Gold.com (GOLD) surges on a gold rush but faces underlying cracks that threaten operational stability and long-term growth. Underlying structural issues risk altering the company's trajectory and investor outlook despite current momentum.
| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | 1 |
| Sell | — | 7 | 3 | — | 12 | 6 | — | 2 | — | — | — | 7 |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2029 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2025 | 1.00 |
—
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 1.20 |
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 1.20 |
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.65 |
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.36 |
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.31 |
—
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 2.82 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 2.23 |
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 1.34 |
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 0.88 |
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 39.32 | 48.64 | 77.74 | 577.98 |
| Receivables | 35.24 | 38.16 | 142.30 | 198.19 |
| Inventory | 981.64 | 1,097.14 | 1,279.55 | 2,360.34 |
| Other | 103.41 | 136.79 | 134.52 | 317.98 |
| 1,267.19 | 1,442.20 | 1,743.50 | 3,604.35 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 25.47 | 18.83 | 22.25 | 38.78 |
| ST’ Debt | 235.00 | — | — | — |
| Other | 365.55 | 576.49 | 626.96 | 905.23 |
| 924.06 | 883.77 | 1,114.13 | 3,146.77 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Sep | Dec | Mar | Jun | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | — | — | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 3,680.77 | 6,476.90 | 10,350.73 | 5,005.01 |
25,513.41
|
| ’25 | 2,715.10 | 2,742.35 | 3,009.13 | 2,512.05 |
10,978.61
|
| ’24 | 2,484.62 | 2,078.82 | 2,610.65 | 2,524.96 |
9,699.04
|
| ’23 | 1,900.35 | 1,949.71 | 2,317.15 | 3,119.35 |
9,286.56
|
| ’22 | 2,013.97 | 1,946.36 | 2,109.12 | 2,089.80 |
8,159.25
|
| ’21 | 1,866.12 | 1,518.74 | 2,049.49 | 2,178.67 |
7,613.02
|
| Sep | Dec | Mar | Jun | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | — | — | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 195.42 | (42.62) | 0.24 | 1,069.75 |
1,222.78
|
| ’25 | (127.53) | 110.07 | 102.84 | 66.97 |
152.35
|
| ’24 | (44.26) | (57.40) | 79.75 | 82.85 |
60.93
|
| ’23 | 279.62 | (328.14) | 91.77 | (73.57) |
(30.32)
|
| ’22 | (69.73) | 108.26 | (114.23) | (13.46) |
(89.17)
|
| ’21 | (98.07) | (109.70) | 52.33 | 102.79 |
(52.65)
|
| Sep | Dec | Mar | Jun | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | — | — | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 193.44 | (46.62) | (3.00) | 1,064.53 |
1,208.36
|
| ’25 | (128.14) | 106.27 | 100.37 | 63.07 |
141.67
|
| ’24 | (46.15) | (59.34) | 70.54 | 80.11 |
45.16
|
| ’23 | 278.70 | (334.37) | 91.20 | (75.63) |
(40.11)
|
| ’22 | (70.44) | 107.35 | (114.71) | (14.24) |
(92.04)
|
| ’21 | (98.55) | (110.16) | 51.91 | 102.03 |
(54.77)
|
| Sep | Dec | Mar | Jun | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | — | — | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | (0.04) | 0.46 | 2.09 | 0.41 |
3.02
|
| ’25 | 0.37 | 0.27 | (0.36) | 0.41 |
0.71
|
| ’24 | 0.77 | 0.57 | 0.21 | 1.20 |
2.75
|
| ’23 | 1.83 | 1.35 | 1.46 | 1.71 |
6.34
|
| ’22 | 1.09 | 1.31 | 1.53 | 1.52 |
5.45
|
| ’21 | 1.55 | 0.58 | 4.42 | 2.14 |
8.90
|
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 23.71 | 23.14 | 24.22 | 19.39 | 34.05 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 44.60 | 42.11 | 47.39 | 35.71 | 66.70 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 384 | 429 | 489 | 993 | 1,355 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 21.25 | 21.65 | 19.83 | 11.06 | 18.83 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8,159.25 | 9,286.56 | 9,699.04 | 10,978.61 | 25,513.41 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.21% | 3.17% | 1.79% | 1.92% | 1.78% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 166.42 | 203.17 | 82.78 | 21.27 | 109.52 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.04% | 2.19% | 0.85% | 0.19% | 0.43% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 133.08 | 156.77 | 69.03 | 15.84 | 88.62 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 29.95 | 14.64 | 13.84 | 27.01 | 39.02 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 357.77 | 396.86 | 420.02 | 464.69 | 965.11 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.81 | 6.68 | 2.87 | 0.73 | 3.11 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (3.91) | (1.30) | 2.64 | 6.45 | 46.26 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.13) | (0.42) | (0.68) | (0.45) | (0.55) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (4.04) | (1.71) | 1.96 | 6.00 | 45.71 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 21.51 | 25.66 | 28.66 | 29.74 | 35.50 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 22.81 | 23.40 | 23.09 | 23.63 | 26.44 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.56 | 5.60 | 11.28 | 30.38 | 13.78 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | — |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 0.04 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.50 | 1.46 | 1.13 | 0.75 | 1.17 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.04 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (10.94) | (26.82) | 32.65 | 9.79 | 0.85 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (89.17) | (30.32) | 60.93 | 152.35 | 1,222.78 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2.88) | (9.78) | (15.77) | (10.68) | (14.43) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (92.04) | (40.11) | 45.16 | 141.67 | 1,208.36 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 344.39 | 343.13 | 558.43 | 629.37 | 457.58 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 309.07 | 239.00 | 248.99 | 348.35 | 0.21 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 271.29 | 199.68 | 200.36 | 270.61 | (577.77) | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 490.47 | 600.39 | 661.86 | 702.67 | 938.37 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.06% | 10.47% | 4.06% | 0.86% | 2.59% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.95% | 15.38% | 6.43% | 2.80% | 25.47% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 31.02% | 28.67% | 10.86% | 2.54% | 10.04% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Gold.com Inc. (GOLD) has demonstrated remarkable resilience in the volatile gold mining sector, scaling revenue from $6.8 billion in 2016 to $9.7 billion in 2024—a 43% rise fueled by the COVID-era gold bull market that drove prices above $2,000/oz and propelled earnings before tax (EBT) up 436% to $203 million in 2023. Projections signal explosive growth to nearly $19 billion by 2026 before stabilizing at $20.7 billion in 2028, correlating tightly with gold’s safe-haven demand amid macroeconomic uncertainty, though rapid employee expansion has diluted revenue per employee, highlighting operational scaling challenges.
Profitability metrics reveal boom-bust cycles, with net income peaking at $161 million in 2021 before halving in 2024 amid margin erosion and rising net debt, while stock prices surged 1,166% from pandemic lows to $47 highs, now trading near consensus targets. Insider activity raises red flags, with $19 million in aggressive selling by executives like the CEO—contrasting zero buys—and signaling potential peak-cycle caution amid softening EBT margins.
Analysts forecast a robust rebound, with EPS climbing 544% to $4.70 by 2028 and probabilistic scenarios yielding an 18% expected return, hinging on gold prices averaging $2,200/oz (bull: +50%; base: flat; bear: -15%). Risks from negative free cash flow swings and commodity sensitivity underscore the high-stakes outlook—read the full analysis for Monte Carlo insights and macro catalysts.
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