Performance Food Group Company

PFGC Consumer Defensive Food Distribution

Performance Food Group Company’s revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended June 2026) was $67.8 billion, up 7.17% from fiscal 2025.

Revenue
+5.52%
EPS
+37.7%
Free cash flow
+37.7%
Total debt
−5.45%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

110.23 0.66 +0.60%
Market cap
$17.3B
P/E
43.5×
Fwd P/E
26.0×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
5/9
Altman Z
4.82
Beneish M
−2.72
Dividend safety
n/a

Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $110.23 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 7.2% a year for ten years.

Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 31.7% a year over the last ten years. The price asks for less than its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 7.2%.

In June 2017 the price assumed 27.8% a year; Performance Food Group Company went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 40.6% a year to FY2026.

Price implies
7.2%
Last 10 years, reported
31.7%
Industry median implies
7.2%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
7.2% a year for ten years
$110.23
today’s price
Its base case
25.0% a year for five years, then 15.0%
$366.83
232.8% above today’s price

Both are growth in free cash flow after share-based pay, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Performance Food Group Company’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Cash flow to equity
the four quarters to September 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings, before share-based pay

Yearly growth in cash flow. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 7.2% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against Performance Food Group Company’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 0.89 × equity premium 4.5% = 8.3% cost of equity; weighted, 8.3%.

Use 8.3%
Equity value $57.62b ▲ above market cap $17.31b
Base case value per share $366.83 equity value ÷ 157.08m shares
Current price $110.23 market price per share
Above today’s price 232.8% upside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$20.65b 10 years of cash to equity+$43.61b terminal value−$6.65b net debt=$57.62b equity value÷157.08m shares=$366.83 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Food Distribution).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 43.46× 35.62× 47.24× 8% below 31.34× 39% above
P/FCF 15.44× 15.88× 27.47× 44% below 15.54× 1% below
P/B 3.53× 3.01× 2.83× 25% above 1.58× 123% above
EV/EBITDA 13.53× 12.24× 14.60× 7% below 10.40× 30% above
EV/Sales 0.35× 0.30× 0.28× 25% above 0.35× 0% above
27.07×67.08×107.08×147.09×10Y avg 47.24×2017201820192021202220232024202520262026

PFGC trades at 43.46× P/E, against a 10-year average of 47.24× (range 18.84×–159.14×). That is dearer than 67% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $119.81 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.