| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 0.70 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 0.70 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.69 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.66 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.63 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.60 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.57 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.55 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.52 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 0.48 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 0.44 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 2,191.00 | 2,040.00 | 2,247.00 | 2,383.00 |
| Receivables | 1,420.00 | 1,646.00 | 1,683.00 | 1,934.00 |
| Inventory | 712.00 | 593.00 | 612.00 | 618.00 |
| Other | 2,149.00 | 2,395.00 | 1,768.00 | 1,367.00 |
| 6,649.00 | 6,831.00 | 6,502.00 | 6,403.00 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 2,199.00 | 1,654.00 | 1,980.00 | 2,170.00 |
| ST’ Debt | 4,132.00 | 3,587.00 | 3,111.00 | 3,462.00 |
| Other | 974.00 | 917.00 | 616.00 | 826.00 |
| 9,731.00 | 8,571.00 | 8,492.00 | 8,578.00 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 3,180.00 | 3,422.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 2,926.00 | 2,855.00 | 3,351.00 | 3,101.00 |
12,233.00
|
| ’24 | 3,085.00 | 2,942.00 | 3,289.00 | 2,962.00 |
12,278.00
|
| ’23 | 3,239.00 | 3,027.00 | 3,434.00 | 2,968.00 |
12,668.00
|
| ’22 | 2,852.00 | 3,078.00 | 3,627.00 | 3,060.00 |
12,617.00
|
| ’21 | 2,635.00 | 2,700.00 | 3,036.00 | 2,770.00 |
11,141.00
|
| ’20 | 2,338.00 | 2,217.00 | 2,545.00 | 2,560.00 |
9,660.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1,201.00 | 1,046.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 545.00 | 976.00 | 1,297.00 | 1,488.00 |
4,306.00
|
| ’24 | 287.00 | 392.00 | 985.00 | 1,088.00 |
2,752.00
|
| ’23 | 625.00 | 562.00 | 1,122.00 | 725.00 |
3,034.00
|
| ’22 | 457.00 | 408.00 | 784.00 | 1,066.00 |
2,715.00
|
| ’21 | 253.00 | 351.00 | 775.00 | 523.00 |
1,902.00
|
| ’20 | 373.00 | 447.00 | 1,267.00 | 668.00 |
2,755.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (565.00) | (597.00) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (709.00) | (356.00) | (511.00) | (47.00) |
(1,623.00)
|
| ’24 | (1,861.00) | (1,293.00) | (847.00) | (639.00) |
(4,640.00)
|
| ’23 | (926.00) | (1,283.00) | (777.00) | (1,704.00) |
(4,690.00)
|
| ’22 | (309.00) | (485.00) | (268.00) | (774.00) |
(1,836.00)
|
| ’21 | (179.00) | (216.00) | 240.00 | (59.00) |
(214.00)
|
| ’20 | (188.00) | 46.00 | 854.00 | 143.00 |
855.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 0.68 | 0.60 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.07 | (0.15) | 0.89 | 0.45 |
1.26
|
| ’24 | 0.60 | 0.27 | 0.71 | 0.79 |
2.36
|
| ’23 | 0.21 | (0.06) | 0.32 | (0.14) |
0.35
|
| ’22 | 0.16 | (0.27) | 0.59 | (1.35) |
(0.82)
|
| ’21 | (0.22) | 0.04 | 0.48 | (0.95) |
(0.61)
|
| ’20 | 0.22 | (0.12) | (0.50) | 0.47 |
0.07
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 18.62 | 11.43 | 12.24 | 9.46 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 29.89 | 29.11 | 22.21 | 15.51 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9,100 | 9,600 | 9,100 | 8,336 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.39 | 1.32 | 1.35 | 1.47 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12,617.00 | 12,668.00 | 12,278.00 | 12,233.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 20.19% | 19.77% | 18.85% | 18.07% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (169.00) | 104.00 | 894.00 | 75.00 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.34%) | 0.82% | 7.28% | 0.61% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (505.00) | (182.00) | 802.00 | 162.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,072.00 | 1,147.00 | 1,264.00 | 1,457.00 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 18.89 | 18.94 | 17.39 | 17.18 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.82) | 0.37 | 2.38 | 1.26 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.06 | 4.54 | 3.90 | 6.05 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (6.81) | (11.55) | (10.47) | (8.33) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2.75) | (7.01) | (6.57) | (2.28) | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.74 | 8.95 | 10.91 | 12.79 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 668.00 | 669.00 | 706.00 | 712.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 53.72 | 5.38 | 11.38 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.49 | 1.02 | 0.74 | 0.83 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 5.12 | 2.51 | 1.18 | 1.12 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.14 | 2.97 | 2.94 | 3.09 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (21.59) | (8.02) | (7.77) | (23.33) | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,715.00 | 3,034.00 | 2,752.00 | 4,306.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (4,551.00) | (7,724.00) | (7,392.00) | (5,929.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1,836.00) | (4,690.00) | (4,640.00) | (1,623.00) | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,152.00 | (3,082.00) | (1,740.00) | (1,990.00) | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 23,498.00 | 26,878.00 | 29,018.00 | 29,897.00 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 20,858.00 | 24,687.00 | 26,978.00 | 27,650.00 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4,504.00 | 5,985.00 | 7,704.00 | 9,105.00 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.53%) | 0.60% | 3.64% | 1.81% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.01% | 0.21% | 1.61% | 0.32% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (14.77%) | 5.65% | 26.13% | 10.71% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
AES Corporation, a global power leader pivoting to renewables amid AI-fueled data center demand and geopolitical supply strains, shows resilient revenue growth from $10.3 billion in 2016 to a projected $12.9 billion by 2027 (3% CAGR), boosted by IRA tax credits, solar/wind expansions, and hyperscaler deals totaling 2.4 GW. Operational efficiency shines with revenue per employee doubling to $1.35 million and headcount halved, yet aggressive Capex surging 200% to $7.4 billion has eroded gross margins to 19% and flipped free cash flow deeply negative at -$4.64 billion in 2024, pressuring valuations amid high rates and debt climbing 49% to $29 billion.
Recent profitability rebounded sharply in 2024 with $802 million net income (EPS $2.38, ROE 26%), projecting 87% earnings growth to $1.5 billion in 2025, while stock trades at depressed multiples (PE 5.4x, PS 0.74x) after a 62% peak-to-trough drop, undervaluing stable top-line momentum versus utility peers. Analyst targets imply 0% mean return but up to 47% upside if Capex moderates 47% in 2025 and yields 10%+ ROIC by 2027.
Macro tailwinds like 10-15% U.S. power demand surge from data centers and easing rates could catalyze a rerating toward 2022 highs for 20-40% returns, but leverage risks (net debt/equity >3.5x), policy shifts, and FCF inflection demand close watch—positioning AES as a high-conviction energy transition bet with balanced caution.
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