Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. WMS

133.13 4.29 3.33% as of 25 Sep
Market cap
$9.7B
P/E
22.8×
Growth Flags show if company had growth for consecutive years

Insider Decisions

Total sells 14.84
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — 4 1 — — — — — — — — —
Insider Ownership 8.58%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap 9,720.00
Revenue 3,221.61
Net Income 455.60
Free Cash Flow 550.88
Net Debt 1,565.23
Current Ratio 2.12
Debt/Equity 0.95
P/E ratio 22.84
P/S ratio 3.16
P/B ratio 5.60
Past 5Y EPS Growth 39.58%
This Y EPS Growth (0.18%)
Next Y EPS Growth 18.51%
Next 5Y EPS Growth 12.31%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio 0.08
Annual Dividend Rate 0.56
Annual Dividend Yield 0.35%
total individual payouts
2029 Powerpack
2028 Powerpack
2027 Powerpack
2026 0.72
0.18
0.20
0.20
2025 0.70
0.16
0.18
0.18
0.18
2024 0.62
0.14
0.16
0.16
0.16
2023 0.54
0.12
0.14
0.14
0.14
2022 0.47
0.11
0.12
0.12
0.12
2021 0.42
0.09
0.11
0.11
0.11
2020 0.36
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
2019 0.35
0.08
0.09
0.09
0.09
2018 0.31
0.07
0.08
0.08
0.08
2017 0.27
0.06
0.07
0.07
0.07
2016 0.23
0.05
0.06
0.06
0.06
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2024 2025 2026 Q'26
Cash 490 463 223 162
Receivables 324 333 391 459
Inventory 464 488 543 549
Other 22 40 74 72
1,300 1,325 1,231 1,241
2024 2025 2026 Q'26
Payables 254 218 238 298
ST’ Debt 12 10 6 8
Other — — 15 12
440 398 509 586
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales 8.98% 9.00% (0.23%)
Cash Flow 19.73% 12.61% 4.99%
Earnings 34.88% 18.13% (5.61%)
Book Value 19.88% 12.10% 30.77%

Revenue

Jun Sep Dec Mar Year
’26 1,001 — — — —
’26 830 850 693 677 3,050
’25 815 783 691 616 2,904
’24 778 780 662 654 2,874
’23 914 884 655 618 3,071
’22 669 706 715 678 2,769
’21 509 544 486 444 1,983
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Operating Cash Flow

Jun Sep Dec Mar Year
’26 260 — — — —
’26 275 235 269 40 819
’25 183 167 190 41 581
’24 244 215 241 18 718
’23 250 187 223 47 708
’22 104 (9) 99 81 275
’21 134 152 163 3 452
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Free Cash Flow

Jun Sep Dec Mar Year
’26 204 — — — —
’26 222 203 189 (45) 569
’25 126 113 136 (6) 369
’24 222 174 188 (50) 534
’23 214 148 172 7 541
’22 79 (48) 62 32 126
’21 123 134 134 (18) 373
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

EPS

Jun Sep Dec Mar Year
’26 2.19 — — — —
’26 1.84 1.99 1.19 0.42 5.44
’25 2.06 1.67 1.04 0.99 5.76
’24 2.18 1.71 1.34 1.21 6.45
’23 2.22 1.80 0.99 1.06 6.08
’22 0.87 0.88 0.86 0.54 3.15
’21 0.83 0.93 0.62 0.23 2.59
fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

1.2
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
17.90 21.70 23.83 22.13 80.35 79.90 75.02 113.10 93.92 124.75

Analyst estimates 2027–2029

Powerpack
Low Price
26.30 33.50 40.16 84.37 138.02 153.36 145.68 184.27 155.39 179.32
High Price
4,500 4,400 4,400 4,950 5,000 5,635 5,870 5,705 6,000 6,425
Employees
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
Revenue/Emp
1,257 1,330 1,385 1,674 1,983 2,769 3,071 2,874 2,904 3,050
Revenue
23.53% 22.74% 23.61% 18.91% 34.80% 28.90% 36.42% 39.87% 37.68% 38.27%
Gross Margin
65 77 112 (180) 312 384 657 667 589 560
EBT
5.16% 5.78% 8.06% (10.73%) 15.75% 13.85% 21.40% 23.20% 20.30% 18.35%
EBT Margin
36 65 81 (192) 226 275 511 513 453 429
Net Income
74 76 73 159 146 142 147 157 185 218
Depreciation
22.89 23.89 24.28 26.23 28.26 38.85 37.31 36.73 37.45 39.23
Revenue/Sh
0.51 1.00 1.23 (3.21) 2.64 3.22 6.16 6.52 5.81 5.48
Earnings/Sh
1.90 2.46 2.66 4.80 6.45 3.86 8.60 9.17 7.50 10.53
Cash Flow/Sh
(0.93) (0.75) (0.76) (1.06) (1.12) (2.09) (2.03) (2.35) (2.75) (3.21)
Capex/Sh
0.96 1.71 1.90 3.74 5.32 1.77 6.57 6.83 4.75 7.32
Free CF/Sh
6.23 7.64 8.78 12.29 15.16 15.50 10.22 14.98 19.90 24.21
Book Value/Sh
55 56 57 64 70 71 82 78 78 78
Shares
38.42 25.00 21.52 0.00 39.16 36.90 13.72 26.18 18.73 25.02
PE Ratio
0.96 1.04 1.08 1.12 3.66 3.06 2.26 4.64 2.90 3.50
PS Ratio
30.53 10.28 6.87 3.65 8.82 9.31 8.24 11.38 5.46 5.66
PB Ratio
1.28 1.29 1.29 1.70 3.97 3.39 2.62 4.93 3.22 3.99
EV/Sales
30.29 18.01 16.48 11.93 21.10 74.62 14.85 26.54 25.38 21.38
EV/FCF
104 137 152 306 452 275 708 718 581 819
Op' Cash Flow
(51) (42) (43) (68) (79) (149) (167) (184) (213) (250)
Capex
53 95 108 239 373 126 541 534 369 569
FCF
185 237 260 428 425 481 639 860 926 721
Working Cap'
407 358 296 1,142 822 940 1,316 1,333 1,393 1,734
Total Debt
401 340 287 968 627 919 1,099 843 929 1,511
Net Debt
342 425 501 785 1,063 1,105 842 1,172 1,543 1,882
Sh' Equity
2.68% 5.32% 6.73% (12.00%) 7.75% 9.07% 18.27% 16.53% 12.94% 10.41%
ROA
6.42% 7.21% 10.27% (3.40%) 12.74% 12.72% 23.16% 22.71% 16.62% 11.41%
ROIC
154.45% 64.08% 39.87% (55.85%) 27.72% 26.50% 57.91% 50.64% 33.16% 24.90%
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Mar 2026 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. peers in Building Products & Equipment

All 35 Building Products & Equipment stocks →

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) key facts

  • Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) is a Building Products & Equipment company in the Industrials sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended March 2026) was $3.1 billion, up 5.03% from fiscal 2025.
  • As of September 25, 2026, WMS traded at $133.13, a market capitalization of $9.7 billion.
  • Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. pays an annual dividend of $0.56 per share, a yield of 0.35%, with a payout ratio of 8.28%.
  • Return on equity was 24.9% and debt-to-equity 0.95.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

25 Sep

4

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) trades at $133.13, up 23.7% over five years. A discounted cash flow analysis shows trailing free cash flow of about $569 million and projects growth through 2029 with a two-stage model, implying an intrinsic value meaningfully above the current price. The piece highlights a market narrative that the stock is about 28% undervalued due to structural cost advantages from recycling capacity and an internal trucking fleet, supporting margins. It cautions that future cash flows and execution—driven by the capital-intensive drainage and water-management business—will determine whether valuation gaps close. Overall, the article frames the stock as undervalued on cash-flow basis, with upside if cash generation and profitability materialize as forecasted. DCF-based valuation suggests meaningful upside from current price if cash flow growth and margins sustain.

3

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) declined 5.1% over six months while the S&P 500 gained 18%, prompting questions about risk and reward. The stock dropped 8.9% in the last month and 16.6% in three months; the one-year TSR is down 4.6% but longer-term returns are positive. At US$128.84, valuation is debated: Simply Wall St’s most-followed narrative places fair value at about US$183.92, suggesting a roughly 30% upside. Management’s expansion into Allied Products and Infiltrator wastewater lines—where double-digit growth is cited in tanks and advanced treatment—could lift EBITDA margins above 30% and extend earnings power. Risks include resin and freight-cost pressures or a weaker construction cycle for an extended period. The piece also contrasts WMS with a selected group of 24 higher-quality balance-sheet stocks to gauge relative resilience. Upside implied by a ~30% valuation gap is tempered by input-cost and demand risk.

23 Sep

3

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) faces a cautious outlook as StockStory frames it a sell. Shares recently traded near $130.85, down about 5.1% over six months while the S&P 500 gained 18%. Growth has cooled: annualized revenue rose only 5.2% over the past two years, below the five-year trend, suggesting weakening demand and possible shifts in customer needs. EPS growth has slowed to 2.4% CAGR in the same period, indicating profits aren’t keeping pace with the top line. ROIC has fallen, signaling fewer profitable growth opportunities. The stock’s forward P/E of about 19.8x is fair, but upside looks limited relative to downside risk. The piece argues there are more attractive stocks to buy, highlighting a top digital advertising pick instead. Declining ROIC and slower revenue/EPS growth, despite a fair valuation, suggest only a moderate impact on future performance.

20 Aug

3

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) Q2 earnings are compared to peers in the HVAC and water systems sector. Q2 earnings versus industry peers can moderately shift near-term investor sentiment and valuation views.

14 Aug

3 transcript

Advanced Drainage Systems addressed its Q2 results and responded to the top five analyst questions during the earnings call. Q2 earnings details and analyst questions offer moderate insight into operations that can influence near-term financial views and positioning.

13 Aug

4 transcript

ADS (WMS) held its Q1 2027 earnings call discussing financial results, operational updates and forward guidance. Q1 2027 earnings call and guidance directly shape near-term stock valuation and strategic outlook for WMS.

9 Aug

4

Advanced Drainage Systems reported Q1 results in its earnings call, covering revenue, margins, segment performance, and updated guidance. Q1 earnings data and guidance directly shift valuation models and near-term investor positioning.

3

Advanced Drainage Systems confronts inflation pressures in Q2 as recycling initiatives shape its outlook and market positioning. Inflation pressures and recycling drive the company's Q2 outlook with moderate effects on financial performance.

7 Aug

3

RBC highlights Advanced Drainage Systems' strong fiscal Q1 results and forecasts continued outperformance for the company. Positive analyst note on quarterly results can moderately lift near-term investor sentiment and share price.

6 Aug

3

Advanced Drainage Systems posted earnings, raised its dividend and executed buybacks, leading to questions on whether the stock remains undervalued. Dividend hikes and buybacks by Advanced Drainage Systems typically produce moderate effects on valuation and investor sentiment without fundamentally changing long-term trajectory.

3

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) exceeded Q2 CY2026 expectations. Quarterly earnings beat signals better than projected results that may lift near-term share price and sentiment.

3

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) announced first quarter fiscal 2027 results. Quarterly results deliver updated financial metrics that can shift near-term stock valuation.

19 Jun

3

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) gains from rising demand for site-water management solutions driven by data center construction projects. Data center buildouts create incremental demand for WMS drainage products without transforming core operations.

18 Jun

3

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) schedules a 2026 Investor Day event for investors. Investor day provides strategic updates that can shift market sentiment and valuation.

10 Jun

4

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) announced new financial targets along with segment realignment plans. New targets and segment realignment signal major strategic shifts with potential to alter company trajectory and investor views.

9 Jun

3

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) narrative shifts as analyst targets ease while growth persists. Easing targets alongside ongoing growth produce moderately noticeable effects on WMS investor sentiment and positioning.

8 Jun

3

RBC forecasts Advanced Drainage Systems will issue high-single-digit 2029 revenue CAGR guidance at its Investor Day. Expected revenue growth guidance can moderately shape near-term investor expectations for financial trajectory.

23 May

3

WMS Q1 revenue growth lagged overall market expansion, with margin compression and cost pressures shaping a cautious outlook. Revenue underperformance versus market plus margin and cost pressures indicate moderate effects on WMS trajectory.

21 May

4

Advanced Drainage Systems Inc (WMS) reported strong revenue growth in Q4 2026 earnings call highlights, driven by robust demand and operational execution across its core drainage and infrastructure product lines. Strong revenue growth signals major positive shifts in financial performance and competitive positioning that can materially lift future market trajectory.

3

Advanced Drainage Systems beat earnings estimates and raised its dividend, with valuation analysis indicating the stock remains reasonably priced relative to growth prospects and peers. Earnings beat combined with dividend increase supports improved sentiment and modest re-rating potential for Advanced Drainage Systems.

3

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) will report Q1 results tomorrow, focusing investor attention on quarterly financial performance and forward outlook. Scheduled quarterly earnings release typically drives short-term stock movement and sentiment shifts around reported numbers and guidance.

3

Advanced Drainage Systems beat earnings forecasts while issuing a cautious demand outlook. Earnings beat supports short-term sentiment while cautious demand outlook introduces downside risk to growth trajectory.

3

Advanced Drainage Systems reported fourth-quarter earnings and revenue that topped Wall Street estimates. Quarterly earnings beat provides positive signal for near-term sentiment but does not alter long-term fundamentals or competitive position.

3

Advanced Drainage Systems beat revenue expectations in Q1 CY2026. Q1 CY2026 revenue beat supports positive short-term market sentiment for WMS.

3

Advanced Drainage Systems reported fourth quarter and fiscal 2026 financial results. Quarterly and annual results supply key financial metrics that can move near-term investor sentiment and valuation.

15 May

3

Advanced Drainage Systems faces potential near-term earnings pressure despite apparent margin gains driven by recycling initiatives. Questions over margin sustainability signal moderate risk to near-term earnings perception and stock valuation.

14 May

3

Analysts forecast a decline in earnings for Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS), urging investors to monitor key metrics ahead of the report. Forecasted earnings decline will noticeably affect financial performance and investor sentiment but remains limited to quarterly results.

29 Mar

3

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) reports rising free cash flow margins, prompting debate on whether this reshapes the capital allocation narrative for investors amid ongoing strategic decisions. Rising free cash flow margins improve financial flexibility, moderately influencing capital allocation strategies and investor sentiment without fundamentally altering long-term trajectory.

6 Mar

3

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) stock plunged 12.4% in four weeks amid market pressures, but technical indicators and fundamentals suggest a trend reversal is imminent. 12.4% stock drop exerts moderate pressure on market sentiment and performance, offset by signals of potential reversal.

26 Feb

3

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) builds momentum in manufacturing and infrastructure solutions. Momentum in core manufacturing and infrastructure sectors signals moderately noticeable influence on financial performance and market positioning.

stockrow.com/WMS · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com