,000 | ||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.15 | 0.32 | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.33 | |||||
| Income, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 822 | 883 | 1,009 | 1,330 | 1,054 | 1,597 | 1,810 | 2,462 | 2,734 | 2,926 | ||||
| Gross margin, % | 27.77 | 28.69 | 28.71 | 25.80 | 18.36 | 27.93 | 31.30 | 32.32 | 34.32 | 33.58 | |||||
| EBT | 147 | 103 | 234 | 196 | 8 | 344 | 609 | 562 | 573 | 532 | |||||
| EBT margin, % | 17.92 | 11.61 | 23.18 | 14.77 | 0.76 | 21.51 | 33.64 | 22.82 | 20.96 | 18.20 | |||||
| Net income | 108 | 141 | 353 | 137 | (82) | 249 | 439 | 417 | 429 | 386 | |||||
| Depreciation | 126 | 115 | 64 | 101 | 98 | 109 | 119 | 175 | 205 | 240 | |||||
| Per share, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 8.34 | 9.35 | 12.22 | 16.58 | 13.31 | 20.69 | 23.84 | 32.74 | 36.95 | 40.98 | ||||
| Earnings | 1.09 | 1.49 | 4.27 | 1.72 | (1.03) | 3.23 | 5.79 | 5.55 | 5.73 | 5.32 | |||||
| Cash flow | 2.35 | 2.28 | 2.39 | 3.65 | 1.81 | 5.95 | 6.73 | 8.05 | 10.43 | 10.78 | |||||
| Capex | (0.30) | (1.24) | (1.81) | (2.04) | (2.96) | (1.19) | (2.34) | (6.39) | (7.39) | (6.45) | |||||
| Free cash flow | 2.05 | 1.04 | 0.59 | 1.61 | (1.15) | 4.76 | 4.39 | 1.66 | 3.04 | 4.34 | |||||
| Book value | 6.95 | 6.78 | 5.73 | 6.37 | 4.64 | 3.97 | 7.27 | 11.88 | 14.64 | 14.14 | |||||
| Shares, m | 99 | 94 | 83 | 80 | 79 | 77 | 76 | 75 | 74 | 71 | |||||
| Valuation, × | |||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 22.98 | 26.78 | 9.68 | 40.12 | 0.00 | 37.35 | 18.20 | 24.12 | 23.31 | 21.51 | ||||
| P/S | 2.03 | 4.13 | 3.33 | 4.14 | 7.32 | 5.82 | 4.41 | 4.09 | 3.61 | 2.78 | |||||
| P/B | 3.54 | 5.69 | 7.10 | 10.77 | 21.01 | 30.31 | 14.47 | 11.27 | 9.12 | 8.04 | |||||
| EV/Sales | 2.74 | 5.31 | 4.03 | 5.14 | 8.74 | 6.83 | 6.84 | 5.96 | 5.32 | 4.43 | |||||
| EV/FCF | 16.73 | 51.47 | 98.54 | 53.93 | (73.37) | 32.76 | 38.33 | 180.83 | 80.13 | 46.92 | |||||
| Cash, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 231 | 215 | 198 | 293 | 143 | 460 | 511 | 605 | 772 | 770 | ||||
| Capex | (29) | (117) | (149) | (163) | (234) | (92) | (178) | (481) | (547) | (460) | |||||
| Free cash flow | 202 | 98 | 48 | 129 | (91) | 368 | 333 | 125 | 225 | 310 | |||||
| Balance, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | (222) | (197) | (15) | (80) | (189) | 107 | (277) | (355) | (317) | (290) | ||||
| Total debt | 922 | 1,129 | 884 | 1,474 | 1,622 | 1,968 | 4,606 | 4,836 | 4,907 | 5,130 | |||||
| Net debt | 842 | 1,046 | 711 | 1,331 | 1,501 | 1,612 | 4,401 | 4,615 | 4,655 | 4,842 | |||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 685 | 640 | 473 | 511 | 367 | 307 | 552 | 894 | 1,084 | 1,010 | |||||
| Returns, % | |||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 4.77 | 6.09 | 17.27 | 6.43 | (3.13) | 8.79 | 9.56 | 6.34 | 6.00 | 5.19 | ||||
| ROIC | 7.06 | 5.40 | 9.96 | 7.32 | 2.01 | 9.26 | 4.06 | 6.40 | 7.72 | 7.30 | |||||
| ROE | 16.60 | 21.20 | 63.36 | 27.94 | (18.65) | 73.93 | 102.39 | 57.75 | 43.17 | 36.59 | |||||
Negative figures in brackets.
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026
Charts ten years each
Churchill Downs, Incorporated vs peers in Gambling (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DKNG DraftKings Inc. | $17.2B | — (loss-making) | 90.5× | −4.58% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | −51.62% (below 0%: shrinking) | 38.21% | (4.72%) | Compare |
| FLUT Flutter Entertainment PLC | $13.2B | — (loss-making) | 43.5× | +3.32% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +21.15% (above 0%: growing) | 39.60% | (3.33%) | Compare |
| LNWO Light & Wonder, Inc. | $7.0B | 24.0× | 15.2× | +2.35% (above 0%: growing) | +38.39% (above 0%: growing) | +464.29% (above 0%: growing) | 74.64% | 26.93% | Compare |
| CHDN Churchill Downs, Incorporated | $5.7B | 14.0× | 12.1× | +4.93% (above 0%: growing) | +13.58% (above 0%: growing) | +2.58% (above 0%: growing) | 42.76% | 36.43% | |
| SGHC Super Group (SGHC) Limited | $5.7B | 15.1× | 14.9× | +32.30% (above 0%: growing) | +100.00% (above 0%: growing) | −39.92% (below 0%: shrinking) | 100.00% | 25.15% | Compare |
| RSI Rush Street Interactive, Inc. | $4.4B | 61.7× | 69.2× | +46.27% (above 0%: growing) | −44.44% (below 0%: shrinking) | +128.07% (above 0%: growing) | 35.47% | 11.74% | Compare |
| BRSL Brightstar Lottery | $1.8B | 7.3× | 16.1× | −7.45% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | −719.07% (below 0%: shrinking) | 46.92% | 19.69% | Compare |
| ACEL Accel Entertainment, Inc. | $898.0M | 15.8× | 16.9× | +9.59% (above 0%: growing) | +66.67% (above 0%: growing) | +266.72% (above 0%: growing) | 31.30% | 8.71% | Compare |
| CDRO Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. | $437.9M | — (loss-making) | — | +232.74% (above 0%: growing) | +94.12% (above 0%: growing) | +7,111.62% (above 0%: growing) | 47.71% | 0.00% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $5.1B | 15.8× | 16.9× | +6.46% | +66.67% | +74.61% | 43.26% | 10.23% |
Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) key facts
- Concern: Net income was $385.5 million, or $5.32 per share (basic), a net margin of 13.1%.
- Strength: Churchill Downs, Incorporated’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $2.9 billion, up 7.01% from fiscal 2024.
- Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) is a Gambling company in the Consumer Cyclical sector, listed on Nasdaq.
- As of October 16, 2026, CHDN traded at $81.70, a market capitalization of $5.7 billion.
- At that price the stock trades at 14.0× trailing-twelve-month earnings and 1.9× sales; its P/E is higher than 10% of its own readings over the past ten years.
- Churchill Downs, Incorporated pays an annual dividend of $0.44 per share, a yield of 0.54%, with a payout ratio of 7.51%.
- Return on equity was 36.6% and debt-to-equity 3.56.
- Its Piotroski F-score is 6 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 1.59 (distress zone) for fiscal 2025.