The Mosaic Company MOS

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Insider Decisions

Total buys 0.02
Total sells 0.51
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy 1
Sell 1
Insider Ownership 0.42%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap 7,660.00
Revenue 12,247.90
Net Income (614.30)
Free Cash Flow (839.30)
Net Debt 5,561.70
Current Ratio 1.34
Debt/Equity 0.50
P/E ratio 0.00
P/S ratio 0.64
P/B ratio 0.68
Past 5Y EPS Growth 23.51%
This Y EPS Growth (81.11%)
Next Y EPS Growth 241.20%
Next 5Y EPS Growth (3.12%)
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio 0.11
Annual Dividend Rate 0.80
Annual Dividend Yield 2.98%
total individual payouts
2028 ‡‡‡
2027 ‡‡‡‡‡
2026 0.88
2025 0.88
2024 0.84
2023 0.80
2022 0.56
2021 0.28
2020 0.20
2019 0.18
2018 0.10
2017 0.60
2016 1.10
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 348.80 272.80 276.60 294.00
Receivables 1,269.20 1,113.30 1,078.60 860.10
Inventory 2,523.20 2,548.40 3,363.00 3,668.00
Other 603.80 563.80 519.30 608.10
4,745.00 4,498.30 5,237.50 5,430.20
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 1,166.90 1,156.50 1,171.90 1,177.40
ST’ Debt 529.80 892.40 803.00 1,088.00
Other 55.30 76.60
3,873.70 4,171.30 3,982.80 4,062.50
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Cash Flow ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Book Value ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 2,998.00 2,824.10
’25 2,620.90 3,005.70 3,452.10 2,973.70 12,052.40
’24 2,679.40 2,816.60 2,810.90 2,815.90 11,122.80
’23 3,604.30 3,394.00 3,548.30 3,149.50 13,696.10
’22 3,922.30 5,373.10 5,348.50 4,481.30 19,125.20
’21 2,297.10 2,800.70 3,418.60 3,841.00 12,357.40
’20 1,798.10 2,044.70 2,381.50 2,457.40 8,681.70
in millions of $

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 104.20 167.40
’25 42.90 609.50 228.50 (56.10) 824.80
’24 (80.00) 847.00 312.90 219.30 1,299.20
’23 149.00 1,072.70 647.40 538.10 2,407.20
’22 506.20 1,585.10 888.80 955.70 3,935.80
’21 318.80 1,015.10 422.70 430.40 2,187.00
’20 189.90 813.70 340.60 238.40 1,582.60
in millions of $

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (221.20) (149.70)
’25 (292.10) 304.90 (141.70) (326.70) (455.60)
’24 (463.00) 513.10 72.10 (58.00) 64.20
’23 (172.50) 762.40 235.70 184.00 1,009.60
’22 215.70 1,322.50 535.10 615.20 2,688.50
’21 30.20 717.90 82.70 67.60 898.40
’20 (73.60) 556.50 75.50 (146.40) 412.00
in millions of $

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (0.81) (0.86)
’25 0.75 1.29 1.29 (1.64) 1.70
’24 0.14 (0.50) 0.38 0.53 0.55
’23 1.28 1.11 (0.01) 1.11 3.50
’22 3.19 2.85 2.42 1.52 10.06
’21 0.41 1.14 0.97 1.76 4.27
’20 (0.54) 0.12 (0.02) 2.17 1.75

Target Price Range

High ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
Average ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
Low ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡

Recommendation Rating

2.4
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell
Powerpack only forecast
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 37.08 31.44 23.56 22.36
Low Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 79.28 57.46 37.30 38.23
High Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 13,570 14,049 13,765 13,249
Employees
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.41 0.97 0.81 0.91
Revenue/Emp
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 19,125.20 13,696.10 11,122.80 12,052.40 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 30.10% 16.14% 13.59% 15.78%
Gross Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 4,642.50 1,325.90 315.40 1,212.90
EBT
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ 24.27% 9.68% 2.84% 10.06% ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EBT Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3,614.20 1,209.20 202.00 575.40 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Net Income
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1,022.70 1,078.10 1,173.20 1,322.50
Depreciation
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 54.27 41.34 34.78 37.98 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue/Sh
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ 10.06 3.52 0.55 1.70 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 11.17 7.27 4.06 2.60
Cash Flow/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (3.54) (4.22) (3.86) (4.04) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Capex/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 7.63 3.05 0.20 (1.44)
Free CF/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 34.60 37.53 36.32 38.56
Book Value/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 352.40 331.30 319.80 317.30 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Shares
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 4.23 10.36 44.69 14.25 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
PE Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.79 0.88 0.71 0.63 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PS Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.23 0.97 0.68 0.62 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PB Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.94 1.13 1.06 1.03 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
EV/Sales
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 6.66 15.35 184.00 (27.26)
EV/FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3,935.80 2,407.20 1,299.20 824.80 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Op' Cash Flow
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (1,247.30) (1,397.60) (1,235.00) (1,280.40) ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Capex
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2,688.50 1,009.60 64.20 (455.60)
FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1,022.80 871.30 327.00 1,254.70
Working Cap'
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3,622.10 3,761.40 4,224.70 5,053.90
Total Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2,886.70 3,412.60 3,951.90 4,777.30
Net Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 12,194.20 12,432.80 11,614.70 12,234.20
Sh' Equity
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 15.78% 5.02% 0.76% 2.28%
ROA
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 19.83% 5.28% 2.50% 3.02%
ROIC
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 31.23% 9.46% 1.45% 4.53%
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

Analyst Commentary (Summary)

The Mosaic Company (MOS), a quintessential cyclical fertilizer producer, rode the 2022 Russia-Ukraine war to record highs—revenue doubling to $19.1 billion, EPS at $10.06, and stock surging 235%—before a sharp retracement amid normalizing prices, with 2024 revenue down 42% to $11.1 billion and EPS cratering to $0.55. Trading near fair value today, shares offer modest 8% upside to consensus targets but face 19% downside to lows, tightly correlated (r=0.85-0.9) to earnings swings that have defined its boom-bust history.

Balance sheet resilience shines through steady debt at $4.2 billion (34% of equity) and $11.6 billion in book value, supporting capex and potential FCF recovery as forecasts project 2025 revenue up 16% to $12.9 billion and EPS rebounding 583% to $3.76, compressing forward P/E to ~8x—attractive multiples at cycle troughs historically signaling re-rating. Gross margins, ROE, and ROIC collapsed from 2022 peaks (30%, 31%, 20%) to 2024 lows, yet operational scale (13-14k employees, stable shares) positions for leverage if global ag demand stabilizes.

Insider net selling tempers optimism, with risks from weather disruptions, export curbs, and recession capping farm spending (30% probability), potentially dragging FCF and shares lower despite a credible base case for 12-18% annualized returns. MOS merits overweight for value-oriented cyclical exposure, but monitor Q1 2026 earnings closely for inflection—downside protection via strong equity buffer is key in this volatile sector.

The Mosaic Company (MOS) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

22 Sep

3 , 7:14 AM

MOS closed at $24.07, still down over the year though up in the last 3 months. The stock’s short-term momentum has improved with a 90-day return of 13.3%, but longer-term holders remain underwater. A valuation narrative pegs fair value at $26.82, implying roughly 11% upside from current levels. Global fertilizer markets show tightness in phosphate and potash due to limited new capacity, export restrictions from China, and high global shipments, supporting Mosaic’s revenue and margins as farmer demand rises in India and Brazil. However, if oversupply persists or environmental/compliance costs rise, profit margins could be squeezed. The article also promotes other undervalued stocks and stresses testing theses, but Mosaic’s near-term upside exists alongside meaningful downside risk. In sum: modest upside potential with persistent risk given commodity-cycle and regulatory headwinds. Upside potential is balanced by risks, suggesting a moderate influence on Mosaic’s trajectory.

21 Sep

3 Insider Monkey, 9:47 AM

Kopernik Global All-Cap Fund added Mosaic Co. (MOS) to its portfolio in Q2 2026, citing Mosaic as the largest U.S. phosphate producer and a global potash supplier in a market environment that favored growth over value. MOS trades around $24.48 on Sept. 18, 2026, with a 52-week range of $19.80–$37.00 and a roughly $7.88B market cap. The fund notes a tough quarter driven by momentum-driven markets and declines in hard assets, but emphasizes a long-term, fundamentals-based value approach and plans to build positions where securities trade at meaningful discounts to intrinsic value. The piece also mentions Mosaic’s presence among hedge-fund portfolios and references Kopernik’s broader 2026 holdings context. A value-focused fund initiating a MOS position could moderately influence sentiment and trading, but is unlikely to alter Mosaic’s long-term trajectory.

17 Sep

3 , 2:49 AM

Mosaic invests in enzymes as its core business suffers ongoing losses. Core business losses at Mosaic may pressure revenue and margins while enzyme bets offer limited near-term offset.

21 Aug

3 , 10:04 AM

Mosaic Company launches enzyme-based residue management product. Product launch adds innovation in residue management with moderate effects on operations and positioning.

17 Aug

3 , 9:41 AM

Mosaic Biosciences launched a new product to accelerate crop residue breakdown and improve spring field readiness. New bioscience product launch may moderately enhance innovation and positioning in crop management but is unlikely to alter overall company trajectory.

11 Aug

4 transcript www.fool.com, 8:13 PM

Mosaic (MOS) held its Q2 2026 earnings call, covering financial results, operational updates, and forward guidance. Earnings call details on results and outlook directly move MOS stock and investor views.

8 Aug

3 www.marketbeat.com, 3:03 PM

Mosaic Q2 earnings call highlighted financial results, operational performance and strategic outlook. Quarterly earnings updates typically produce moderate short-term effects on stock sentiment and valuation.

5 Aug

3 transcript , 7:02 PM

Mosaic reported Q2 2026 earnings while managing sulfur-driven production curtailments affecting phosphate operations. Sulfur-driven curtailments introduce moderate operational and earnings pressure for Mosaic.

3 , 8:01 AM

MOS Q2 earnings beat estimates while sales missed on lower volumes. Mixed Q2 results with earnings beat offset by sales miss point to moderate effects on future performance.

4 Aug

3 , 8:30 PM

Mosaic (MOS) reported Q2 earnings with analysis of key metrics. Q2 earnings and key metrics typically influence near-term stock movement and sentiment without altering long-term trajectory.

3 , 5:40 PM

Mosaic reported Q2 earnings above analyst estimates. Q2 earnings beat supports short-term positive stock reaction without altering long-term trajectory.

3 , 4:15 PM

Mosaic announces second quarter 2026 results. Quarterly earnings releases deliver financial data that can shift near-term stock valuation and sentiment.

28 Jul

3 , 10:00 AM

Mosaic (MOS) Q2 earnings are expected to decline. Anticipated earnings drop may pressure stock valuation and short-term investor sentiment without altering long-term operations.

16 Jul

3 www.barchart.com, 6:04 AM

Mosaic prepares to report quarterly earnings with focus on expected revenue, earnings per share and fertilizer market trends affecting its performance. Earnings preview sets market expectations that can moderately move MOS stock and sentiment ahead of results.

3 , 2:14 AM

Mosaic (MOS) stock may be 43% undervalued per recent analysis despite ongoing fertilizer production expansion efforts. Valuation analysis of potential undervaluation could moderately influence investor sentiment and near-term stock trajectory.

26 Jun

3 Insider Monkey, 1:07 AM

Freedom Broker turns bullish on Mosaic (MOS) citing recovery in sulfur supply. Broker upgrade tied to sulfur supply recovery signals moderate positive effects on operations and sentiment.

15 Jun

4 , 6:20 PM

Mosaic anticipates fertilizer demand gains from China trade deal resolution and industry cycle recovery. China trade deal and cycle turnaround signal major fertilizer demand growth for Mosaic.

22 May

4 Simply Wall St., 12:10 PM

Mosaic reported a Q1 loss and withdrew its phosphate outlook, highlighting operational pressures and reduced visibility that weigh on shareholder value and future earnings potential. Q1 loss and withdrawn phosphate outlook signal major operational and earnings headwinds likely to shift investor sentiment and pressure stock trajectory.

14 May

4 Exec Edge, 4:48 PM

Brazil Potash de-risks Autazes potash project as financing visibility improves, according to quarterly update report tied to The Mosaic Company. De-risking Autazes project with better financing visibility strengthens Mosaic's potash expansion strategy and long-term production prospects.

13 May

4 , 7:19 AM

Mosaic cuts phosphate output guidance due to rising costs, while its valuation appears undemanding. Reducing phosphate output guidance amid rising costs significantly pressures Mosaic's financial performance and investor outlook.

3 MT Newswires, 11:32 AM

RBC forecasts Mosaic's free cash flow to improve as phosphate margins recover in 2027. RBC's projection of phosphate margin recovery points to moderately improved free cash flow for Mosaic in 2027.

12 May

4 GuruFocus.com, 3:05 AM

The Mosaic Company (MOS) Q1 2026 earnings call highlights navigating cost challenges amid strategic initiatives. Earnings highlights detail cost pressures and strategic responses directly shaping MOS financial trajectory and investor outlook.

4 www.marketbeat.com, 1:06 AM

The Mosaic Company released Q1 earnings call highlights detailing financial results, operational updates, market outlook, and strategic priorities. Q1 earnings highlights signal financial performance and guidance, significantly influencing stock trajectory and investor sentiment.

11 May

4 www.barchart.com, 4:40 PM

Stocks settled higher amid strong corporate earnings, with The Mosaic Company (MOS) contributing to the market's positive close. Strong earnings signal significant positive impact on MOS's stock performance and investor sentiment.

4 transcript www.fool.com, 12:54 PM

The Mosaic Company (MOS) released the transcript of its Q1 2026 earnings call, detailing quarterly financial results, operational updates, and management outlook. Q1 2026 earnings call transcript discloses financial results, strategic updates, and guidance that significantly influence MOS stock trajectory and investor sentiment.

4 www.barchart.com, 11:15 AM

MOS stocks gain support from strong earnings and AI optimism. Strong earnings signal major positive shift in MOS financials and market sentiment.

4 Zacks, 9:30 AM

Mosaic (MOS) reported Q1 earnings, with key metrics indicating performance trends and future outlook. Q1 earnings reports significantly impact MOS's stock price, guidance, and investor sentiment.

4 MT Newswires, 9:05 AM

Mosaic's first-quarter earnings missed analyst estimates, and the company withdrew its 2026 phosphate production guidance. Earnings miss combined with withdrawn 2026 phosphate guidance signals significant operational headwinds and eroded long-term confidence in Mosaic's trajectory.

3 Zacks, 10:51 AM

The Mosaic Company (MOS) Q1 earnings missed estimates due to higher input costs, though sales increased year-over-year. Q1 earnings miss from higher input costs pressures margins and financial performance despite year-over-year sales growth.

3 Barrons.com, 10:36 AM

Mosaic stock slips after earnings report as Iran War emerges as double-edged sword, offering potential boosts to fertilizer demand amid risks of escalation and supply disruptions. Earnings disappointment drives immediate stock decline while Iran War's mixed effects on fertilizer markets moderately influence financial performance and sentiment.