NXP Semiconductors stock has doubled, drawing increased bullish sentiment from Wall Street analysts. Rising analyst optimism after the stock doubling can lift near-term investor interest and valuation for NXP.
| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | 1 |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 4.10 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 4.06 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 4.06 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 4.06 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 3.38 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 2.25 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 1.50 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 1.25 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.50 |
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 4,271.00 | 3,292.00 | 3,267.00 | 3,222.00 |
| Receivables | 894.00 | 1,032.00 | 1,055.00 | 1,274.00 |
| Inventory | 2,134.00 | 2,356.00 | 2,577.00 | 2,557.00 |
| Other | 565.00 | 625.00 | 669.00 | 539.00 |
| 7,864.00 | 7,305.00 | 7,940.00 | 7,684.00 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 1,164.00 | 1,017.00 | 997.00 | 984.00 |
| ST’ Debt | 1,000.00 | 500.00 | 1,250.00 | 999.00 |
| Other | 1,947.00 | 1,581.00 | 1,634.00 | 1,783.00 |
| 4,111.00 | 3,098.00 | 3,881.00 | 3,766.00 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 3,181.00 | 3,496.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 2,835.00 | 2,926.00 | 3,173.00 | 3,335.00 |
12,269.00
|
| ’24 | 3,126.00 | 3,127.00 | 3,250.00 | 3,111.00 |
12,614.00
|
| ’23 | 3,121.00 | 3,299.00 | 3,434.00 | 3,422.00 |
13,276.00
|
| ’22 | 3,136.00 | 3,312.00 | 3,445.00 | 3,312.00 |
13,205.00
|
| ’21 | 2,567.00 | 2,596.00 | 2,861.00 | 3,039.00 |
11,063.00
|
| ’20 | 2,021.00 | 1,817.00 | 2,267.00 | 2,507.00 |
8,612.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 793.00 | 860.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 565.00 | 779.00 | 585.00 | 891.00 |
2,820.00
|
| ’24 | 851.00 | 761.00 | 779.00 | 391.00 |
2,782.00
|
| ’23 | 632.00 | 756.00 | 988.00 | 1,137.00 |
3,513.00
|
| ’22 | 856.00 | 819.00 | 1,144.00 | 1,076.00 |
3,895.00
|
| ’21 | 732.00 | 636.00 | 924.00 | 785.00 |
3,077.00
|
| ’20 | 512.00 | 414.00 | 527.00 | 1,029.00 |
2,482.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 672.00 | 754.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 402.00 | 659.00 | 486.00 | 738.00 |
2,285.00
|
| ’24 | 595.00 | 522.00 | 567.00 | 226.00 |
1,910.00
|
| ’23 | 339.00 | 505.00 | 746.00 | 918.00 |
2,508.00
|
| ’22 | 529.00 | 522.00 | 813.00 | 806.00 |
2,670.00
|
| ’21 | 545.00 | 451.00 | 683.00 | 467.00 |
2,146.00
|
| ’20 | 324.00 | 312.00 | 437.00 | 891.00 |
1,964.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 4.43 | 3.02 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1.92 | 1.75 | 2.48 | 1.79 |
7.95
|
| ’24 | 2.47 | 2.54 | 2.79 | 1.93 |
9.73
|
| ’23 | 2.35 | 2.67 | 3.01 | 2.68 |
10.70
|
| ’22 | 2.48 | 2.53 | 2.79 | 2.76 |
10.55
|
| ’21 | 1.25 | 1.42 | 1.91 | 2.24 |
6.79
|
| ’20 | (0.08) | (0.77) | (0.08) | 1.08 |
0.18
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 132.08 | 153.10 | 201.58 | 148.09 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 234.90 | 238.27 | 296.08 | 255.45 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 34,500 | 34,200 | 33,100 | 32,169 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.38 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13,205.00 | 13,276.00 | 12,614.00 | 12,269.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 56.93% | 56.89% | 56.44% | 54.74% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,363.00 | 3,352.00 | 3,099.00 | 2,663.00 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 25.47% | 25.25% | 24.57% | 21.71% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,833.00 | 2,822.00 | 2,542.00 | 2,068.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,250.00 | 1,106.00 | 925.00 | 832.00 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 50.42 | 51.38 | 49.43 | 48.55 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 10.64 | 10.83 | 9.84 | 8.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14.87 | 13.60 | 10.90 | 11.16 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (4.68) | (3.89) | (3.42) | (2.12) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.20 | 9.71 | 7.48 | 9.04 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 29.56 | 33.45 | 35.98 | 39.79 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 261.88 | 258.38 | 255.21 | 252.70 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14.57 | 20.42 | 21.12 | 27.17 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.07 | 4.30 | 4.21 | 4.47 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.25 | 6.61 | 5.78 | 5.45 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.63 | 4.82 | 4.80 | 5.20 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 17.97 | 25.54 | 31.73 | 27.92 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,895.00 | 3,513.00 | 2,782.00 | 2,820.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1,225.00) | (1,005.00) | (872.00) | (535.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,670.00 | 2,508.00 | 1,910.00 | 2,285.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,665.00 | 3,753.00 | 4,207.00 | 4,059.00 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11,220.00 | 11,175.00 | 10,854.00 | 12,222.00 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7,375.00 | 6,904.00 | 7,562.00 | 8,955.00 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7,740.00 | 8,644.00 | 9,183.00 | 10,056.00 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.64% | 11.75% | 10.30% | 7.93% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 15.70% | 14.72% | 12.75% | 10.02% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 38.41% | 34.14% | 28.16% | 21.01% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
NXP Semiconductors stands as a resilient powerhouse in automotive and industrial chips, delivering a 40% revenue CAGR from $9.5 billion in 2016 to a 2023 peak of $13.3 billion, fueled by auto electrification, chip shortages, and IoT demand. Despite a 5% dip to $12.6 billion in 2024 and a projected 3% slide in 2025 amid inventory gluts and softening EVs, analysts forecast a sharp V-shaped rebound—10% growth to $13.5 billion in 2026 and another 10% to $14.9 billion in 2027—driven by auto recovery and edge AI traction in secure microcontrollers.
The company’s operational edge shines through gross margins holding above 54%, robust FCF at $7.48 per share in 2024 (with $9+ projected), and EPS climbing to $9.84 despite cycles, boosted by 25% share reduction via buybacks. Valuations appear attractive at ~20x forward P/E and 4.2x P/S, with a strong balance sheet (net debt/equity ~0.8x) and elite efficiency ($388k revenue per employee), though insiders’ recent sales signal caution amid flat stock performance.
Poised for liftoff on stabilizing autos, industrial IoT, and AI-adjacent growth, NXP offers fairly priced upside potential (average analyst target ~5%, high ~33%) for patient investors, tempered by risks like geopolitics, debt, and cyclicality—making it a compelling watch for the full analysis.
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