Churchill Downs, Incorporated CHDN

79.77 0.36 0.45% as of 25 Sep
Market cap
$5.5B
P/E
13.7×
Growth Flags show if company had growth for consecutive years

Insider Decisions

in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — — — — — — — — — — —
Insider Ownership 7.03%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap 5,530.00
Revenue 2,991.90
Net Income 415.50
Free Cash Flow 567.90
Net Debt 4,478.00
Current Ratio 0.36
Debt/Equity 3.56
P/E ratio 13.65
P/S ratio 1.87
P/B ratio 4.16
Past 5Y EPS Growth 27.39%
This Y EPS Growth 13.62%
Next Y EPS Growth 6.69%
Next 5Y EPS Growth 10.57%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio 0.08
Annual Dividend Rate 0.36
Annual Dividend Yield 0.30%
total individual payouts
2028 Powerpack
2027 Powerpack
2026 Powerpack
2025 0.44
0.44
2024 0.41
0.41
2023 0.38
0.38
2022 0.36
0.36
2021 0.33
0.33
2020 0.31
0.31
2019 0.29
0.29
2018 0.27
0.27
2017 0.25
0.25
2016 0.22
0.22
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 222 253 289 295
Receivables 120 113 111 129
Inventory — — — —
Other 60 46 44 60
401 412 443 484
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 159 180 184 261
ST’ Debt 68 63 63 663
Other — — — —
756 729 733 1,359
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales 13.87% 22.65% 17.37%
Cash Flow 11.27% 39.99% 14.65%
Earnings 19.37% 0.00% (4.48%)
Book Value 5.05% 22.43% 22.33%

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 663 980 — — —
’25 643 934 683 666 2,926
’24 591 891 629 624 2,734
’23 560 769 573 561 2,462
’22 364 583 383 480 1,810
’21 324 515 393 365 1,597
’20 253 185 338 278 1,054
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 295 217 — — —
’25 247 240 187 96 770
’24 255 217 169 131 772
’23 216 187 96 107 605
’22 135 246 44 86 511
’21 104 230 57 69 460
’20 44 33 62 5 143
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 236 159 — — —
’25 167 155 (58) 46 310
’24 100 80 44 1 225
’23 277 9 (89) (72) 125
’22 80 413 (86) (73) 333
’21 92 213 34 29 368
’20 (5) (50) (17) (19) (91)
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 1.16 3.42 — — —
’25 1.02 2.99 0.54 0.71 5.29
’24 1.08 2.79 0.86 0.95 5.68
’23 2.05 1.86 0.79 0.76 5.49
’22 0.54 4.40 0.75 0.02 5.71
’21 0.46 1.38 0.79 0.56 3.18
’20 (0.29) (1.50) 0.54 0.22 (1.04)
fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

1.2
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
19.79 23.50 37.21 38.69 26.45 87.51 86.38 104.32 111.10 85.58

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
Low Price
26.19 39.92 52.43 69.09 106.30 131.10 124.67 150.45 150.21 136.34
High Price
4,000 4,300 4,100 5,500 7,000 5,000 7,000 7,970 8,870 9,000
Employees
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Revenue/Emp
822 883 1,009 1,330 1,054 1,597 1,810 2,462 2,734 2,926
Revenue
27.77% 28.69% 28.71% 25.80% 18.36% 27.93% 31.30% 32.32% 34.32% 33.58%
Gross Margin
147 103 234 196 8 344 609 562 573 532
EBT
17.92% 11.61% 23.18% 14.77% 0.76% 21.51% 33.64% 22.82% 20.96% 18.20%
EBT Margin
108 141 353 137 (82) 249 439 417 429 386
Net Income
126 115 64 101 98 109 119 175 205 240
Depreciation
8.34 9.35 12.22 16.58 13.31 20.69 23.84 32.74 36.95 40.98
Revenue/Sh
1.09 1.49 4.27 1.72 (1.03) 3.23 5.79 5.55 5.73 5.32
Earnings/Sh
2.35 2.28 2.39 3.65 1.81 5.95 6.73 8.05 10.43 10.78
Cash Flow/Sh
(0.30) (1.24) (1.81) (2.04) (2.96) (1.19) (2.34) (6.39) (7.39) (6.45)
Capex/Sh
2.05 1.04 0.59 1.61 (1.15) 4.76 4.39 1.66 3.04 4.34
Free CF/Sh
6.95 6.78 5.73 6.37 4.64 3.97 7.27 11.88 14.64 14.14
Book Value/Sh
99 94 83 80 79 77 76 75 74 71
Shares
22.98 26.78 9.68 40.12 0.00 37.35 18.20 24.12 23.31 21.51
PE Ratio
2.03 4.13 3.33 4.14 7.32 5.82 4.41 4.09 3.61 2.78
PS Ratio
3.54 5.69 7.10 10.77 21.01 30.31 14.47 11.27 9.12 8.04
PB Ratio
2.74 5.31 4.03 5.14 8.74 6.83 6.84 5.96 5.32 4.43
EV/Sales
16.73 51.47 98.54 53.93 (73.37) 32.76 38.33 180.83 80.13 46.92
EV/FCF
231 215 198 293 143 460 511 605 772 770
Op' Cash Flow
(29) (117) (149) (163) (234) (92) (178) (481) (547) (460)
Capex
202 98 48 129 (91) 368 333 125 225 310
FCF
(222) (197) (15) (80) (189) 107 (277) (355) (317) (290)
Working Cap'
922 1,129 884 1,474 1,622 1,968 4,606 4,836 4,907 5,130
Total Debt
842 1,046 711 1,331 1,501 1,612 4,401 4,615 4,655 4,842
Net Debt
685 640 473 511 367 307 552 894 1,084 1,010
Sh' Equity
4.77% 6.09% 17.27% 6.43% (3.13%) 8.79% 9.56% 6.34% 6.00% 5.19%
ROA
7.06% 5.40% 9.96% 7.32% 2.01% 9.26% 4.06% 6.40% 7.72% 7.30%
ROIC
16.60% 21.20% 63.36% 27.94% (18.65%) 73.93% 102.39% 57.75% 43.17% 36.59%
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Churchill Downs, Incorporated peers in Gambling

All 16 Gambling stocks →

Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) key facts

  • Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) is a Gambling company in the Consumer Cyclical sector, listed on Nasdaq.
  • Churchill Downs, Incorporated’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $2.9 billion, up 7.01% from fiscal 2024.
  • Net income was $385.5 million, or $5.32 per share (basic), a net margin of 13.1%.
  • As of September 25, 2026, CHDN traded at $79.77, a market capitalization of $5.5 billion.
  • At that price the stock trades at 13.7× trailing-twelve-month earnings and 1.9× sales.
  • Churchill Downs, Incorporated pays an annual dividend of $0.36 per share, a yield of 0.30%, with a payout ratio of 7.61%.
  • Return on equity was 36.6% and debt-to-equity 3.56.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

24 Sep

4

Churchill Downs is pursuing a balance-sheet refinance with a proposed $500 million senior secured Term Loan B due 2033 and related debt actions. The move aims to reshape its capital stack while recycling capital from nine regional gaming properties into higher-return projects at the core assets, including the racetrack, and into share repurchases. Shares have fallen 11.3% over the last 30 days, 28.1% year-to-date, and 1-year total return is down 17.6%, signaling fading momentum despite the refinancing news. CHDN now trades at a steep discount to analyst targets and an intrinsic value estimate. A strategic review could shift revenue mix toward higher-margin operations, but weaker regional performance or slower HRM venue expansion could blunt the outlook. Readers are urged to weigh the risks and rewards amid ongoing capital-structure reshaping. Refinancing and asset-recycling plans could materially alter CHDN's capital structure, cash flow profile, and revenue mix, influencing future performance and investor sentiment.

22 Sep

4

Churchill Downs Incorporated priced a $500 million senior secured term loan due 2033, with interest at SOFR plus 175 basis points. The issue price of 99.875% implies about $499.375 million before fees, with proceeds to repay Term Loan B and revolver borrowings, cover transaction costs, and support working capital and general corporate purposes. Separately, CHDN plans to redeem its $600 million of 5.50% notes due 2027 using revolver borrowings, with a conditional redemption notice targeted about 30 days after issuance. The new loan remains subject to gaming regulatory conditions. The financing could extend maturity and improve liquidity, but switching to floating-rate debt introduces rate risk; revolver availability stood at $861 million on June 30 after letters of credit obligations. The outcome depends on fees, hedging, and remaining revolver capacity. Extending maturity and converting to floating-rate debt can materially alter interest costs and liquidity, potentially reshaping CHDN's risk profile.

17 Sep

3

Churchill Downs Incorporated prices $500 million senior secured term loan B due 2033. Large term loan alters debt structure and may fund expansions affecting financial performance.

14 Sep

3

Churchill Downs Incorporated launches $500 million senior secured term loan B due 2033. $500 million term loan B issuance alters Churchill Downs Incorporated debt structure and funding capacity.

6 Aug

3

Churchill Downs, Incorporated considers Ocean Downs sale after Maryland Preakness deal. Potential Ocean Downs divestiture after Preakness transaction may adjust asset base and Maryland operations without fundamentally shifting overall trajectory.

5 Aug

4

Churchill Downs, Incorporated advances ADW platforms to draw new audiences into horse racing. ADW evolution targets audience expansion that could materially lift Churchill Downs revenue and competitive stance.

4 Aug

4

Churchill Downs plans new racing series that analysts say could render the stock 38% undervalued, signaling stronger future revenue and market positioning for the company. New racing series plans represent major strategic expansion likely to boost long-term revenue and valuation.

4

Churchill Downs explores expanding the Kentucky Derby brand into a year-round media asset to create continuous revenue streams beyond the annual event. Expansion of the Derby franchise into media assets represents a major strategic move that could significantly boost long-term revenues and alter the company's growth trajectory.

4

Churchill Downs Incorporated sells nine casinos to refocus on racing. Divestiture of nine casinos marks major strategic refocus on core racing business with substantial effects on operations and performance.

3 Aug

4

Churchill Downs, Incorporated unites horse racing's biggest events in the new Thoroughbred Championship Series. Landmark series unites major events and strengthens Churchill Downs Incorporated core racing operations and revenue potential.

31 Jul

4

Possible sale of Terre Haute Casino offers market advantages, gaming expert states. Possible Terre Haute Casino sale signals major strategic shift for Churchill Downs.

30 Jul

4

Churchill Downs, Incorporated is selling Presque Isle Downs & Casino along with additional properties. Divestiture of multiple casino assets constitutes major strategic move that will reshape revenue streams and operational focus.

3

Churchill Downs, Incorporated may sell the Terre Haute Casino Resort. Potential sale of Terre Haute Casino Resort could moderately affect Churchill Downs financial performance and Indiana operations.

3

Erie County leaders discuss the potential sale of Presque Isle Downs. Potential sale of Presque Isle Downs asset may affect CHDN regional operations and portfolio.

3 transcript

Churchill Downs Q2 earnings call highlighted financial results, operational updates and strategic outlook for the company. Q2 earnings updates typically offer moderate insight into performance and near-term trajectory without signaling major strategic shifts.

3

Presque Isle Downs owners are exploring various options including a potential sale of the property. Potential sale process for Presque Isle Downs may affect Churchill Downs asset base and earnings.

3

Churchill Downs, Incorporated explores the possible sale of del Lago Resort and Casino. Potential divestiture of del Lago Resort and Casino represents a strategic move that could affect financial performance and operations.

29 Jul

4

Churchill Downs, Incorporated is considering the sale of Presque Isle Downs along with multiple other casinos. Consideration of selling Presque Isle and multiple casinos marks a major strategic asset divestiture that could reshape operations and finances.

3

Churchill Downs Q2 earnings metrics are compared to analyst estimates. Q2 earnings metrics versus estimates may influence CHDN stock trajectory.

3

Churchill Downs reported Q2 earnings below analyst estimates. An earnings miss typically affects near-term stock price and investor sentiment around financial results.

3

Churchill Downs Incorporated announces definitive agreement to acquire 49% of United Tote Company from NYRA. Partial acquisition expands Churchill Downs tote and wagering operations in horse racing sector.

3

Churchill Downs Incorporated announces updates on capital projects at Churchill Downs Racetrack for 2027 and 2028. Capital project updates at the primary racetrack signal moderate long-term operational enhancements without immediate financial shifts.

3

Churchill Downs Incorporated reported its second quarter 2026 financial results. Quarterly results release delivers financial metrics that can shift near-term investor views on performance.

3 Jul

4

Churchill Downs (CHDN) shares rose 8.3% after the company beat Q1 estimates and renewed NBC media rights deals. Q1 earnings beat plus renewed NBC rights deals strengthen near-term results and lock in future media revenue streams.

26 Jun

3

Truist reaffirms bullish outlook on Churchill Downs (CHDN) amid Derby growth prospects. Analyst reaffirmation signals moderate positive sentiment and growth prospects for CHDN.

18 Jun

3

Churchill Downs Incorporated announces the State of Maryland’s decision to acquire the Preakness IP rights. Loss of Preakness IP rights may moderately affect Churchill Downs racing operations and revenues.

17 Jun

3

CHDN faces three major risks that threaten its performance and position an alternative stock as the stronger investment choice. Article flags multiple risks for CHDN that can sway investor sentiment and near-term valuation.

22 May

4

Churchill Downs plans to divest its regional casino portfolio to focus resources on higher-growth opportunities and strengthen its core operations. Divesting the regional casino portfolio constitutes a major strategic realignment that will reshape operations and investor outlook.

3 May

4

Churchill Downs (CHDN) posted record wagering and EBITDA during Derby Week, prompting a valuation analysis that highlights the stock trading at a discount to peers despite strong gaming and racing growth. Record Derby Week wagering and EBITDA signal strong core operations and growth potential, significantly boosting CHDN's valuation and investor sentiment.

2 May

3

Golden Tempo won the 152nd running of the Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve at Churchill Downs. The Kentucky Derby is CHDN's flagship event that drives substantial revenue from betting, attendance, and media rights.

stockrow.com/CHDN · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com