Saturday 17 October 2026
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Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
AAP Consumer Cyclical Auto Parts
Advance Auto Parts, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $8.6 billion, down 5.42% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue was flat, EPS grew 264.0%, free cash flow grew 9,650.0% and total debt rose 89.0%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Dividend growth for three consecutive years.
44.45
0.53
+1.21%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Price, $ | Low | 131.59 | 78.81 | 99.71 | 130.09 | 71.33 | 143.15 | 138.52 | 47.73 | 35.59 | 28.89 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
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| High | 177.83 | 177.50 | 186.15 | 182.56 | 170.50 | 243.05 | 244.55 | 158.22 | 88.56 | 70.00 | |||||
| People | |||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 74,000 | 71,000 | 71,000 | 67,000 | 68,000 | 68,000 | 67,000 | 69,000 | 62,800 | 54,007 | ||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.16 | |||||
| Income, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 9,568 | 9,374 | 9,581 | 9,709 | 10,106 | 10,998 | 9,149 | 9,209 | 9,094 | 8,601 | ||||
| Gross margin, % | 44.48 | 43.58 | 44.04 | 43.82 | 44.34 | 44.77 | 46.27 | 41.92 | 37.49 | 43.40 | |||||
| EBT | 739 | 520 | 555 | 638 | 651 | 782 | 460 | (47) | (768) | (91) | |||||
| EBT margin, % | 7.72 | 5.55 | 5.80 | 6.57 | 6.44 | 7.11 | 5.03 | (0.51) | (8.45) | (1.06) | |||||
| Net income | 460 | 476 | 424 | 487 | 493 | 597 | 464 | 30 | (336) | 44 | |||||
| Depreciation | 258 | 249 | 238 | 238 | 250 | 260 | 248 | 269 | 292 | 272 | |||||
| Per share, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 130.06 | 126.94 | 129.94 | 137.00 | 147.01 | 171.77 | 151.59 | 155.03 | 152.58 | 143.59 | ||||
| Earnings | 6.22 | 6.44 | 5.75 | 6.87 | 7.17 | 9.62 | 8.32 | 0.50 | (5.63) | 0.73 | |||||
| Cash flow | 7.11 | 8.14 | 11.00 | 12.23 | 14.11 | 17.29 | 12.20 | 4.83 | 1.43 | (0.77) | |||||
| Capex | (3.50) | (2.42) | (2.60) | (6.53) | (3.88) | (4.49) | (6.62) | (3.69) | (2.80) | (3.86) | |||||
| Free cash flow | 3.62 | 5.72 | 8.40 | 5.70 | 10.22 | 12.80 | 5.58 | 1.14 | (1.38) | (4.62) | |||||
| Book value | 39.64 | 46.25 | 48.16 | 50.08 | 51.78 | 48.86 | 43.07 | 42.42 | 36.41 | 36.69 | |||||
| Shares, m | 74 | 74 | 74 | 71 | 69 | 64 | 60 | 59 | 60 | 60 | |||||
| Valuation, × | |||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 27.38 | 16.47 | 27.38 | 23.28 | 16.95 | 26.00 | 19.64 | 42.43 | 0.00 | 53.84 | ||||
| P/S | 1.31 | 0.84 | 1.21 | 1.17 | 1.09 | 1.49 | 1.08 | 0.43 | 0.31 | 0.27 | |||||
| P/B | 4.30 | 2.29 | 3.27 | 3.20 | 3.04 | 4.91 | 3.52 | 1.46 | 1.30 | 1.07 | |||||
| EV/Sales | 1.41 | 0.89 | 1.23 | 1.25 | 1.16 | 1.58 | 1.21 | 0.60 | 0.31 | 0.34 | |||||
| EV/FCF | 50.60 | 19.74 | 18.99 | 20.08 | 10.18 | 17.37 | 13.57 | 7.65 | (33.77) | (10.55) | |||||
| Cash, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 523 | 601 | 811 | 867 | 970 | 1,107 | 737 | 287 | 85 | (46) | ||||
| Capex | (257) | (179) | (192) | (463) | (267) | (287) | (400) | (219) | (167) | (231) | |||||
| Free cash flow | 266 | 422 | 619 | 404 | 703 | 820 | 337 | 68 | (82) | (277) | |||||
| Balance, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | 1,497 | 1,947 | 2,197 | 1,218 | 1,526 | 1,095 | 594 | 1,070 | 1,478 | 3,114 | ||||
| Total debt | 1,043 | 1,044 | 1,046 | 1,225 | 1,496 | 1,499 | 1,373 | 1,786 | 1,789 | 3,412 | |||||
| Net debt | 908 | 497 | 149 | 807 | 661 | 898 | 1,102 | 1,298 | (80) | 289 | |||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 2,916 | 3,415 | 3,551 | 3,549 | 3,560 | 3,128 | 2,599 | 2,520 | 2,170 | 2,198 | |||||
| Returns, % | |||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 5.59 | 5.66 | 4.84 | 4.80 | 4.27 | 4.96 | 3.84 | 0.25 | (2.91) | 0.39 | ||||
| ROIC | 12.87 | 9.11 | 10.21 | 9.72 | 11.11 | 12.77 | 8.86 | 0.64 | (21.32) | (1.08) | |||||
| ROE | 17.10 | 15.02 | 12.17 | 13.72 | 13.87 | 17.84 | 16.22 | 1.17 | (14.33) | 2.01 | |||||
Negative figures in brackets.
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026
Charts ten years each
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. vs peers in Auto Parts (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GNTX Gentex Corporation | $4.5B | 11.1× | 12.4× | −1.00% (below 0%: shrinking) | +25.58% (above 0%: growing) | +22.58% (above 0%: growing) | 37.00% | 21.70% | Compare |
| DORM Dorman Products, Inc. | $3.7B | 17.2× | 16.1× | +0.67% (above 0%: growing) | +53.40% (above 0%: growing) | +146,375.51% (above 0%: growing) | 46.13% | 21.34% | Compare |
| ATMU Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. | $3.6B | 16.9× | 16.3× | +16.41% (above 0%: growing) | +6.85% (above 0%: growing) | +100.00% (above 0%: growing) | 29.15% | 18.41% | Compare |
| DAN Dana Incorporated | $3.1B | 2.9× | 6.3× | +3.88% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | −540.00% (below 0%: shrinking) | 10.45% | 3.78% | Compare |
| AAP Advance Auto Parts, Inc. | $2.7B | 32.0× | 21.0× | −0.50% (below 0%: shrinking) | +264.00% (above 0%: growing) | +9,650.00% (above 0%: growing) | 46.15% | 5.05% | |
| VC Visteon Corporation | $2.4B | 11.2× | 15.5× | −0.93% (below 0%: shrinking) | −22.69% (below 0%: shrinking) | −81.25% (below 0%: shrinking) | 12.29% | 7.60% | Compare |
| PHIN PHINIA Inc. | $2.1B | 16.6× | 14.6× | +5.62% (above 0%: growing) | −7.89% (below 0%: shrinking) | +187.50% (above 0%: growing) | 22.98% | 8.51% | Compare |
| HSAI Hesai Group Sponsored ADR | $1.8B | 25.5× | 34.9× | +28.66% (above 0%: growing) | +32.80% (above 0%: growing) | −29.90% (below 0%: shrinking) | 40.11% | 0.26% | Compare |
| THRM Gentherm Inc | $1.6B | 33.4× | 22.0× | +10.95% (above 0%: growing) | +797.44% (above 0%: growing) | −103.23% (below 0%: shrinking) | 23.17% | 2.57% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $2.7B | 16.7× | 15.8× | +4.75% | +25.58% | −3.66% | 26.16% | 8.06% |
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) key facts
- Concern: Advance Auto Parts, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $8.6 billion, down 5.42% from fiscal 2024.
- Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) is an Auto Parts company in the Consumer Cyclical sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
- As of October 16, 2026, AAP traded at $44.45, a market capitalization of $2.7 billion.
- Advance Auto Parts, Inc. pays an annual dividend of $1.00 per share, a yield of 2.25%, with a payout ratio of 73.0%.
- Return on equity was 2.01% and debt-to-equity 1.50.
- Its Piotroski F-score is 4 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 1.67 (distress zone) for fiscal 2025.