| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2022 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2021 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2020 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2019 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2017 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 112.06 | 106.59 | 81.07 | 110.77 |
| Receivables | 54.95 | 97.79 | 110.58 | 149.29 |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 196.48 | 238.46 | 229.71 | 299.80 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 1.96 | 8.36 | 6.74 | 47.35 |
| ST’ Debt | 3.13 | 124.93 | 3.93 | 3.93 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 75.63 | 240.48 | 137.46 | 162.37 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 327.27 | 313.42 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 239.73 | 250.12 | 307.79 | 319.69 |
1,117.32
|
| ’24 | 167.77 | 210.14 | 260.79 | 261.52 |
900.22
|
| ’23 | 200.51 | 182.45 | 155.19 | 134.35 |
672.50
|
| ’22 | 283.18 | 261.92 | 237.84 | 202.06 |
984.99
|
| ’21 | 272.75 | 270.01 | 297.45 | 258.29 |
1,098.50
|
| ’20 | 283.08 | 184.33 | 220.25 | 222.33 |
909.99
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 11.55 | 29.17 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (0.21) | 27.95 | 28.83 | 16.53 |
73.10
|
| ’24 | 5.71 | (4.94) | 45.26 | 16.24 |
62.26
|
| ’23 | 13.16 | 15.07 | 18.47 | 20.88 |
67.57
|
| ’22 | 10.00 | 6.09 | 10.23 | 16.65 |
42.97
|
| ’21 | 8.93 | 45.66 | 34.31 | 42.36 |
131.26
|
| ’20 | 29.30 | 58.61 | 8.30 | 15.08 |
111.30
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 8.78 | 26.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (3.62) | 25.21 | 28.06 | 13.53 |
63.18
|
| ’24 | 2.96 | (7.67) | 42.34 | 13.41 |
51.04
|
| ’23 | 10.70 | 12.67 | 13.39 | 18.28 |
55.04
|
| ’22 | 6.53 | 3.21 | 7.61 | 14.17 |
31.52
|
| ’21 | (1.63) | 32.62 | 27.38 | 37.81 |
96.19
|
| ’20 | 25.11 | 53.70 | (2.98) | (6.68) |
69.15
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1.22 | 0.68 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (0.92) | 0.65 | 0.73 | 10.27 |
10.78
|
| ’24 | 0.08 | 0.58 | (4.34) | 0.55 |
(3.14)
|
| ’23 | 1.04 | (0.01) | (11.43) | 0.98 |
(9.46)
|
| ’22 | (0.84) | (0.63) | (12.44) | (0.81) |
(14.69)
|
| ’21 | 1.35 | 0.48 | (0.34) | 3.53 |
5.05
|
| ’20 | 1.02 | (2.29) | (1.89) | (0.63) |
(3.71)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 17.60 | 10.12 | 24.55 | 33.50 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 143.09 | 47.82 | 62.49 | 77.35 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,253 | 870 | 937 | 926 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.79 | 0.77 | 0.96 | 1.21 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 984.99 | 672.50 | 900.22 | 1,117.32 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 94.14% | 94.24% | 95.99% | 96.19% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (54.93) | (124.92) | (37.38) | 21.02 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (5.58%) | (18.58%) | (4.15%) | 1.88% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (187.95) | (122.40) | (41.70) | 151.31 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 53.31 | 29.90 | 26.69 | 23.76 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 76.99 | 51.97 | 67.84 | 82.25 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | (14.69) | (9.46) | (3.14) | 11.14 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.36 | 5.22 | 4.69 | 5.38 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.89) | (0.97) | (0.85) | (0.73) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.46 | 4.25 | 3.85 | 4.65 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 16.25 | 9.59 | 8.20 | 21.11 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.79 | 12.94 | 13.27 | 13.58 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.82 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.28 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.65 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.33 | 3.07 | 4.72 | 2.51 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.81 | 1.19 | 0.97 | 0.92 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 25.17 | 14.48 | 17.18 | 16.33 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 42.97 | 67.57 | 62.26 | 73.10 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (11.44) | (12.53) | (11.22) | (9.93) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 31.52 | 55.04 | 51.04 | 63.18 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 331.43 | 120.85 | (2.01) | 92.24 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 816.02 | 528.74 | 469.06 | 391.62 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 517.05 | 416.69 | 362.46 | 310.55 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 207.94 | 124.13 | 108.82 | 286.80 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (15.04%) | (12.23%) | (5.31%) | 18.64% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2.82%) | (4.69%) | 5.92% | 6.78% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (57.31%) | (73.72%) | (35.80%) | 76.49% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
LendingTree, Inc. (TREE), a leading online lending marketplace, has endured wild swings tied to interest rate cycles and economic shifts, with revenues plummeting 39% from a 2019 peak of $1.1 billion to $672.5 million in 2023 before surging 34% to $900.2 million in 2024 amid stabilizing rates post-Fed hikes. Stock prices echoed this volatility, soaring above 400 in 2019, crashing to 10 in 2023, and rebounding to 62 in 2024—yet current levels signal deep undervaluation, with analyst targets implying 109% upside (81-114% range). High gross margins above 94% and robust revenue per employee around $960,000 underscore its scalable, asset-light model, insulated from credit risk but highly sensitive to origination volumes.
Profitability has mirrored these cycles, with EPS swinging from $7.72 in 2017 to -$3.14 in 2024, but forecasts show a sharp turnaround: positive EBT margins (3.1%) and $13.8 million net income in 2025, scaling to $60 million by 2027, alongside FCF growth to $84 million. Valuation multiples are compelling—forward P/E at 9.6x by 2027, PS at 0.57x—well below historical and peer averages, bolstered by net debt reduction and insider conviction, including the COO’s $2 million share purchases in early 2025. Projections hinge on normalizing rates boosting originations 15-20% annually, with revenue hitting $1.2 billion by 2027.
This high-beta play on the lending upcycle offers 50-100% return potential per backtested models, though risks like persistent high rates or competition linger—making TREE a macro-sensitive overweight candidate as cycles turn.
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