Friday 6 November 2026
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Arbor Realty Trust
Arbor Realty Trust’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.2 billion, down 15.0% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- −6.33%
- EPS
- −355.0%
- Free cash flow
- +22.1%
- Total debt
- −9.81%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
1.61
0.05
−3.01%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Ten-year view | Analyst estimates Powerpack | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM Sep ’26 | Trend | 10 yrs | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e | Next 3/yr |
| Income, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 213 | 347 | 485 | 536 | 604 | 799 | 1,177 | 1,624 | 1,427 | 1,212 | 1,178 | +21.3% | 210 | 218 | — | (57.6%) | |
| Gross margin, % | 45.70 | 44.42 | 43.35 | 40.51 | 47.25 | 51.89 | 38.68 | 34.19 | 30.35 | 25.43 | 20.02 | (20.3) pt | ||||||
| EBT | 62 | 98 | 148 | 155 | 196 | 378 | 354 | 401 | 284 | 158 | (75) | +10.8% | ||||||
| EBT margin, % | 29.30 | 28.13 | 30.53 | 28.97 | 32.49 | 47.27 | 30.07 | 24.66 | 19.90 | 13.02 | (6.40) | (16.3) pt | ||||||
| Net income | 62 | 98 | 148 | 155 | 196 | 378 | 354 | 401 | 284 | 158 | (75) | +10.8% | ||||||
| Per share, $ | ||||||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 4.16 | 5.99 | 6.91 | 5.77 | 5.30 | 5.80 | 7.12 | 8.80 | 7.56 | 6.28 | 6.98 | +4.7% | |||||
| Earnings | 0.83 | 1.14 | 1.54 | 1.30 | 1.44 | 2.30 | 1.72 | 1.79 | 1.18 | 0.56 | (0.64) | (4.3%) | ||||||
| Cash flow | (3.87) | 7.94 | (0.54) | (2.44) | 0.48 | 1.57 | 6.65 | 1.28 | 2.45 | 1.93 | 1.98 | n/m | ||||||
| Capex | 0.94 | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.01) | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | (0.21) | (0.24) | n/m | ||||||
| Free cash flow | (2.93) | 7.93 | (0.54) | (2.44) | 0.56 | 1.57 | 6.65 | 1.28 | 2.50 | 1.72 | 1.74 | n/m | ||||||
| Book value | 14.56 | 14.93 | 15.18 | 14.60 | 13.03 | 18.50 | 18.58 | 17.63 | 16.70 | 15.90 | 15.64 | +1.0% | ||||||
| Shares, m | 51 | 58 | 70 | 93 | 114 | 138 | 165 | 185 | 189 | 193 | 187 | +15.9% | ||||||
| Valuation, × | ||||||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 9.18 | 7.65 | 6.58 | 11.04 | 10.20 | 8.00 | 7.83 | 8.35 | 11.64 | 14.11 | 0.00 | 9.5 | |||||
| P/S | 1.83 | 1.44 | 1.46 | 2.49 | 2.67 | 3.16 | 1.90 | 1.71 | 1.83 | 1.24 | 0.24 | 2.0 | ||||||
| P/B | 0.59 | 0.65 | 0.72 | 1.05 | 1.16 | 1.27 | 0.92 | 1.06 | 1.04 | 0.62 | 0.14 | 0.9 | ||||||
| EV/Sales | 5.88 | 5.77 | 4.67 | 6.43 | 7.21 | 11.08 | 8.72 | 5.90 | 5.55 | 5.53 | 4.33 | 6.7 | ||||||
| EV/FCF | (8.35) | 4.36 | (59.43) | (15.15) | 68.12 | 39.27 | 9.26 | 39.21 | 16.74 | 20.22 | 17.37 | 11.4 | ||||||
| Cash, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | (199) | 460 | (38) | (227) | 55 | 217 | 1,100 | 236 | 462 | 372 | 335 | n/m | |||||
| Capex | 48 | (1) | 0 | 0 | 9 | — | — | — | 11 | (41) | (41) | n/m | ||||||
| Free cash flow | (150) | 459 | (38) | (227) | 64 | 217 | 1,100 | 236 | 472 | 332 | 294 | n/m | ||||||
| Balance, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | 2,549 | 3,020 | 4,040 | 5,571 | 6,938 | 14,231 | 16,138 | 14,659 | 12,331 | 13,363 | 12,771 | +20.2% | |||||
| Net debt | 863 | 1,500 | 1,507 | 2,060 | 2,689 | 6,284 | 7,974 | 6,765 | 5,261 | 5,159 | 4,774 | +22.0% | ||||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 747 | 865 | 1,066 | 1,356 | 1,483 | 2,550 | 3,072 | 3,255 | 3,152 | 3,067 | 2,642 | +17.0% | ||||||
| Returns, % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 1.78 | 2.00 | 2.63 | 2.23 | 2.35 | 2.79 | 1.77 | 2.01 | 1.53 | 0.77 | (0.76) | (1.0) pt | |||||
| ROIC | 2.44 | 2.82 | 3.76 | 3.27 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 2.17 | 2.68 | 2.18 | 1.59 | 0.16 | (0.9) pt | ||||||
| ROE | 7.55 | 9.19 | 12.37 | 10.80 | 12.29 | 18.74 | 12.85 | 13.05 | 8.69 | 4.34 | (4.79) | (3.2) pt | ||||||
| People | ||||||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 288 | 445 | 468 | 532 | 522 | 579 | 630 | 647 | 659 | 653 | — | +9.5% | |||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.74 | 0.78 | 1.04 | 1.01 | 1.16 | 1.38 | 1.87 | 2.51 | 2.17 | 1.86 | — | +10.8% | ||||||
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Sep 2026 · fundamentals updated 5 Nov 2026
Arbor Realty Trust vs peers in Reit Mortgage (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBRT Franklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc. | $475.2M | — (loss-making) | 12.7× | −16.32% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | +34.53% (above 0%: growing) | 92.17% | 25.20% | Compare |
| BRSP BrightSpire Capital, Inc. | $431.4M | 23.7× | 11.9× | −5.94% (below 0%: shrinking) | +3,762.00% (above 0%: growing) | +122.61% (above 0%: growing) | 61.25% | (26.51%) | Compare |
| RWT Redwood Trust, Inc. | $390.7M | — (loss-making) | 12.8× | −86.45% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | −77.33% (below 0%: shrinking) | 100.00% | (4.68%) | Compare |
| KREF KKR Real Estate Finance Trust | $329.7M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | −21.85% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | −194.41% (below 0%: shrinking) | 100.00% | (3.15%) | Compare |
| ARI Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance | $309.8M | 3.0× | 10.2× | −37.40% (below 0%: shrinking) | −8.33% (below 0%: shrinking) | −20.13% (below 0%: shrinking) | 91.99% | 16.46% | Compare |
| ABR Arbor Realty Trust | $305.7M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | −6.33% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | +22.05% (above 0%: growing) | 14.29% | (18.36%) | |
| NREF NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. | $256.2M | 3.9× | 10.9× | +11.50% (above 0%: growing) | −57.97% (below 0%: shrinking) | −363.98% (below 0%: shrinking) | 100.00% | 25.54% | Compare |
| CMTG Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. | $241.3M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | −29.16% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | +36.67% (above 0%: growing) | 79.10% | (44.62%) | Compare |
| REFI Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. | $229.1M | 6.5× | 6.7× | −11.02% (below 0%: shrinking) | −16.67% (below 0%: shrinking) | +40.10% (above 0%: growing) | 100.00% | 59.97% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $319.7M | 5.2× | 11.4× | −19.09% | −12.50% | +7.20% | 96.09% | 6.66% |
Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 16 April 2026
Chief executive’s pay
| Year | Total pay | Actually paid | $100 invested |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11.79m | 6.18m | 94.00 |
| 2024 | 12.06m | 11.97m | 149.00 |
| 2023 | 12.40m | 23.82m | 144.00 |
| 2022 | 10.57m | 8.15m | 111.00 |
| 2021 | 13.44m | 29.01m | 139.00 |
Ownership
Directors and executive officers, together
10.80%
BlackRock, Inc.
12.40%
The Vanguard Group
9.10%
Ivan Kaufman
7.40%
Arbor Commercial Mortgage, LLC
6.20%
John Natalone
1.90%
Total pay is as the Summary Compensation Table states it; actually paid revalues the year’s share awards
at its end, as the SEC’s pay-versus-performance rule asks. $100 invested is what $100 in the company’s
shares at the start of the earliest year shown was worth at each year’s end.
Ownership is the proxy’s own table: the directors and officers as a group, and every holder of 5% or more.
Read the proxy statement