Cognex Corporation
CGNX Technology Scientific & Technical Instruments
Cognex Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $994.4 million, up 8.73% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +16.9%
- EPS
- +79.2%
- Free cash flow
- +67.3%
Quarter to June 2026, against a year earlier
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Cognex Corporation (CGNX) valuation and DCF model
At $52.63 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 14.0% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 2.2% a year over the last ten years, −11.0% over the last five. The price asks for more than four times its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 14.4%.
In December 2017 the price assumed 21.0% a year; Cognex Corporation went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 2.2% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 14.0% a year for ten years
- $52.63
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 2.2% a year for five years, then 1.3%
- $22.32
- 57.6% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Cognex Corporation’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$1.59b 10 years of cash to equity+$1.78b terminal value+$404.37m net cash=$3.78b equity value÷169.27m shares=$22.32 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 55.37× | 52.96× | 53.11× | 4% above | 31.41× | 76% above | |
| P/FCF | 36.78× | 47.80× | 48.91× | 25% below | 28.46× | 29% above | |
| P/B | 5.97× | 4.89× | 6.78× | 12% below | 3.26× | 83% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 34.97× | 35.31× | 40.16× | 13% below | 19.55× | 79% above | |
| EV/Sales | 8.56× | 7.30× | 9.98× | 14% below | 4.93× | 74% above |
CGNX trades at 34.97× EV/EBITDA, against a 10-year average of 40.16× (range 25.24×–68.36×). That is cheaper than 67% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $60.09 per share.