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Elastic N.V. ESTC

Technology — Software Application
Cash Flow Champion (3y) Insider Buys (last 12m)
Growth Flags show if company had growth for consecutive years ,
Insider Buys alert about insiders buying in the last 12 month

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Insider Decisions

Total buys
0.71
Total sells
111.96
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — 1 — — — — — — — — —
Sell 2 — 10 1 — 7 — — 7 — 1 10
Insider Ownership
12.69%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap
9,350.00
Revenue
1,802.16
Net Income
375.64
Free Cash Flow
349.04
Net Debt
(891.81)
Current Ratio
1.81
Debt/Equity
0.44
P/E ratio
24.09
P/S ratio
5.05
P/B ratio
7.02
Past 5Y EPS Growth
13.24%
This Y EPS Growth
30.71%
Next Y EPS Growth
17.73%
Next 5Y EPS Growth
22.81%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio
0.00
Annual Dividend Rate
—
Annual Dividend Yield
0.05%
total individual payouts
2026 ‡‡‡‡‡
2025 ‡‡‡‡‡
2024 ‡‡‡‡‡
2023 ‡‡‡‡
2022 ‡‡‡
2021 ‡‡‡‡
2020 ‡‡‡‡
2019 ‡‡‡‡
2018 ‡‡‡
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2024 2025 2026 Q'26
Cash 1,087.09 1,400.93 1,372.04 1,463.01
Receivables 323.01 375.61 464.41 236.43
Inventory — — — —
Other — — — —
1,530.90 1,931.01 2,023.26 1,877.63
2024 2025 2026 Q'26
Payables 26.08 17.15 8.62 14.19
ST’ Debt — — — —
Other — — — —
871.09 1,008.26 1,204.92 1,037.19
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Cash Flow — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings — ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Book Value — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡

Revenue

Jul Oct Jan Apr Year
’26 478.11 — — —
—
’26 415.29 423.48 449.88 450.68
1,739.33
’25 347.42 365.36 382.08 388.43
1,483.30
’24 293.75 310.61 327.96 335.00
1,267.32
’23 250.08 264.40 274.57 279.94
1,068.99
’22 193.10 205.98 223.94 239.36
862.37
’21 128.87 144.89 157.12 177.61
608.49
in millions of $

Operating Cash Flow

Jul Oct Jan Apr Year
’26 132.00 — — —
—
’26 104.84 26.61 42.74 152.71
326.89
’25 52.75 38.38 88.06 86.98
266.17
’24 37.81 (2.39) 52.39 60.95
148.76
’23 (9.70) 10.64 7.17 27.56
35.66
’22 14.05 (10.38) 5.05 (3.05)
5.67
’21 22.00 (17.29) 19.40 (1.56)
22.55
in millions of $

Free Cash Flow

Jul Oct Jan Apr Year
’26 131.41 — — —
—
’26 104.18 26.01 41.80 149.82
321.80
’25 52.01 37.66 87.29 84.86
261.82
’24 37.18 (3.28) 51.31 60.10
145.31
’23 (10.18) 10.30 6.97 25.89
32.98
’22 12.42 (12.21) 3.30 (5.25)
(1.74)
’21 21.62 (18.57) 18.33 (3.06)
18.32
in millions of $

EPS

Jul Oct Jan Apr Year
’26 (0.16) — — —
—
’26 (0.23) (0.48) 0.07 4.14
3.43
’25 (0.48) (0.25) (0.16) (0.16)
(1.04)
’24 (0.50) (0.25) 1.69 (0.41)
0.59
’23 (0.74) (0.50) (0.76) (0.48)
(2.47)
’22 (0.38) (0.51) (0.61) (0.70)
(2.20)
’21 (0.23) (0.34) (0.43) (0.48)
(1.48)

Target Price Range

High
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡
Average
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡
Low
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡

Recommendation Rating

2
1
Buy
2
3
Hold
4
5
Sell
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
— ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 48.64 46.18 69.00 68.10 42.05 — — —
Low Price
— ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 124.25 118.24 136.06 118.84 108.00 — — —
High Price
— ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2,978 2,886 3,187 3,537 4,019 — — —
Employees
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.29 0.37 0.40 0.42 0.43 — — —
Revenue/Emp
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 862.37 1,068.99 1,267.32 1,483.30 1,739.33 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 73.08% 72.25% 73.95% 74.39% 76.07% — — —
Gross Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (197.79) (216.88) (122.76) (31.57) (2.30) ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
EBT
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ (22.94%) (20.29%) (9.69%) (2.13%) (0.13%) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EBT Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (203.85) (236.16) 61.72 (108.11) 367.77 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Net Income
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 81.27 89.38 88.81 102.93 120.68 — — —
Depreciation
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 9.32 11.17 12.72 14.31 16.51 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (2.20) (2.47) 0.62 (1.04) 3.49 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.06 0.37 1.49 2.57 3.10 ‡‡‡‡ — —
Cash Flow/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (0.08) (0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.05) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Capex/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ (0.02) 0.34 1.46 2.53 3.06 — — —
Free CF/Sh
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 4.49 4.17 7.41 8.94 12.12 ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
Book Value/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 92.55 95.73 99.65 103.66 105.34 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Shares
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ 0.00 0.00 170.37 0.00 13.12 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ —
PE Ratio
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 8.30 5.06 8.04 6.02 2.81 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PS Ratio
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 17.24 13.55 13.80 9.64 3.83 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PB Ratio
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 7.97 4.74 7.64 5.47 2.36 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
EV/Sales
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (3,939.40) 153.67 66.61 31.00 12.75 — — —
EV/FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 5.67 35.66 148.76 266.17 326.89 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Op' Cash Flow
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (7.42) (2.68) (3.45) (4.34) (5.09) ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
Capex
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (1.74) 32.98 145.31 261.82 321.80 ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 570.38 557.66 659.81 922.75 818.34 — — —
Working Cap'
— — — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 577.52 580.54 568.61 569.73 570.90 — — —
Total Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (286.12) (337.14) (518.48) (831.20) (801.14) — — —
Net Debt
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 415.43 398.90 738.19 927.23 1,276.50 — — —
Sh' Equity
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (15.58%) (13.95%) 3.10% (4.47%) 12.80% ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
ROA
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (83.94%) (221.80%) (36.95%) (35.74%) (4.40%) — — —
ROIC
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (47.06%) (58.00%) 10.86% (12.98%) 33.38% ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

Analyst Commentary (Summary)

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) trades at a compelling discount, with analyst targets implying 73% upside to the mean (93% to the high end), fueled by resilient revenue growth from $88 million in 2017 to $1.27 billion in 2024—a 1,337% surge—and projections of 13-17% YoY through 2028. Revenue per employee has doubled to $419,400, reflecting efficient scaling amid enterprise demand for search, observability, and security, positioning Elastic advantageously in AI-driven markets against rivals like Splunk and Datadog.

Profitability is advancing with gross margins at 72-74%, operating cash flow at $266 million, and free cash flow per share up over 1,000% to $2.53 in 2024, supported by a cash-rich balance sheet. Yet, forecasts predict net losses resuming in 2025, echoing SaaS volatility, while heavy insider selling—tens of millions in executive sales—contrasts bullish targets and raises execution flags.

At depressed multiples (EV/Sales ~5.5x), Elastic mirrors pre-profit MongoDB, with AI catalysts like vector search partnerships offering rerating potential, but macro slowdowns, competition, and profitability wobbles demand caution. Fundamentals scream value; the full analysis unpacks the path to conviction.

Read full commentary →

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

17 Sep

4 , 1:15 AM
Elastic N.V. launches serverless vector database and AV-certified security features to enhance AI capabilities for ESTC. Serverless vector database and security certifications represent major product launches in core AI and data search markets.

3 , 1:23 PM
Datadog accelerates enterprise customer expansion with uncertain future outlook ahead. Datadog enterprise growth signals heightened competition in observability space pressuring Elastic trajectory.

3 , 9:00 AM
Elastic announces general availability of Cross-Project Search, enabling queries across serverless projects without moving data. New serverless search feature supports product innovation and potential adoption gains.

16 Sep

4 , 11:47 AM
Elastic N.V. launches new database focused on AI search capabilities. New AI database launch marks major strategic move likely to shift company trajectory and investor views.

15 Sep

3 , 2:33 PM
Elastic Security achieved the only perfect score in the 2026 AV-Comparatives Endpoint Prevention and Response Test. Perfect score strengthens Elastic's competitive positioning in endpoint security.

14 Sep

3 , 4:43 PM
Elastic N.V. Q2 earnings reviewed alongside data infrastructure peers, highlighting revenue growth, margin trends and competitive positioning in search and observability markets. Q2 results and peer comparisons supply fresh financial metrics that can shift near-term sentiment and valuation multiples.

11 Sep

4 , 1:45 PM
Elastic introduces serverless vector database enabling deployment in minutes and affordable scaling to hundreds of billions of vectors. Serverless vector database launch strengthens Elastic position in AI search and data scaling markets.

8 Sep

4 www.fool.com, 5:27 PM
Elastic N.V. projects a positive 2026 outlook driven by AI search integration that strengthens enterprise customer retention. AI search integration represents a major strategic move expected to significantly improve Elastic N.V. customer retention and long-term performance.

5 Sep

4 , 4:10 PM
Elastic integrates GPT cyber models into its Elastic Security platform. GPT cyber model integration strengthens Elastic Security product and competitive positioning in cybersecurity.

3 Sep

4 , 5:00 PM
Elastic integrates OpenAI GPT cyber models into Elastic Security to enable faster threat investigation and remediation by defenders. AI integration into core security products strengthens Elastic's competitive positioning and growth prospects in cybersecurity.

2 Sep

3 , 12:20 PM
Rising earnings estimates for Elastic N.V. (ESTC) may support further stock price gains. Rising earnings estimates point to moderate positive effects on Elastic N.V. stock trajectory.

3 , 6:20 AM
Elastic N.V. beat earnings expectations and raised guidance. Wall Street analysts view the results as insufficient to drive a major re-rating or sustained momentum. Earnings beat and raised guidance offer moderate positive signals but analyst skepticism caps any lasting trajectory change.

31 Aug

4 transcript www.fool.com, 9:21 AM
Elastic N.V. held its Q1 2027 earnings call, covering financial results, operational metrics, and forward guidance for the company. Q1 2027 earnings results and forward guidance directly influence investor perceptions and stock valuation.

3 , 6:37 PM
Elastic finally posts strong results after years of shortfalls but analysts remain split on whether gains will hold. Recent delivery with lingering doubts may shift near-term sentiment and positioning without guaranteeing lasting change.

29 Aug

4 www.thestreet.com, 10:03 PM
Morgan Stanley issued a candid verdict on Elastic N.V. after the company posted stunning earnings results. Stunning earnings followed by a major analyst verdict are likely to shift investor sentiment and alter Elastic's near-term market trajectory.

4 , 12:14 PM
Elastic shares rose 16.3% after an AI-driven Q1 earnings beat and raised 2027 revenue guidance. AI-powered Q1 beat combined with higher long-term revenue guidance signals major positive shift in financial trajectory and sentiment.

28 Aug

4 , 5:44 PM
Elastic N.V. (ESTC) stock surges sharply today on positive developments driving investor buying. Sharp stock rise signals major positive shift in market view of company's trajectory.

4 , 3:52 PM
ESTC Q2 CY2026 growth driven by AI adoption, enterprise expansion, and new product investments. AI adoption, enterprise expansion, and new product investments represent major strategic moves with significant potential to alter company trajectory.

4 www.barchart.com, 3:27 PM
Elastic N.V. stock surges nearly 20% after strong earnings, with advice on trading ESTC shares. Earnings beat drives major stock surge and shifts investor positioning for ESTC.

4 transcript , 1:01 AM
Elastic NV posted record customer additions and accelerated AI adoption during its Q1 2027 earnings call. Record customer growth plus AI momentum indicate major upside for revenue and competitive positioning.

3 , 11:32 AM
Elastic N.V. beat fiscal Q1 estimates, leading Oppenheimer to project further upside for fiscal 2027. Fiscal Q1 beat and analyst outlook provide moderate positive lift to near-term sentiment and estimates.

3 , 10:00 AM
Elastic N.V. stock surges 20% higher on positive developments driving investor interest. Twenty percent stock rise points to meaningful short-term momentum without evidence of long-term structural change.

3 transcript app.moby.co, 8:30 AM
Elastic N.V. Q1 2027 earnings call covered financial results, revenue figures, and strategic updates for the company. Quarterly earnings provide financial metrics that moderately influence company valuation and investor sentiment.

27 Aug

4 , 4:05 PM
Elastic N.V. (ESTC) reported its first quarter fiscal 2027 financial results. Quarterly earnings releases directly affect stock valuation and investor sentiment for Elastic N.V.

3 transcript www.marketbeat.com, 7:04 PM
Elastic N.V. released Q1 earnings call highlights covering revenue, cloud growth, and forward guidance. Quarterly earnings updates deliver financial metrics and outlook that typically move near-term stock price.

3 , 5:30 PM
Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Q1 earnings are compared to estimates with analysis of key metrics. Q1 earnings versus estimates provide insight into financial performance relative to expectations.

3 , 4:22 PM
Elastic N.V. beat revenue expectations for Q2 CY2026, driving a 23.1% stock price increase. Quarterly revenue beat triggers immediate stock rise without evidence of fundamental long-term trajectory change.

3 , 4:20 PM
Elastic N.V. (ESTC) stock surged after the software firm released its earnings report. Earnings release triggered immediate stock price increase reflecting investor response to financial results.

25 Aug

3 , 11:40 PM
Elastic N.V. (ESTC) is scheduled to report its Q2 earnings results tomorrow. Upcoming quarterly results release may influence short-term stock movement and sentiment without altering long-term company trajectory.

3 , 3:05 AM
Elastic N.V. (ESTC) valuation questioned after Deductive AI deal, with analysis examining whether shares appear cheaper than market suggests amid the transaction's implications. Deductive AI deal adds strategic AI capabilities that may moderately shift Elastic's competitive positioning without guaranteed fundamental trajectory change.
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