Visa Inc.

V Financial Credit Services

Visa Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended September 2026) was $45.9 billion, up 14.8% from fiscal 2025.

Revenue
+13.2%
EPS
+27.6%
Free cash flow
+17.9%
Total debt
−12.3%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

423.55 0.96 +0.23%
Market cap
$809.5B
P/E
32.7×
Fwd P/E
32.6×
Dividend yield
0.63%
F-score
7/9
Altman Z
n/a
Beneish M
n/a
Dividend safety
n/a

Visa Inc. (V) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $423.55 the price implies 34.5% a year of dividend growth, at a 9.0% cost of equity.

The dividend a share grew 17.5% a year over the last ten years, 17.2% over the last five. The price asks for about twice its ten-year rate. Return on equity averaged 44.1% over ten years; the price implies 139.3% for good.

In September 2017 the price assumed 35.9% a year; Visa Inc. went on to grow the dividend a share 10.8% a year to FY2026.

Price implies
34.5%
Last 5 years, reported
17.2%
Last 10 years, reported
17.5%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ the dividend a share at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
34.5% a year for ten years
$423.55
today’s price
Its base case
17.5% a year for five years, then 10.5%
$97.37
77.0% below today’s price

Both are growth in the dividend a share, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Visa Inc.’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Dividends
the four quarters to September 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings

Yearly growth in the dividend. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies the dividend a share growing 34.5% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

The model is a share’s own: no debt to take off and no shares to divide among.

Advanced inputs

Against Visa Inc.’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 0.79 × equity premium 4.5% = 7.9% cost of equity; weighted, 7.9%.

Use 7.9%
Base case value per share $97.37 ten years discounted, and what follows
Current price $423.55 market price per share
Below today’s price 77.0% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$35.14 10 years of dividends+$62.23 terminal value=$97.37 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Credit Services).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 32.72× 30.01× 32.22× 2% above 8.96× 265% above
P/FCF 34.44× 28.38× 28.48× 21% above 2.55× 1252% above
P/B 21.33× 16.27× 13.92× 53% above 1.23× 1633% above
EV/EBITDA — 21.79× 22.08× — 3.38× —
EV/Sales — 14.57× 14.59× — 3.90× —
17.44×20.41×23.38×26.35×10Y avg 22.08×2016201720182019202020212022202320242025

EV/EBITDA has no reading today; its 10-year average is 22.08×.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.