Comfort Systems USA, Inc.
FIX Industrials Engineering & Construction
Comfort Systems USA, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $9.1 billion, up 29.5% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +53.7%
- EPS
- +68.6%
- Free cash flow
- +55.2%
- Total debt
- −63.6%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX) valuation and DCF model
At $1,013.06 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 0.8% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 42.1% a year over the last ten years, 43.7% over the last five. The price asks for less than its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 7.8%.
In December 2018 the price assumed 48.7% a year; Comfort Systems USA, Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 56.4% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 0.8% a year for ten years
- $1,013.06
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 25.0% a year for five years, then 15.0%
- $4,181.85
- 312.8% above today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Comfort Systems USA, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$46.72b 10 years of cash to equity+$98.65b terminal value+$2.11b net cash=$147.48b equity value÷35.27m shares=$4,181.85 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 20.84× | 24.30× | 21.92× | 5% below | 27.65× | 25% below | |
| P/FCF | 14.52× | 24.05× | 38.19× | 62% below | 19.05× | 24% below | |
| P/B | 10.17× | 8.48× | 5.99× | 70% above | 3.04× | 234% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 14.06× | 15.95× | 13.31× | 6% above | 11.89× | 18% above | |
| EV/Sales | 2.54× | 2.12× | 1.50× | 69% above | 1.20× | 111% above |
FIX trades at 14.52× P/FCF, against a 10-year average of 38.19× (range 12.68×–104.42×). That is cheaper than 88% of the last 8 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $2,664.90 per share.