Churchill Downs, Incorporated CHDN
- Market cap
- $5.5B
- P/E
- 13.7×
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free account| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.79 | 23.50 | 37.21 | 38.69 | 26.45 | 87.51 | 86.38 | 104.32 | 111.10 | 85.58 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
Low Price
|
||
| 26.19 | 39.92 | 52.43 | 69.09 | 106.30 | 131.10 | 124.67 | 150.45 | 150.21 | 136.34 |
High Price
|
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| 4,000 | 4,300 | 4,100 | 5,500 | 7,000 | 5,000 | 7,000 | 7,970 | 8,870 | 9,000 |
Employees
|
|||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Revenue/Emp
|
|||
| 822 | 883 | 1,009 | 1,330 | 1,054 | 1,597 | 1,810 | 2,462 | 2,734 | 2,926 |
Revenue
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| 27.77% | 28.69% | 28.71% | 25.80% | 18.36% | 27.93% | 31.30% | 32.32% | 34.32% | 33.58% |
Gross Margin
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| 147 | 103 | 234 | 196 | 8 | 344 | 609 | 562 | 573 | 532 |
EBT
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| 17.92% | 11.61% | 23.18% | 14.77% | 0.76% | 21.51% | 33.64% | 22.82% | 20.96% | 18.20% |
EBT Margin
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| 108 | 141 | 353 | 137 | (82) | 249 | 439 | 417 | 429 | 386 |
Net Income
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| 126 | 115 | 64 | 101 | 98 | 109 | 119 | 175 | 205 | 240 |
Depreciation
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| 8.34 | 9.35 | 12.22 | 16.58 | 13.31 | 20.69 | 23.84 | 32.74 | 36.95 | 40.98 |
Revenue/Sh
|
|||
| 1.09 | 1.49 | 4.27 | 1.72 | (1.03) | 3.23 | 5.79 | 5.55 | 5.73 | 5.32 |
Earnings/Sh
|
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| 2.35 | 2.28 | 2.39 | 3.65 | 1.81 | 5.95 | 6.73 | 8.05 | 10.43 | 10.78 |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
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| (0.30) | (1.24) | (1.81) | (2.04) | (2.96) | (1.19) | (2.34) | (6.39) | (7.39) | (6.45) |
Capex/Sh
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| 2.05 | 1.04 | 0.59 | 1.61 | (1.15) | 4.76 | 4.39 | 1.66 | 3.04 | 4.34 |
Free CF/Sh
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| 6.95 | 6.78 | 5.73 | 6.37 | 4.64 | 3.97 | 7.27 | 11.88 | 14.64 | 14.14 |
Book Value/Sh
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| 99 | 94 | 83 | 80 | 79 | 77 | 76 | 75 | 74 | 71 |
Shares
|
|||
| 22.98 | 26.78 | 9.68 | 40.12 | 0.00 | 37.35 | 18.20 | 24.12 | 23.31 | 21.51 |
PE Ratio
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| 2.03 | 4.13 | 3.33 | 4.14 | 7.32 | 5.82 | 4.41 | 4.09 | 3.61 | 2.78 |
PS Ratio
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| 3.54 | 5.69 | 7.10 | 10.77 | 21.01 | 30.31 | 14.47 | 11.27 | 9.12 | 8.04 |
PB Ratio
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| 2.74 | 5.31 | 4.03 | 5.14 | 8.74 | 6.83 | 6.84 | 5.96 | 5.32 | 4.43 |
EV/Sales
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| 16.73 | 51.47 | 98.54 | 53.93 | (73.37) | 32.76 | 38.33 | 180.83 | 80.13 | 46.92 |
EV/FCF
|
|||
| 231 | 215 | 198 | 293 | 143 | 460 | 511 | 605 | 772 | 770 |
Op' Cash Flow
|
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| (29) | (117) | (149) | (163) | (234) | (92) | (178) | (481) | (547) | (460) |
Capex
|
|||
| 202 | 98 | 48 | 129 | (91) | 368 | 333 | 125 | 225 | 310 |
FCF
|
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| (222) | (197) | (15) | (80) | (189) | 107 | (277) | (355) | (317) | (290) |
Working Cap'
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| 922 | 1,129 | 884 | 1,474 | 1,622 | 1,968 | 4,606 | 4,836 | 4,907 | 5,130 |
Total Debt
|
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| 842 | 1,046 | 711 | 1,331 | 1,501 | 1,612 | 4,401 | 4,615 | 4,655 | 4,842 |
Net Debt
|
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| 685 | 640 | 473 | 511 | 367 | 307 | 552 | 894 | 1,084 | 1,010 |
Sh' Equity
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| 4.77% | 6.09% | 17.27% | 6.43% | (3.13%) | 8.79% | 9.56% | 6.34% | 6.00% | 5.19% |
ROA
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| 7.06% | 5.40% | 9.96% | 7.32% | 2.01% | 9.26% | 4.06% | 6.40% | 7.72% | 7.30% |
ROIC
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| 16.60% | 21.20% | 63.36% | 27.94% | (18.65%) | 73.93% | 102.39% | 57.75% | 43.17% | 36.59% |
ROE
|
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Churchill Downs, Incorporated peers in Gambling
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|---|---|---|---|
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| RSI Rush Street Interactive, Inc. | $4.5B | 66.2× | Compare |
| LNWO Light & Wonder, Inc. | $7.0B | 22.6× | Compare |
| FLUT Flutter Entertainment PLC | $14.1B | 0.0× | Compare |
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|---|---|---|---|
| BRSL Brightstar Lottery | $1.8B | 7.6× | Compare |
| DKNG DraftKings Inc. | $18.7B | 0.0× | Compare |
| ACEL Accel Entertainment, Inc. | $901.8M | 16.0× | Compare |
| CDRO Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. | $445.6M | 0.0× | Compare |
Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) key facts
- Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) is a Gambling company in the Consumer Cyclical sector, listed on Nasdaq.
- Churchill Downs, Incorporated’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $2.9 billion, up 7.01% from fiscal 2024.
- Net income was $385.5 million, or $5.32 per share (basic), a net margin of 13.1%.
- As of September 25, 2026, CHDN traded at $79.77, a market capitalization of $5.5 billion.
- At that price the stock trades at 13.7× trailing-twelve-month earnings and 1.9× sales.
- Churchill Downs, Incorporated pays an annual dividend of $0.36 per share, a yield of 0.30%, with a payout ratio of 7.61%.
- Return on equity was 36.6% and debt-to-equity 3.56.
Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) Latest News
24 Sep
Churchill Downs is pursuing a balance-sheet refinance with a proposed $500 million senior secured Term Loan B due 2033 and related debt actions. The move aims to reshape its capital stack while recycling capital from nine regional gaming properties into higher-return projects at the core assets, including the racetrack, and into share repurchases. Shares have fallen 11.3% over the last 30 days, 28.1% year-to-date, and 1-year total return is down 17.6%, signaling fading momentum despite the refinancing news. CHDN now trades at a steep discount to analyst targets and an intrinsic value estimate. A strategic review could shift revenue mix toward higher-margin operations, but weaker regional performance or slower HRM venue expansion could blunt the outlook. Readers are urged to weigh the risks and rewards amid ongoing capital-structure reshaping. Refinancing and asset-recycling plans could materially alter CHDN's capital structure, cash flow profile, and revenue mix, influencing future performance and investor sentiment.
22 Sep
Churchill Downs Incorporated priced a $500 million senior secured term loan due 2033, with interest at SOFR plus 175 basis points. The issue price of 99.875% implies about $499.375 million before fees, with proceeds to repay Term Loan B and revolver borrowings, cover transaction costs, and support working capital and general corporate purposes. Separately, CHDN plans to redeem its $600 million of 5.50% notes due 2027 using revolver borrowings, with a conditional redemption notice targeted about 30 days after issuance. The new loan remains subject to gaming regulatory conditions. The financing could extend maturity and improve liquidity, but switching to floating-rate debt introduces rate risk; revolver availability stood at $861 million on June 30 after letters of credit obligations. The outcome depends on fees, hedging, and remaining revolver capacity. Extending maturity and converting to floating-rate debt can materially alter interest costs and liquidity, potentially reshaping CHDN's risk profile.
17 Sep
Churchill Downs Incorporated prices $500 million senior secured term loan B due 2033. Large term loan alters debt structure and may fund expansions affecting financial performance.
14 Sep
Churchill Downs Incorporated launches $500 million senior secured term loan B due 2033. $500 million term loan B issuance alters Churchill Downs Incorporated debt structure and funding capacity.
6 Aug
Churchill Downs, Incorporated considers Ocean Downs sale after Maryland Preakness deal. Potential Ocean Downs divestiture after Preakness transaction may adjust asset base and Maryland operations without fundamentally shifting overall trajectory.
5 Aug
Churchill Downs, Incorporated advances ADW platforms to draw new audiences into horse racing. ADW evolution targets audience expansion that could materially lift Churchill Downs revenue and competitive stance.
4 Aug
Churchill Downs plans new racing series that analysts say could render the stock 38% undervalued, signaling stronger future revenue and market positioning for the company. New racing series plans represent major strategic expansion likely to boost long-term revenue and valuation.
Churchill Downs explores expanding the Kentucky Derby brand into a year-round media asset to create continuous revenue streams beyond the annual event. Expansion of the Derby franchise into media assets represents a major strategic move that could significantly boost long-term revenues and alter the company's growth trajectory.
Churchill Downs Incorporated sells nine casinos to refocus on racing. Divestiture of nine casinos marks major strategic refocus on core racing business with substantial effects on operations and performance.
3 Aug
Churchill Downs, Incorporated unites horse racing's biggest events in the new Thoroughbred Championship Series. Landmark series unites major events and strengthens Churchill Downs Incorporated core racing operations and revenue potential.
31 Jul
Possible sale of Terre Haute Casino offers market advantages, gaming expert states. Possible Terre Haute Casino sale signals major strategic shift for Churchill Downs.
30 Jul
Churchill Downs, Incorporated is selling Presque Isle Downs & Casino along with additional properties. Divestiture of multiple casino assets constitutes major strategic move that will reshape revenue streams and operational focus.
Churchill Downs, Incorporated may sell the Terre Haute Casino Resort. Potential sale of Terre Haute Casino Resort could moderately affect Churchill Downs financial performance and Indiana operations.
Erie County leaders discuss the potential sale of Presque Isle Downs. Potential sale of Presque Isle Downs asset may affect CHDN regional operations and portfolio.
Churchill Downs Q2 earnings call highlighted financial results, operational updates and strategic outlook for the company. Q2 earnings updates typically offer moderate insight into performance and near-term trajectory without signaling major strategic shifts.
Presque Isle Downs owners are exploring various options including a potential sale of the property. Potential sale process for Presque Isle Downs may affect Churchill Downs asset base and earnings.
Churchill Downs, Incorporated explores the possible sale of del Lago Resort and Casino. Potential divestiture of del Lago Resort and Casino represents a strategic move that could affect financial performance and operations.
29 Jul
Churchill Downs, Incorporated is considering the sale of Presque Isle Downs along with multiple other casinos. Consideration of selling Presque Isle and multiple casinos marks a major strategic asset divestiture that could reshape operations and finances.
Churchill Downs Q2 earnings metrics are compared to analyst estimates. Q2 earnings metrics versus estimates may influence CHDN stock trajectory.
Churchill Downs reported Q2 earnings below analyst estimates. An earnings miss typically affects near-term stock price and investor sentiment around financial results.
Churchill Downs Incorporated announces definitive agreement to acquire 49% of United Tote Company from NYRA. Partial acquisition expands Churchill Downs tote and wagering operations in horse racing sector.
Churchill Downs Incorporated announces updates on capital projects at Churchill Downs Racetrack for 2027 and 2028. Capital project updates at the primary racetrack signal moderate long-term operational enhancements without immediate financial shifts.
Churchill Downs Incorporated reported its second quarter 2026 financial results. Quarterly results release delivers financial metrics that can shift near-term investor views on performance.
3 Jul
Churchill Downs (CHDN) shares rose 8.3% after the company beat Q1 estimates and renewed NBC media rights deals. Q1 earnings beat plus renewed NBC rights deals strengthen near-term results and lock in future media revenue streams.
26 Jun
Truist reaffirms bullish outlook on Churchill Downs (CHDN) amid Derby growth prospects. Analyst reaffirmation signals moderate positive sentiment and growth prospects for CHDN.
18 Jun
Churchill Downs Incorporated announces the State of Maryland’s decision to acquire the Preakness IP rights. Loss of Preakness IP rights may moderately affect Churchill Downs racing operations and revenues.
17 Jun
CHDN faces three major risks that threaten its performance and position an alternative stock as the stronger investment choice. Article flags multiple risks for CHDN that can sway investor sentiment and near-term valuation.
22 May
Churchill Downs plans to divest its regional casino portfolio to focus resources on higher-growth opportunities and strengthen its core operations. Divesting the regional casino portfolio constitutes a major strategic realignment that will reshape operations and investor outlook.
3 May
Churchill Downs (CHDN) posted record wagering and EBITDA during Derby Week, prompting a valuation analysis that highlights the stock trading at a discount to peers despite strong gaming and racing growth. Record Derby Week wagering and EBITDA signal strong core operations and growth potential, significantly boosting CHDN's valuation and investor sentiment.
2 May
Golden Tempo won the 152nd running of the Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve at Churchill Downs. The Kentucky Derby is CHDN's flagship event that drives substantial revenue from betting, attendance, and media rights.