| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2022 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2021 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2020 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2019 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2018 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2017 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 90.30 | 35.70 | 135.60 | 389.70 |
| Receivables | 169.40 | 203.70 | 350.20 | 391.10 |
| Inventory | 477.00 | 539.00 | 519.60 | 582.90 |
| Other | 2.90 | 4.20 | 1.50 | 6.50 |
| 767.10 | 810.90 | 1,031.30 | 1,401.60 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 249.50 | 187.30 | 187.20 | 216.60 |
| ST’ Debt | 48.30 | 70.90 | 97.40 | 28.60 |
| Other | 102.80 | 113.70 | 129.00 | 143.50 |
| 763.00 | 467.30 | 523.60 | 509.40 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 649.20 | 752.10 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 633.90 | 628.10 | 632.20 | 633.70 |
2,527.90
|
| ’24 | 489.50 | 560.80 | 539.10 | 630.90 |
2,220.30
|
| ’23 | 552.40 | 575.50 | 545.20 | 512.30 |
2,185.40
|
| ’22 | 753.60 | 856.60 | 637.20 | 529.90 |
2,777.30
|
| ’21 | 444.00 | 528.00 | 581.40 | 659.10 |
2,212.50
|
| ’20 | 421.20 | 401.90 | 392.90 | 389.10 |
1,605.10
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 68.40 | 167.60 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 72.30 | 7.90 | 2.00 | 102.80 |
185.00
|
| ’24 | (14.80) | 11.50 | 20.10 | (41.40) |
(24.60)
|
| ’23 | (0.20) | (1.70) | 41.50 | 66.00 |
105.60
|
| ’22 | 37.40 | 31.20 | (11.40) | (31.30) |
25.90
|
| ’21 | (49.80) | (38.10) | 75.80 | (52.60) |
(64.70)
|
| ’20 | 34.60 | 37.00 | (38.30) | 9.60 |
42.90
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 193.60 | 108.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 51.10 | (15.90) | (18.10) | 67.70 |
84.80
|
| ’24 | (44.50) | (3.10) | (2.40) | (54.60) |
(104.60)
|
| ’23 | (14.50) | (24.00) | 41.10 | 33.70 |
36.30
|
| ’22 | 11.40 | 5.50 | (29.80) | (46.70) |
(59.60)
|
| ’21 | (57.20) | (56.60) | 56.00 | (89.50) |
(147.30)
|
| ’20 | 28.70 | 33.40 | (40.20) | 9.20 |
31.10
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 3.23 | 2.39 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.28 | (0.05) | 0.15 | 0.02 |
0.42
|
| ’24 | 2.26 | (0.03) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
3.29
|
| ’23 | (0.42) | 0.07 | (0.45) | 0.30 |
(0.47)
|
| ’22 | 0.18 | 0.36 | 0.43 | (1.24) |
(0.15)
|
| ’21 | (1.55) | (0.39) | (0.58) | 0.59 |
(1.85)
|
| ’20 | (0.03) | (0.30) | (0.65) | (0.40) |
(1.38)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 5.27 | 5.70 | 9.65 | 13.05 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 30.36 | 13.17 | 25.39 | 40.83 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,956 | 2,939 | 2,971 | 2,906 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.42 | 0.74 | 0.75 | 0.87 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,777.30 | 2,185.40 | 2,220.30 | 2,527.90 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.68% | 4.01% | 7.75% | 10.14% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 33.40 | (71.10) | 309.80 | 2.70 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.20% | (3.25%) | 13.95% | 0.11% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (14.10) | (56.60) | 306.70 | 15.80 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 73.40 | 79.00 | 86.70 | 91.80 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 30.39 | 23.65 | 23.93 | 26.84 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.15) | (0.47) | 3.46 | 0.42 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.28 | 1.14 | (0.27) | 1.96 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.94) | (0.75) | (0.86) | (1.06) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.65) | 0.39 | (1.13) | 0.90 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.37 | 3.72 | 8.68 | 9.87 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 91.40 | 92.40 | 92.80 | 94.20 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.27 | 93.29 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.27 | 0.50 | 0.76 | 1.46 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.87 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 3.97 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.44 | 0.68 | 0.98 | 1.63 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (20.42) | 41.06 | (20.87) | 48.73 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 25.90 | 105.60 | (24.60) | 185.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (85.50) | (69.30) | (80.00) | (100.20) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (59.60) | 36.30 | (104.60) | 84.80 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 267.10 | 4.10 | 343.60 | 507.70 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 527.70 | 479.20 | 528.20 | 576.90 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 472.20 | 388.90 | 492.50 | 441.30 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 399.30 | 344.10 | 805.40 | 929.90 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.93%) | (2.60%) | 16.08% | 1.82% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (10.77%) | 2.34% | 5.22% | 7.21% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (3.44%) | (11.60%) | 55.48% | 4.61% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Century Aluminum (CENX), a key U.S. aluminum producer, staged a stunning 2024 turnaround, swinging from a $52 million loss to $321 million profit—fueled by soaring prices above $3,000/ton, smelter restarts like Hawesville, and protective U.S. tariffs shielding against Chinese imports. Revenue stabilized at $2.2 billion after a 2023 dip, with analysts forecasting robust 15% growth in 2025 and a 14% CAGR through 2027, driven by autos, packaging demand, and geopolitical tailwinds from Russia-Ukraine disruptions and European energy crises. Margins flipped positive, ROE hit 63%, and book value doubled, positioning CENX for leveraged upside amid U.S. reshoring and Inflation Reduction Act incentives.
Yet, volatility persists: earnings projections swing wildly (EPS from $1.63 in 2025 to $6.72 in 2026), free cash flow remains erratic due to capex and energy costs (30% of ops), and heavy insider selling—$281 million with no buys—signals caution after the stock’s 80% surge past 2024 highs and 1,500% from 2020 lows. Valuations appear reasonable (trailing PE 5.3x, PS 0.76x) but stretch on forward metrics amid aluminum cycle risks like China oversupply or recessions. Analysts eye 13-39% upside, making CENX a compelling commodity play for risk-tolerant investors—if prices and power deals hold.
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