Friday 6 November 2026
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Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation
ACRE Real Estate Reit Mortgage
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $54.8 million, down 21.3% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +14.3%
- EPS
- +140.0%
- Free cash flow
- +1,481.2%
- Total debt
- +42.2%
Quarter to June 2026, against a year earlier
3.77
0.37
+10.88%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Ten-year view | Analyst estimates Powerpack | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM Jun ’26 | Trend | 10 yrs | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e | Next 3/yr |
| Income, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 45 | 46 | 55 | 77 | 83 | 102 | 107 | 93 | 70 | 55 | 55 | +2.2% | 56 | 60 | 57 | +1.3% | |
| Gross margin, % | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 0.0 pt | ||||||
| EBT | 31 | 31 | 39 | 38 | 22 | 61 | 30 | (39) | (35) | (1) | (4) | n/m | ||||||
| EBT margin, % | 68.02 | 66.04 | 70.62 | 48.55 | 26.84 | 59.94 | 28.32 | (41.87) | (50.27) | (1.13) | (7.73) | (69.1) pt | ||||||
| Net income | 45 | 30 | 39 | 37 | 22 | 60 | 30 | (39) | (35) | (1) | (4) | n/m | ||||||
| Per share, $ | ||||||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 1.58 | 1.63 | 1.94 | 2.70 | 2.51 | 2.41 | 2.07 | 1.71 | 1.28 | 1.00 | 1.00 | (5.0%) | |||||
| Earnings | 1.42 | 1.07 | 1.35 | 1.29 | 0.66 | 1.43 | 0.58 | (0.72) | (0.64) | (0.02) | (0.08) | n/m | ||||||
| Cash flow | (0.16) | 1.10 | 1.37 | 1.13 | 0.96 | 1.14 | 1.11 | 0.86 | 0.65 | 0.39 | 0.28 | n/m | ||||||
| Capex | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | (0.06) | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.74 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 0.06 | 0.05 | n/m | ||||||
| Free cash flow | (0.17) | 1.10 | 1.37 | 1.08 | 0.95 | 1.14 | 1.85 | 0.86 | 0.88 | 0.45 | 0.33 | n/m | ||||||
| Book value | 15.10 | 14.72 | 14.92 | 14.90 | 14.34 | 16.01 | 14.46 | 11.53 | 9.92 | 9.28 | 8.84 | (5.3%) | ||||||
| Shares, m | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 33 | 42 | 52 | 54 | 54 | 55 | 55 | +7.6% | ||||||
| Valuation, × | ||||||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 9.92 | 11.84 | 9.59 | 12.18 | 18.90 | 9.96 | 17.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.0 | |||||
| P/S | 8.88 | 7.86 | 6.73 | 5.87 | 4.75 | 6.04 | 5.20 | 5.98 | 4.60 | 4.78 | 3.42 | 6.1 | ||||||
| P/B | 0.93 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 1.06 | 0.83 | 0.91 | 0.74 | 0.89 | 0.59 | 0.51 | 0.39 | 0.8 | ||||||
| EV/Sales | 29.56 | 37.15 | 28.35 | 23.01 | 21.00 | 24.38 | 19.62 | 21.60 | 21.20 | 23.57 | 26.16 | 24.9 | ||||||
| EV/FCF | (275.24) | 55.69 | 40.32 | 57.79 | 55.16 | 51.65 | 21.98 | 23.61 | 30.79 | 52.72 | 80.15 | 11.4 | ||||||
| Cash, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | (4) | 31 | 39 | 32 | 32 | 48 | 57 | 47 | 36 | 21 | 15 | n/m | |||||
| Capex | 0 | — | — | (2) | 0 | 0 | 38 | — | 12 | 3 | 3 | n/m | ||||||
| Free cash flow | (5) | 31 | 39 | 31 | 31 | 48 | 95 | 47 | 48 | 25 | 18 | n/m | ||||||
| Balance, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | 48 | 29 | 11 | (49) | 13 | 0 | 37 | 45 | 66 | 67 | 59 | +3.9% | |||||
| Net debt | 883 | 1,308 | 1,146 | 1,275 | 1,294 | 1,822 | 1,491 | 1,402 | 1,106 | 980 | 1,204 | +1.2% | ||||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 430 | 419 | 426 | 426 | 473 | 679 | 748 | 626 | 540 | 510 | 489 | +1.9% | ||||||
| Returns, % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 2.93 | 1.93 | 2.29 | 2.18 | 1.18 | 2.65 | 1.16 | (1.62) | (1.74) | (0.05) | (0.27) | (3.0) pt | |||||
| ROIC | 1.46 | 1.14 | 1.55 | 1.38 | 1.64 | 1.53 | 2.07 | 1.99 | 1.20 | 0.56 | 0.65 | (0.9) pt | ||||||
| ROE | 9.10 | 7.16 | 9.14 | 8.68 | 4.86 | 10.50 | 4.18 | (5.66) | (6.00) | (0.17) | (0.88) | (9.3) pt | ||||||
| People | ||||||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 930 | 1,000 | 1,075 | 1,200 | 1,450 | 2,100 | 2,550 | 2,800 | 3,200 | 4,250 | — | +18.4% | |||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.01 | — | (13.7%) | ||||||
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation vs peers in Reit Mortgage (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance | $309.8M | 3.0× | 10.2× | −37.40% (below 0%: shrinking) | −8.33% (below 0%: shrinking) | −20.13% (below 0%: shrinking) | 91.99% | 16.46% | Compare |
| NREF NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. | $256.2M | 3.9× | 10.9× | +11.50% (above 0%: growing) | −57.97% (below 0%: shrinking) | −363.98% (below 0%: shrinking) | 100.00% | 25.54% | Compare |
| CMTG Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. | $241.3M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | −29.16% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | +36.67% (above 0%: growing) | 79.10% | (44.62%) | Compare |
| REFI Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. | $229.1M | 6.5× | 6.7× | −11.02% (below 0%: shrinking) | −16.67% (below 0%: shrinking) | +40.10% (above 0%: growing) | 100.00% | 59.97% | Compare |
| ACRE Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation | $188.6M | — (loss-making) | 48.0× | +14.25% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +1,481.15% (above 0%: growing) | 100.00% | 37.52% | |
| RC Ready Capital Corp | $176.8M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | −49.32% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | +231.22% (above 0%: growing) | 100.00% | 101.65% | Compare |
| ACR ACRES Commercial Realty Corp. | $176.4M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | −4.08% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | −57.74% (below 0%: shrinking) | 92.55% | (26.38%) | Compare |
| MITT TPG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc. | $158.7M | 6.8× | 16.4× | +11.99% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +110.45% (above 0%: growing) | 100.00% | 100.45% | Compare |
| AOMR Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. | $144.4M | — (loss-making) | 16.4× | +15.82% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +63.13% (above 0%: growing) | 24.11% | (39.27%) | Compare |
| Median of peers | $202.9M | 5.2× | 10.9× | −7.55% | −16.67% | +38.39% | 96.28% | 21.00% |
Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 1 April 2026
Chief executive’s pay
| Year | Total pay | Actually paid | $100 invested |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 263.34k | 207.91k | 74.96 |
| 2024 | 287.55k | (123.87k) | 81.40 |
| 2023 | 637.20k | 795.45k | 123.60 |
| 2022 | 686.08k | 425.30k | 107.05 |
| 2021 | 760.20k | 996.74k | 134.29 |
Ownership
Directors and executive officers, together
2.30%
BlackRock, Inc.
8.80%
Total pay is as the Summary Compensation Table states it; actually paid revalues the year’s share awards
at its end, as the SEC’s pay-versus-performance rule asks. $100 invested is what $100 in the company’s
shares at the start of the earliest year shown was worth at each year’s end.
Ownership is the proxy’s own table: the directors and officers as a group, and every holder of 5% or more.
Read the proxy statement