Friday 6 November 2026 Export ESTC’s income statement to Excel — free account

Elastic N.V.

Elastic N.V.’s revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended April 2026) was $1.7 billion, up 17.3% from fiscal 2025.

Revenue: +15.1%
EPS: +30.4%
Free cash flow: +26.1%
Total debt: +0.21%

Quarter to July 2026, against a year earlier

84.54 5.14 −5.73%

Follow ESTC

Alert me

Market cap: $8.9B
P/E: 23.4×
Fwd P/E: 376×
Dividend yield: —
F-score: 5/9
Altman Z: 2.07
Beneish M: −2.03
Dividend safety: n/a

Overview Business Profile Earnings & Analysis Segments Valuation Filings

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $84.54 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 35.3% a year for ten years.

The industry’s median company is priced for 15.8%.

Price implies: 35.3%
Industry median implies: 15.8%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF

The price needs: 35.3% a year for ten years; $84.54; today’s price
Its base case: 5.0% a year for five years, then 3.0%; $16.09; 81.0% below today’s price

Both are growth in free cash flow after share-based pay, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Elastic N.V.’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

1 · Cash flow to equity

Free cash flow (TTM, $ billions)the four quarters to July 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings, before share-based pay

Subtract share-based pay ($0.30 billion)

Growth, yrs 1–5 (%)

Growth, yrs 6–10 (%)

Yearly growth in cash flow. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 35.3% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity (%)

Terminal growth (%)

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Shares (billions)

Current price ($)

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs

Free cash flow Revenue and margin

Value per share Expected return

Use the analysts’ consensus for years 1–3 (31.8%, 25.8%, 12.1%)

How the model ends

Net debt ($ billions)negative is net cash

Dilution a year (%)new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Margin of safety (%)

Against Elastic N.V.’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 0.96 × equity premium 4.5% = 8.6% cost of equity; weighted, 8.6%.

Use 8.6%

Equity value $1.71b ▼ below market cap $8.97b

Base case value per share $16.09 equity value ÷ 106.16m shares

Current price $84.54 market price per share

Below today’s price 81.0% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$365.42m 10 years of cash to equity+$450.94m terminal value+$891.81m net cash=$1.71b equity value÷106.16m shares=$16.09 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Software Application).

Multiple	Current	5Y avg	10Y avg	vs 10Y avg	Industry median	vs industry
P/E	23.42×	68.97×	68.97×	66% below	25.90×	10% below
P/FCF	25.34×	61.73×	147.16×	83% below	17.17×	48% above
P/B	6.82×	9.53×	13.14×	48% below	2.60×	162% above
EV/EBITDA	97.59×	104.43×	104.43×	7% below	15.48×	530% above
EV/Sales	4.41×	4.92×	8.51×	48% below	2.89×	53% above

P/E P/FCF P/B EV/EBITDA EV/Sales

ESTC trades at 4.41× EV/Sales, against a 10-year average of 8.51× (range 2.35×–16.66×). That is cheaper than 88% of the last 8 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $155.15 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.