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Alaska Air Group, Inc.

ALK Industrials Airlines

Alaska Air Group, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $14.2 billion, up 21.3% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 9.75%, EPS fell 146.9%, free cash flow fell 14.6% and total debt rose 24.9%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Dividend growth for three consecutive years, revenue growth for five; insiders bought in the last twelve months.

39.36 0.16 −0.40%
Market cap
$4.4B
P/E
0.0×
Fwd P/E
−32.6×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
6/9
Altman Z
1.12
Beneish M
−2.76
Dividend safety
n/a

Insider Decisions trades per month

Total buys 1.00
Total sells 3.47
Totals in millions of $.
Dec 25 Mar 26 Jun 26 Sep 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — 1 — —
Sell — — — 5 — — — — — 1 — —
Insider Ownership 0.28%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Market Cap 4,410.00
Revenue 14,763.00
Net Income (175.00)
Free Cash Flow (548.00)
Net Debt 3,540.00
Current Ratio 0.55 (below 1: weak)
Debt/Equity 1.70
P/E ratio 0.00
Fwd P/E (32.60) (negative: loss-making)
P/S ratio 0.30
P/B ratio 1.19
Past 5Y EPS Growth —
This Y EPS Growth (242.25%) (below 0%: weak)
Next Y EPS Growth 228.00% (at or above 15%: strong)
Next Y revenue growth 10.86% (at or above 10%: strong)
Next 5Y EPS Growth 48.00% (at or above 15%: strong)

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

P/S against its own 10 years 0.37%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 11.04%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 14.14%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Payout Ratio —
Annual Dividend Rate —
Annual Dividend Yield —
total individual payouts
2025 Powerpack
2024 Powerpack
2023 Powerpack
2022 Powerpack
2021 Powerpack
2020 0.38
0.38
2019 1.40
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
2018 1.28
0.32
0.32
0.32
0.32
2017 1.50
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
2016 1.10
0.28
0.28
0.28
0.28
predictions special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 1,791 2,504 2,151 2,695
Receivables 383 558 565 681
Inventory 116 199 203 253
Other 239 192 69 46
2,705 3,760 3,266 3,936
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 207 186 324 403
ST’ Debt 289 450 721 452
Other — — — —
4,459 6,145 6,589 7,192

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales 9.79% 31.90% 13.86%
Cash Flow (2.35%) 0.00% (4.14%)
Earnings (19.25%) 0.00% 19.91%
Book Value 5.50% 6.63% 2.57%

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 3,300 4,065 — — —
’25 3,137 3,704 3,766 3,632 14,239
’24 2,232 2,897 3,072 3,534 11,735
’23 2,196 2,838 2,839 2,553 10,426
’22 1,681 2,658 2,828 2,479 9,646
’21 797 1,527 1,953 1,899 6,176
’20 1,636 421 701 808 3,566
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 421 185 — — —
’25 459 376 229 185 1,249
’24 292 580 318 274 1,464
’23 222 610 271 (53) 1,050
’22 287 948 174 9 1,418
’21 167 840 (106) 129 1,030
’20 33 288 (205) (350) (234)
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 83 415 — — —
’25 221 486 (606) (440) (339)
’24 235 50 53 (155) 183
’23 98 100 (86) (556) (444)
’22 (1) 604 (141) (715) (253)
’21 140 765 (194) 29 740
’20 (86) 239 (241) (89) (177)
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (1.69) (0.68) — — —
’25 (1.35) 1.42 0.62 0.18 0.83
’24 (1.05) 1.71 1.84 0.55 3.08
’23 (1.11) 1.86 1.08 (0.02) 1.83
’22 (1.14) 1.09 0.31 0.17 0.45
’21 (1.05) 3.15 1.53 0.14 3.77
’20 (1.87) (1.73) (3.49) (3.47) (10.59)
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

1.4
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Trend 2026e 2027e 2028e
Price, $
Price, $ Low 54.51 61.10 57.42 53.39 20.02 46.26 38.19 30.75 32.62 37.63

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
High 91.89 101.43 75.46 72.22 68.79 74.25 61.55 57.18 67.73 78.08
People
People Employees 19,112 23,156 23,376 24,000 22,000 22,833 25,469 26,043 33,941 35,951
Revenue/emp, $m 0.31 0.34 0.35 0.37 0.16 0.27 0.38 0.40 0.35 0.40
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue 5,925 7,894 8,264 8,781 3,566 6,176 9,646 10,426 11,735 14,239
Gross margin, % 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
EBT 1,316 1,159 585 1,016 (1,840) 629 79 323 545 146
EBT margin, % 22.21 14.68 7.08 11.57 (51.60) 10.18 0.82 3.10 4.64 1.03
Net income 797 960 437 769 (1,324) 478 58 235 395 100
Depreciation 363 372 398 423 420 394 415 451 583 795
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue 47.95 64.07 67.06 71.23 28.89 49.38 76.16 81.85 93.03 120.49
Earnings 6.59 8.34 3.55 6.24 (10.59) 3.82 0.46 1.84 3.13 0.85
Cash flow 11.22 12.90 9.70 13.97 (1.90) 8.24 11.20 8.24 11.61 10.57
Capex (5.45) (7.69) (7.66) (5.42) 0.46 (2.32) (13.19) (11.73) (10.16) (13.44)
Free cash flow 5.77 5.21 2.04 8.55 (1.43) 5.92 (2.00) (3.49) 1.45 (2.87)
Book value 23.72 28.08 30.44 35.13 24.20 30.39 30.13 32.29 34.66 34.85
Shares, m 124 123 123 123 123 125 127 127 126 118
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E 13.37 9.00 17.14 10.87 0.00 13.64 93.69 20.81 20.75 55.27
P/S 1.84 1.17 0.91 0.95 1.80 1.06 0.55 0.47 0.70 0.42
P/B 3.71 2.67 2.00 1.93 2.15 1.71 1.40 1.19 1.87 1.44
EV/Sales 2.07 1.29 1.01 0.95 1.84 1.17 0.53 0.53 0.91 0.66
EV/FCF 17.19 15.87 33.33 7.90 (37.11) 9.75 (20.09) (12.53) 58.20 (27.58)
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow 1,386 1,590 1,195 1,722 (234) 1,030 1,418 1,050 1,464 1,249
Capex (673) (948) (944) (668) 57 (290) (1,671) (1,494) (1,281) (1,588)
Free cash flow 713 642 251 1,054 (177) 740 (253) (444) 183 (339)
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital (485) (534) (1,155) (1,164) (287) (71) (1,453) (1,754) (2,385) (3,323)
Total debt 2,964 2,569 2,103 1,499 3,495 3,818 2,159 2,471 4,988 5,555
Net debt 1,384 948 867 (22) 149 702 (258) 680 2,484 3,404
Shareholders’ equity 2,931 3,460 3,751 4,331 2,988 3,801 3,816 4,113 4,372 4,118
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA 9.67 9.27 4.04 6.43 (9.79) 3.41 0.41 1.63 2.30 0.50
ROIC 18.92 17.13 8.70 15.42 (35.36) 9.51 1.23 5.14 5.20 2.52
ROE 29.84 30.04 12.12 19.03 (36.18) 14.08 1.52 5.93 9.31 2.36
Negative figures in brackets.

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Charts ten years each

Alaska Air Group, Inc. vs peers in Airlines (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
LTM LATAM Airlines Group S.A. $14.5B 9.2× 8.8× +27.15% (above 0%: growing) −45.68% (below 0%: shrinking) −20.71% (below 0%: shrinking) 16.27% 5.29% Compare
AAL American Airlines Group Inc. $8.5B — (loss-making) — (loss-making) +16.28% (above 0%: growing) −87.91% (below 0%: shrinking) −175.65% (below 0%: shrinking) 20.73% 2.67% Compare
CPA Copa Holdings, S.A. $5.5B 8.8× 8.2× +25.72% (above 0%: growing) −53.74% (below 0%: shrinking) +207.63% (above 0%: growing) 50.85% 8.65% Compare
ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. $4.4B — (loss-making) — (loss-making) +9.75% (above 0%: growing) n/m −14.61% (below 0%: shrinking) 100.00% (4.13%)
SKYW SkyWest, Inc. $3.8B 9.4× 7.8× +6.52% (above 0%: growing) −14.43% (below 0%: shrinking) +122.47% (above 0%: growing) 69.52% 14.13% Compare
AERO Grupo Aeromexico SAB DE CV - Sponsored ADR $2.2B 8.1× 9.1× +6.26% (above 0%: growing) n/m +81.61% (above 0%: growing) 66.60% 4.53% Compare
ALGT Allegiant Travel Company $2.1B 53.8× 32.8× +36.86% (above 0%: growing) n/m −610.56% (below 0%: shrinking) 24.77% 2.24% Compare
JBLU JetBlue Airways Corporation $1.5B — (loss-making) — (loss-making) +14.47% (above 0%: growing) n/m −4.95% (below 0%: shrinking) 51.32% (5.23%) Compare
ULCC Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. $1.4B — (loss-making) — (loss-making) +37.67% (above 0%: growing) n/m +183.13% (above 0%: growing) 24.71% (7.58%) Compare
Median of peers $3.0B 9.2× 8.8× +21.00% −49.71% +38.33% 37.81% 3.60%

All 19 Airlines stocks →

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) key facts

  • Strength: Alaska Air Group, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $14.2 billion, up 21.3% from fiscal 2024.
  • Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) is an Airlines company in the Industrials sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • As of October 9, 2026, ALK traded at $39.36, a market capitalization of $4.4 billion.
  • Return on equity was 2.36% and debt-to-equity 1.70.
  • Its Piotroski F-score is 6 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 1.12 (distress zone) for fiscal 2025.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) Latest News

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stockrow.com/ALK · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com