Advantage Solutions Inc. achieved 18% event growth and plans to deleverage using cash flow. 18% event growth combined with deleveraging targets points to moderate positive effects on financial performance and market position.
| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2024 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2022 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2021 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2019 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 137.20 | 220.75 | 252.99 | 114.47 |
| Receivables | 659.50 | 603.07 | 595.00 | 634.90 |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 1,012.03 | 910.74 | 972.62 | 830.34 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 172.89 | 158.49 | 162.38 | 176.15 |
| ST’ Debt | 13.27 | 13.25 | 13.25 | 25.27 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 541.30 | 460.06 | 432.63 | 462.88 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 869.60 | 889.45 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 821.79 | 873.71 | 915.01 | 932.13 |
3,542.64
|
| ’24 | 861.41 | 873.36 | 939.27 | 892.29 |
3,566.32
|
| ’23 | 944.38 | 963.76 | 1,019.71 | 972.28 |
3,900.13
|
| ’22 | 914.81 | 981.08 | 1,051.10 | 699.36 |
3,646.34
|
| ’21 | 791.02 | 849.95 | 928.76 | 1,032.56 |
3,602.30
|
| ’20 | 879.40 | 641.54 | 784.35 | 850.39 |
3,155.67
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 23.73 | (6.52) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (39.63) | (8.10) | 63.63 | 45.63 |
61.53
|
| ’24 | (9.38) | 53.43 | 33.95 | 15.09 |
93.10
|
| ’23 | 43.09 | 61.90 | 75.81 | 47.69 |
228.49
|
| ’22 | (23.95) | 53.95 | 51.96 | 22.76 |
104.71
|
| ’21 | 29.89 | 26.04 | 45.14 | 24.92 |
125.99
|
| ’20 | 50.97 | 183.46 | 55.68 | 55.63 |
345.73
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 12.33 | (15.95) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (54.73) | (10.22) | 52.19 | 21.38 |
8.62
|
| ’24 | (24.79) | 43.82 | 8.63 | 10.11 |
37.76
|
| ’23 | 37.10 | 53.85 | 65.44 | 30.55 |
186.93
|
| ’22 | (34.39) | 42.85 | 43.45 | 19.78 |
71.69
|
| ’21 | 24.64 | 18.33 | 34.00 | 17.85 |
94.82
|
| ’20 | 42.51 | 176.49 | 47.92 | 47.86 |
314.78
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (5.49) | (4.85) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (4.25) | (2.25) | 1.50 | (12.50) |
(17.50)
|
| ’24 | (0.50) | (7.75) | (3.25) | (13.75) |
(25.50)
|
| ’23 | (3.75) | (0.75) | (1.75) | 1.25 |
(5.00)
|
| ’22 | 1.50 | 0.25 | 1.75 | (111.75) |
(108.25)
|
| ’21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
4.25
|
| ’20 | — | — | 2.75 | — |
(18.25)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 44.50 | 28.25 | 67.50 | 20.03 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 206.00 | 101.25 | 123.75 | 73.75 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 75,000 | 70,000 | 69,000 | 73,000 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.05 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,646.34 | 3,900.13 | 3,566.32 | 3,542.64 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.97% | 12.44% | 14.22% | 13.95% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1,577.09) | (118.86) | (441.19) | (265.32) | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (43.25%) | (3.05%) | (12.37%) | (7.49%) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1,418.65) | (81.21) | (378.40) | (227.73) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,797.43 | 260.65 | 486.49 | 412.98 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 286.05 | 301.24 | 277.31 | 272.88 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | (108.25) | (5.00) | (25.50) | (17.50) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8.21 | 17.65 | 7.24 | 4.74 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2.59) | (3.21) | (4.30) | (4.08) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.62 | 14.44 | 2.94 | 0.66 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 96.16 | 85.28 | 58.22 | 42.67 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.75 | 12.95 | 12.86 | 12.98 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.19 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 0.08 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.57 | 1.06 | 1.25 | 0.52 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.71 | 0.74 | 0.68 | 0.48 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 28.11 | 13.90 | 28.36 | (21.22) | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 104.71 | 228.49 | 93.10 | 61.53 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (33.01) | (41.56) | (55.34) | (52.91) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 71.69 | 186.93 | 37.76 | 8.62 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 556.31 | 470.74 | 450.68 | 539.98 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,036.81 | 1,861.39 | 1,699.94 | 1,673.86 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,898.28 | 1,724.19 | 1,479.19 | 1,420.87 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,225.72 | 1,104.08 | 748.74 | 553.96 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (27.29%) | (1.57%) | (9.50%) | (7.72%) | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (29.89%) | 1.03% | (8.28%) | (4.00%) | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (72.54%) | (5.44%) | (35.29%) | (34.96%) | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Advantage Solutions Inc. (ADV), a key player in brand marketing from in-store demos to digital campaigns, has endured a rollercoaster since its 2021 SPAC debut—hammered by COVID, inflation, and retail shifts, with revenue peaking at $3.90 billion in 2023 before dipping 8.5% to $3.57 billion in 2024. Profitability remains volatile, with massive past losses from impairments now narrowing toward positive EBT in 2025 and stabilizing forecasts, bolstered by aggressive debt cuts (down 47% to $1.70 billion) and positive free cash flow. Yet the stock trades near lows around $2.70, with sky-low valuations like a 0.26x P/S ratio and 1.25x P/B, screaming potential mispricing amid a 96% plunge from peaks.
Insiders are betting big: directors and executives scooped up over 757,000 shares worth ~$757k in early 2025 at sub-$2 prices, with minimal sells—a rare conviction signal in a beaten-down name. Analysts echo the upside, projecting 160-590% gains from here, fueled by modest revenue recovery, efficiency gains, and ROE turnaround as CPG clients rebound. But risks abound: cyclical ad spends, digital competition, and macro headwinds could trap the unwary.
This battle-tested value play offers speculative catalysts like Q1 2026 earnings beats and margin expansion—potentially 2-3x returns if execution delivers. Dive into the full analysis for the charts, forecasts, and why ADV might finally advantage investors.
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