Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. WMS
- Market cap
- $9.7B
- P/E
- 22.8×
Follow WMS
Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free account| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.90 | 21.70 | 23.83 | 22.13 | 80.35 | 79.90 | 75.02 | 113.10 | 93.92 | 124.75 |
Analyst estimates 2027–2029 Powerpack |
Low Price
|
||
| 26.30 | 33.50 | 40.16 | 84.37 | 138.02 | 153.36 | 145.68 | 184.27 | 155.39 | 179.32 |
High Price
|
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| 4,500 | 4,400 | 4,400 | 4,950 | 5,000 | 5,635 | 5,870 | 5,705 | 6,000 | 6,425 |
Employees
|
|||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Revenue/Emp
|
|||
| 1,257 | 1,330 | 1,385 | 1,674 | 1,983 | 2,769 | 3,071 | 2,874 | 2,904 | 3,050 |
Revenue
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| 23.53% | 22.74% | 23.61% | 18.91% | 34.80% | 28.90% | 36.42% | 39.87% | 37.68% | 38.27% |
Gross Margin
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| 65 | 77 | 112 | (180) | 312 | 384 | 657 | 667 | 589 | 560 |
EBT
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| 5.16% | 5.78% | 8.06% | (10.73%) | 15.75% | 13.85% | 21.40% | 23.20% | 20.30% | 18.35% |
EBT Margin
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| 36 | 65 | 81 | (192) | 226 | 275 | 511 | 513 | 453 | 429 |
Net Income
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|||
| 74 | 76 | 73 | 159 | 146 | 142 | 147 | 157 | 185 | 218 |
Depreciation
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| 22.89 | 23.89 | 24.28 | 26.23 | 28.26 | 38.85 | 37.31 | 36.73 | 37.45 | 39.23 |
Revenue/Sh
|
|||
| 0.51 | 1.00 | 1.23 | (3.21) | 2.64 | 3.22 | 6.16 | 6.52 | 5.81 | 5.48 |
Earnings/Sh
|
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| 1.90 | 2.46 | 2.66 | 4.80 | 6.45 | 3.86 | 8.60 | 9.17 | 7.50 | 10.53 |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
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| (0.93) | (0.75) | (0.76) | (1.06) | (1.12) | (2.09) | (2.03) | (2.35) | (2.75) | (3.21) |
Capex/Sh
|
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| 0.96 | 1.71 | 1.90 | 3.74 | 5.32 | 1.77 | 6.57 | 6.83 | 4.75 | 7.32 |
Free CF/Sh
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| 6.23 | 7.64 | 8.78 | 12.29 | 15.16 | 15.50 | 10.22 | 14.98 | 19.90 | 24.21 |
Book Value/Sh
|
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| 55 | 56 | 57 | 64 | 70 | 71 | 82 | 78 | 78 | 78 |
Shares
|
|||
| 38.42 | 25.00 | 21.52 | 0.00 | 39.16 | 36.90 | 13.72 | 26.18 | 18.73 | 25.02 |
PE Ratio
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| 0.96 | 1.04 | 1.08 | 1.12 | 3.66 | 3.06 | 2.26 | 4.64 | 2.90 | 3.50 |
PS Ratio
|
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| 30.53 | 10.28 | 6.87 | 3.65 | 8.82 | 9.31 | 8.24 | 11.38 | 5.46 | 5.66 |
PB Ratio
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| 1.28 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.70 | 3.97 | 3.39 | 2.62 | 4.93 | 3.22 | 3.99 |
EV/Sales
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| 30.29 | 18.01 | 16.48 | 11.93 | 21.10 | 74.62 | 14.85 | 26.54 | 25.38 | 21.38 |
EV/FCF
|
|||
| 104 | 137 | 152 | 306 | 452 | 275 | 708 | 718 | 581 | 819 |
Op' Cash Flow
|
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| (51) | (42) | (43) | (68) | (79) | (149) | (167) | (184) | (213) | (250) |
Capex
|
|||
| 53 | 95 | 108 | 239 | 373 | 126 | 541 | 534 | 369 | 569 |
FCF
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| 185 | 237 | 260 | 428 | 425 | 481 | 639 | 860 | 926 | 721 |
Working Cap'
|
|||
| 407 | 358 | 296 | 1,142 | 822 | 940 | 1,316 | 1,333 | 1,393 | 1,734 |
Total Debt
|
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| 401 | 340 | 287 | 968 | 627 | 919 | 1,099 | 843 | 929 | 1,511 |
Net Debt
|
|||
| 342 | 425 | 501 | 785 | 1,063 | 1,105 | 842 | 1,172 | 1,543 | 1,882 |
Sh' Equity
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| 2.68% | 5.32% | 6.73% | (12.00%) | 7.75% | 9.07% | 18.27% | 16.53% | 12.94% | 10.41% |
ROA
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| 6.42% | 7.21% | 10.27% | (3.40%) | 12.74% | 12.72% | 23.16% | 22.71% | 16.62% | 11.41% |
ROIC
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| 154.45% | 64.08% | 39.87% | (55.85%) | 27.72% | 26.50% | 57.91% | 50.64% | 33.16% | 24.90% |
ROE
|
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Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. peers in Building Products & Equipment
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|
| OC Owens Corning Inc | $9.5B | 0.0× | Compare |
| SPXC SPX Technologies, Inc. | $8.6B | 30.7× | Compare |
| CSL Carlisle Companies Incorporated | $12.5B | 18.6× | Compare |
| LII Lennox International, Inc. | $12.7B | 16.8× | Compare |
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|
| MAS Masco Corporation | $13.3B | 15.8× | Compare |
| AAON AAON, Inc. | $7.0B | 45.7× | Compare |
| AWI Armstrong World Industries, Inc. | $6.9B | 22.3× | Compare |
| BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. | $6.3B | 64.3× | Compare |
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) key facts
- Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) is a Building Products & Equipment company in the Industrials sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
- Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended March 2026) was $3.1 billion, up 5.03% from fiscal 2025.
- As of September 25, 2026, WMS traded at $133.13, a market capitalization of $9.7 billion.
- Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. pays an annual dividend of $0.56 per share, a yield of 0.35%, with a payout ratio of 8.28%.
- Return on equity was 24.9% and debt-to-equity 0.95.
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) Latest News
25 Sep
Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) trades at $133.13, up 23.7% over five years. A discounted cash flow analysis shows trailing free cash flow of about $569 million and projects growth through 2029 with a two-stage model, implying an intrinsic value meaningfully above the current price. The piece highlights a market narrative that the stock is about 28% undervalued due to structural cost advantages from recycling capacity and an internal trucking fleet, supporting margins. It cautions that future cash flows and execution—driven by the capital-intensive drainage and water-management business—will determine whether valuation gaps close. Overall, the article frames the stock as undervalued on cash-flow basis, with upside if cash generation and profitability materialize as forecasted. DCF-based valuation suggests meaningful upside from current price if cash flow growth and margins sustain.
Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) declined 5.1% over six months while the S&P 500 gained 18%, prompting questions about risk and reward. The stock dropped 8.9% in the last month and 16.6% in three months; the one-year TSR is down 4.6% but longer-term returns are positive. At US$128.84, valuation is debated: Simply Wall St’s most-followed narrative places fair value at about US$183.92, suggesting a roughly 30% upside. Management’s expansion into Allied Products and Infiltrator wastewater lines—where double-digit growth is cited in tanks and advanced treatment—could lift EBITDA margins above 30% and extend earnings power. Risks include resin and freight-cost pressures or a weaker construction cycle for an extended period. The piece also contrasts WMS with a selected group of 24 higher-quality balance-sheet stocks to gauge relative resilience. Upside implied by a ~30% valuation gap is tempered by input-cost and demand risk.
23 Sep
Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) faces a cautious outlook as StockStory frames it a sell. Shares recently traded near $130.85, down about 5.1% over six months while the S&P 500 gained 18%. Growth has cooled: annualized revenue rose only 5.2% over the past two years, below the five-year trend, suggesting weakening demand and possible shifts in customer needs. EPS growth has slowed to 2.4% CAGR in the same period, indicating profits aren’t keeping pace with the top line. ROIC has fallen, signaling fewer profitable growth opportunities. The stock’s forward P/E of about 19.8x is fair, but upside looks limited relative to downside risk. The piece argues there are more attractive stocks to buy, highlighting a top digital advertising pick instead. Declining ROIC and slower revenue/EPS growth, despite a fair valuation, suggest only a moderate impact on future performance.
20 Aug
Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) Q2 earnings are compared to peers in the HVAC and water systems sector. Q2 earnings versus industry peers can moderately shift near-term investor sentiment and valuation views.
14 Aug
Advanced Drainage Systems addressed its Q2 results and responded to the top five analyst questions during the earnings call. Q2 earnings details and analyst questions offer moderate insight into operations that can influence near-term financial views and positioning.
13 Aug
ADS (WMS) held its Q1 2027 earnings call discussing financial results, operational updates and forward guidance. Q1 2027 earnings call and guidance directly shape near-term stock valuation and strategic outlook for WMS.
9 Aug
Advanced Drainage Systems reported Q1 results in its earnings call, covering revenue, margins, segment performance, and updated guidance. Q1 earnings data and guidance directly shift valuation models and near-term investor positioning.
Advanced Drainage Systems confronts inflation pressures in Q2 as recycling initiatives shape its outlook and market positioning. Inflation pressures and recycling drive the company's Q2 outlook with moderate effects on financial performance.
7 Aug
RBC highlights Advanced Drainage Systems' strong fiscal Q1 results and forecasts continued outperformance for the company. Positive analyst note on quarterly results can moderately lift near-term investor sentiment and share price.
6 Aug
Advanced Drainage Systems posted earnings, raised its dividend and executed buybacks, leading to questions on whether the stock remains undervalued. Dividend hikes and buybacks by Advanced Drainage Systems typically produce moderate effects on valuation and investor sentiment without fundamentally changing long-term trajectory.
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) exceeded Q2 CY2026 expectations. Quarterly earnings beat signals better than projected results that may lift near-term share price and sentiment.
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) announced first quarter fiscal 2027 results. Quarterly results deliver updated financial metrics that can shift near-term stock valuation.
19 Jun
Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) gains from rising demand for site-water management solutions driven by data center construction projects. Data center buildouts create incremental demand for WMS drainage products without transforming core operations.
18 Jun
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) schedules a 2026 Investor Day event for investors. Investor day provides strategic updates that can shift market sentiment and valuation.
10 Jun
Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) announced new financial targets along with segment realignment plans. New targets and segment realignment signal major strategic shifts with potential to alter company trajectory and investor views.
9 Jun
Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) narrative shifts as analyst targets ease while growth persists. Easing targets alongside ongoing growth produce moderately noticeable effects on WMS investor sentiment and positioning.
8 Jun
RBC forecasts Advanced Drainage Systems will issue high-single-digit 2029 revenue CAGR guidance at its Investor Day. Expected revenue growth guidance can moderately shape near-term investor expectations for financial trajectory.
23 May
WMS Q1 revenue growth lagged overall market expansion, with margin compression and cost pressures shaping a cautious outlook. Revenue underperformance versus market plus margin and cost pressures indicate moderate effects on WMS trajectory.
21 May
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc (WMS) reported strong revenue growth in Q4 2026 earnings call highlights, driven by robust demand and operational execution across its core drainage and infrastructure product lines. Strong revenue growth signals major positive shifts in financial performance and competitive positioning that can materially lift future market trajectory.
Advanced Drainage Systems beat earnings estimates and raised its dividend, with valuation analysis indicating the stock remains reasonably priced relative to growth prospects and peers. Earnings beat combined with dividend increase supports improved sentiment and modest re-rating potential for Advanced Drainage Systems.
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) will report Q1 results tomorrow, focusing investor attention on quarterly financial performance and forward outlook. Scheduled quarterly earnings release typically drives short-term stock movement and sentiment shifts around reported numbers and guidance.
Advanced Drainage Systems beat earnings forecasts while issuing a cautious demand outlook. Earnings beat supports short-term sentiment while cautious demand outlook introduces downside risk to growth trajectory.
Advanced Drainage Systems reported fourth-quarter earnings and revenue that topped Wall Street estimates. Quarterly earnings beat provides positive signal for near-term sentiment but does not alter long-term fundamentals or competitive position.
Advanced Drainage Systems beat revenue expectations in Q1 CY2026. Q1 CY2026 revenue beat supports positive short-term market sentiment for WMS.
Advanced Drainage Systems reported fourth quarter and fiscal 2026 financial results. Quarterly and annual results supply key financial metrics that can move near-term investor sentiment and valuation.
15 May
Advanced Drainage Systems faces potential near-term earnings pressure despite apparent margin gains driven by recycling initiatives. Questions over margin sustainability signal moderate risk to near-term earnings perception and stock valuation.
14 May
Analysts forecast a decline in earnings for Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS), urging investors to monitor key metrics ahead of the report. Forecasted earnings decline will noticeably affect financial performance and investor sentiment but remains limited to quarterly results.
29 Mar
Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) reports rising free cash flow margins, prompting debate on whether this reshapes the capital allocation narrative for investors amid ongoing strategic decisions. Rising free cash flow margins improve financial flexibility, moderately influencing capital allocation strategies and investor sentiment without fundamentally altering long-term trajectory.
6 Mar
Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) stock plunged 12.4% in four weeks amid market pressures, but technical indicators and fundamentals suggest a trend reversal is imminent. 12.4% stock drop exerts moderate pressure on market sentiment and performance, offset by signals of potential reversal.
26 Feb
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) builds momentum in manufacturing and infrastructure solutions. Momentum in core manufacturing and infrastructure sectors signals moderately noticeable influence on financial performance and market positioning.