Penske Automotive Group, Inc.
PAG Consumer Cyclical Auto & Truck Dealerships
In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 5.98%, EPS grew 4.76%, free cash flow fell 11.3% and total debt rose 40.0%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Dividend growth for ten consecutive years.
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Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) Altman Z-score
Penske Automotive Group, Inc.'s Altman Z-score for fiscal 2025 is 3.02, in the safe zone (above 2.99).
Altman Z-score, annual
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Annual newest first
| Period | Altman Z-score | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 3.02 | (0.06) |
| FY2024 | 3.08 | (0.24) |
| FY2023 | 3.32 | 0.04 |
| FY2022 | 3.28 | 0.08 |
| FY2021 | 3.20 | 0.88 |
| FY2020 | 2.32 | 0.02 |
| FY2019 | 2.30 | (0.55) |
| FY2018 | 2.85 | 0.05 |
| FY2017 | 2.79 | (0.34) |
| FY2016 | 3.13 | (0.11) |
How fiscal 2025’s score is made up
| Component | This year | Year before | Result | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Working capital / total assets | 0.00 | — | −0.01 | |
| Retained earnings / total assets | 0.33 | — | 0.46 | |
| EBIT / total assets | 0.07 | — | 0.24 | |
| Market value of equity / total liabilities | 0.87 | — | 0.52 | |
| Sales / total assets | 1.81 | — | 1.81 | |
| Altman Z-score | Safe zone | 3.02 | ||
| Z″ Variant for non-manufacturing and asset-light companies (drops the sales/assets term, uses book equity) | Grey zone | 2.01 | ||
Z and Z″ put Penske Automotive Group, Inc. in different zones: safe zone by Z, grey zone by Z″.
How the Altman Z-score works
Z = 1.2 × working capital ÷ total assets + 1.4 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 3.3 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 0.6 × market value of equity ÷ total liabilities + 1.0 × revenue ÷ total assets (Altman, 1968). The market value of equity is the close on the last trading day of the fiscal year times weighted basic shares.
Z″ = 6.56 × working capital ÷ total assets + 3.26 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 6.72 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 1.05 × book equity ÷ total liabilities (Altman, Hartzell and Peck, 1995), the variant for non-manufacturing and asset-light companies.
| Zone | Z | Z″ |
|---|---|---|
| Safe zone | above 2.99 | above 2.60 |
| Grey zone | 1.81–2.99 | 1.10–2.60 |
| Distress zone | below 1.81 | below 1.10 |
Not worked out for banks, insurers and REITs, whose balance sheets the model does not describe, nor when a figure is missing or there is no share price in the week to the fiscal year end.
Altman Z-score against peers
| Company | Altman Z-score |
|---|---|
| RUSHB Rush Enterprises, Inc. compare | 3.9× |
| RUSHA Rush Enterprises, Inc. compare | 3.9× |
| AN AutoNation, Inc. compare | 3.1× |
| PAG Penske Automotive Group, Inc. | 3.0× |
| ABG Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. compare | 2.6× |
| VVV Valvoline compare | 2.4× |
| LAD Lithia Motors, Inc. compare | 2.4× |
| KMX CarMax, Inc. compare | 1.6× |
| OPLN OPENLANE, Inc. compare | 1.4× |
What Altman Z-score is
The Altman Z-Score weighs working capital, retained earnings, operating profit, market value and sales against assets and debts to gauge the risk of distress.
1.2 × working capital ÷ total assets + 1.4 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 3.3 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 0.6 × market value of equity ÷ total liabilities + 1.0 × revenue ÷ total assets