Valaris Limited

VAL Energy Oil & Gas Drilling

Valaris Limited’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $2.4 billion, roughly unchanged from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
−0.35%
EPS
−74.7%
Free cash flow
−105.1%
Total debt
+0.30%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

78.07 4.70 −5.68%
Market cap
$5.4B
P/E
6.8×
Fwd P/E
30.5×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
7/9
Altman Z
2.49
Beneish M
−2.21
Dividend safety
n/a

Valaris Limited (VAL) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $78.07 the price implies revenue of $7.76 billion by year ten, growing 13.8% a year, at a 10% free-cash-flow margin then.

In December 2022 the price assumed 15.4% a year; Valaris Limited went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 81.3% a year to FY2025.

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
13.8% a year for ten years
$78.07
today’s price
Its base case
4.8% a year for five years, then 2.9%
$26.29
66.3% below today’s price

Both are growth in revenue, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Valaris Limited’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Revenue and margin
the four quarters to September 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings

Yearly growth in revenue. It usually slows as the company matures.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against Valaris Limited’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 1.00 × equity premium 4.5% = 8.8% cost of equity; weighted, 8.8%.

Use 8.8%
Equity value $1.85b ▼ below market cap $5.48b
Base case value per share $26.29 equity value ÷ 70.20m shares
Current price $78.07 market price per share
Below today’s price 66.3% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$334.88m 10 years of cash to equity+$2.07b terminal value−$563.40m net debt=$1.85b equity value÷70.20m shares=$26.29 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Oil & Gas Drilling).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 6.80× 10.35× 10.35× 34% below 11.85× 43% below
P/FCF — 39.38× 39.38× — 14.65× —
P/B 1.66× 2.09× 1.89× 12% below 1.24× 33% above
EV/EBITDA 23.16× 30.89× 30.89× 25% below 6.73× 244% above
EV/Sales 3.98× 3.68× 5.39× 26% below 2.12× 88% above
5.02×11.72×18.41×25.11×10Y avg 10.35×20222023202420252026

VAL trades at 6.80× P/E, against a 10-year average of 10.35× (range 3.58×–27.10×). That is cheaper than 50% of the last 4 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $118.81 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.