Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW) stock appears undervalued as investors overlook its growth trajectory. Unnoticed growth points to potential valuation reevaluation without major operational shifts.
| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2029 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 4.74 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 4.70 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 4.50 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 4.30 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 3.70 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 2.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 2.25 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 2.06 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 1.78 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 1.52 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 1.26 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 1,228.00 | 2,133.00 | 1,352.00 | 3,407.00 |
| Receivables | — | 94.00 | 1,090.00 | 1,238.00 |
| Inventory | 16,894.00 | 17,409.00 | 17,300.00 | 17,737.00 |
| Other | 949.00 | 722.00 | 1,213.00 | 960.00 |
| 19,071.00 | 20,358.00 | 20,955.00 | 23,342.00 |
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 8,704.00 | 9,290.00 | 9,762.00 | 11,076.00 |
| ST’ Debt | 537.00 | 2,586.00 | 2,431.00 | 2,352.00 |
| Other | 3,478.00 | 3,952.00 | 3,795.00 | 4,194.00 |
| 15,568.00 | 18,757.00 | 19,463.00 | 21,132.00 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Apr | Jul | Oct | Jan | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 23,078.00 | 25,956.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 20,930.00 | 23,959.00 | 20,813.00 | 20,584.00 |
86,286.00
|
| ’25 | 21,364.00 | 23,586.00 | 20,170.00 | 18,554.00 |
83,674.00
|
| ’24 | 22,347.00 | 24,956.00 | 20,471.00 | 18,603.00 |
86,377.00
|
| ’23 | 23,659.00 | 27,476.00 | 23,479.00 | 22,445.00 |
97,059.00
|
| ’22 | 24,422.00 | 27,570.00 | 22,918.00 | 21,340.00 |
96,250.00
|
| ’21 | 19,675.00 | 27,302.00 | 22,309.00 | 20,311.00 |
89,597.00
|
| Apr | Jul | Oct | Jan | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 3,350.00 | 3,659.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 3,379.00 | 4,231.00 | 687.00 | 1,567.00 |
9,864.00
|
| ’25 | 4,262.00 | 3,153.00 | 1,299.00 | 911.00 |
9,625.00
|
| ’24 | 2,106.00 | 3,862.00 | 1,064.00 | 1,108.00 |
8,140.00
|
| ’23 | 2,977.00 | 3,035.00 | 2,126.00 | 451.00 |
8,589.00
|
| ’22 | 4,492.00 | 2,421.00 | 2,266.00 | 934.00 |
10,113.00
|
| ’21 | 4,450.00 | 7,302.00 | (267.00) | (436.00) |
11,049.00
|
| Apr | Jul | Oct | Jan | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 2,835.00 | 3,119.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 2,863.00 | 3,741.00 | 108.00 | 1,021.00 |
7,733.00
|
| ’25 | 3,895.00 | 2,734.00 | 760.00 | 414.00 |
7,803.00
|
| ’24 | 1,734.00 | 3,486.00 | 497.00 | 512.00 |
6,229.00
|
| ’23 | 2,644.00 | 2,700.00 | 1,741.00 | (280.00) |
6,805.00
|
| ’22 | 4,095.00 | 2,050.00 | 1,872.00 | 356.00 |
8,373.00
|
| ’21 | 4,147.00 | 6,941.00 | (715.00) | (1,025.00) |
9,348.00
|
| Apr | Jul | Oct | Jan | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 2.90 | 4.27 | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 2.92 | 4.27 | 2.88 | 1.78 |
11.85
|
| ’25 | 3.06 | 4.17 | 2.99 | 1.99 |
12.23
|
| ’24 | 3.77 | 4.56 | 3.06 | 1.77 |
13.20
|
| ’23 | 3.51 | 4.67 | 0.25 | 1.58 |
10.17
|
| ’22 | 3.21 | 4.25 | 2.73 | 1.78 |
12.04
|
| ’21 | 1.76 | 3.74 | 0.91 | 1.32 |
7.75
|
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 170.12 | 181.85 | 209.55 | 206.39 | 192.09 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 260.83 | 237.21 | 287.01 | 274.98 | 293.06 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 340,000 | 307,000 | 284,000 | 270,000 | 276,000 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.28 | 0.32 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.31 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 96,250.00 | 97,059.00 | 86,377.00 | 83,674.00 | 86,286.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 33.30% | 33.23% | 33.39% | 33.32% | 33.48% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11,208.00 | 9,036.00 | 10,175.00 | 9,153.00 | 8,747.00 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.64% | 9.31% | 11.78% | 10.94% | 10.14% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8,442.00 | 6,437.00 | 7,726.00 | 6,957.00 | 6,654.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,882.00 | 1,981.00 | 1,923.00 | 1,972.00 | 2,194.00 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 138.29 | 154.31 | 148.41 | 147.57 | 154.36 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 12.07 | 10.20 | 13.23 | 12.25 | 11.87 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14.53 | 13.66 | 13.99 | 16.98 | 17.65 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2.50) | (2.84) | (3.28) | (3.21) | (3.81) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.03 | 10.82 | 10.70 | 13.76 | 13.83 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (6.92) | (22.66) | (25.86) | (25.10) | (17.74) | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 696.00 | 629.00 | 582.00 | 567.00 | 559.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 19.75 | 20.76 | 16.15 | 21.26 | 22.67 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.72 | 1.35 | 1.43 | 1.76 | 1.74 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.96 | 1.68 | 1.84 | 2.16 | 2.19 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 22.52 | 23.98 | 25.46 | 23.17 | 24.44 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10,113.00 | 8,589.00 | 8,140.00 | 9,625.00 | 9,864.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1,740.00) | (1,784.00) | (1,911.00) | (1,822.00) | (2,131.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8,373.00 | 6,805.00 | 6,229.00 | 7,803.00 | 7,733.00 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 392.00 | 1,931.00 | 3,503.00 | 1,601.00 | 1,492.00 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 24,727.00 | 33,960.00 | 35,921.00 | 35,487.00 | 39,921.00 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 23,323.00 | 32,228.00 | 34,693.00 | 33,354.00 | 38,569.00 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (4,816.00) | (14,254.00) | (15,050.00) | (14,231.00) | (9,917.00) | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 18.41% | 14.52% | 18.03% | 16.35% | 13.65% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 40.84% | 35.33% | 36.77% | 34.21% | 22.15% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (497.72%) | (67.29%) | (52.59%) | (47.40%) | (54.96%) | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Lowe’s Companies (LOW) emerges as a resilient leader in home improvement retail, navigating post-pandemic normalization and housing slowdowns with impressive operational efficiency and free cash flow generation. Despite revenue contracting 11% to $86.4 billion in 2024 amid elevated mortgage rates, employee productivity surged 39% since 2016, driving elite ROIC of 36.8% and steady gross margins near 33%. Strategic shifts toward professional customers, e-commerce growth via apps and BOPIS, and disciplined capital allocation—evident in 37% share reduction through buybacks—position the company for a V-shaped recovery.
Analysts forecast revenue rebounding 3% in 2025 to $83.7 billion, accelerating to 8.5% growth by 2027 and reaching 2022 peaks by 2028, fueled by housing tailwinds from potential rate cuts, pro-segment expansion (25%+ of sales), and tech innovations like AI inventory tools. Profitability remains robust, with EPS climbing to $13.98 by 2027, FCF/share doubling to $21 in 2026, and dividends yielding over 1.5%, all supported by manageable debt and EV/FCF decompression potential.
At current levels near 2024 highs, LOW trades at attractive 21-24x forward PE and 1.8x EV/Sales, implying 13% upside to high-end targets amid insider confidence signals and sector evolution in a $1 trillion home services market. Risks like recessionary pressures are offset by Lowe’s scale and innovation edge over competitors.
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