| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3 | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 1.10 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 1.05 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.98 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.93 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.87 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.82 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.81 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.74 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.64 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 0.58 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 0.55 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 3,166.01 | 4,038.94 | 4,437.71 | 4,115.50 |
| Receivables | — | — | — | — |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 20,213.27 | 21,099.55 | 22,033.84 | 24,757.41 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 25,363.90 | 25,293.64 | 25,639.58 | 27,875.70 |
| ST’ Debt | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 28,272.71 | 28,220.40 | 28,629.22 | 30,303.99 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 584.01 | 603.99 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 515.72 | 537.69 | 543.50 | 542.75 |
2,139.66
|
| ’24 | 507.31 | 524.84 | 534.97 | 525.82 |
2,092.93
|
| ’23 | 446.16 | 499.66 | 508.41 | 515.09 |
1,969.32
|
| ’22 | 350.71 | 378.61 | 404.59 | 432.11 |
1,566.02
|
| ’21 | 355.60 | 367.08 | 367.60 | 348.47 |
1,438.74
|
| ’20 | 331.85 | 326.71 | 368.84 | 362.15 |
1,389.55
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 684.80 | 181.86 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 138.60 | 111.19 | 129.02 | 266.32 |
645.14
|
| ’24 | 135.48 | 147.36 | 431.68 | (136.65) |
577.86
|
| ’23 | 116.06 | 104.83 | 146.86 | 121.02 |
488.77
|
| ’22 | 124.51 | 161.66 | 183.62 | 89.60 |
559.39
|
| ’21 | 201.67 | 125.58 | 158.88 | 111.60 |
597.72
|
| ’20 | 79.77 | 149.96 | 242.66 | 151.61 |
623.99
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 680.90 | 169.19 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 126.12 | 100.51 | 113.28 | 252.58 |
592.49
|
| ’24 | 127.15 | 139.46 | 424.65 | (150.64) |
540.62
|
| ’23 | 96.02 | 74.18 | 128.73 | 106.12 |
405.05
|
| ’22 | 109.09 | 149.49 | 166.18 | 72.42 |
497.18
|
| ’21 | 193.51 | 116.58 | 143.44 | 96.34 |
549.87
|
| ’20 | 72.21 | 143.86 | 227.43 | 149.23 |
592.74
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 0.96 | 1.10 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.98 | 1.14 | 1.06 | 1.01 |
4.04
|
| ’24 | 0.86 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.01 |
3.87
|
| ’23 | 0.90 | 0.97 | 0.91 | 0.84 |
3.64
|
| ’22 | 0.88 | 0.87 | 0.93 | 0.99 |
3.67
|
| ’21 | 0.96 | 1.19 | 0.91 | 0.85 |
3.91
|
| ’20 | 0.36 | 0.28 | 0.91 | 0.96 |
2.51
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 54.25 | 37.11 | 44.84 | 48.69 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 64.97 | 60.64 | 69.29 | 65.59 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4,598 | 4,728 | 4,687 | 4,737 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.34 | 0.42 | 0.45 | 0.45 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,566.02 | 1,969.32 | 2,092.93 | 2,139.66 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 96.37% | 80.54% | 79.49% | 82.62% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 632.38 | 619.73 | 679.49 | 731.84 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 40.38% | 31.47% | 32.47% | 34.20% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 500.02 | 485.18 | 534.40 | 570.70 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 65.66 | 67.18 | 53.24 | 38.19 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.34 | 13.75 | 14.82 | 15.42 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.68 | 3.64 | 3.88 | 4.04 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.05 | 3.41 | 4.09 | 4.65 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.45) | (0.58) | (0.26) | (0.38) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.60 | 2.83 | 3.83 | 4.27 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 17.97 | 20.69 | 23.59 | 27.49 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 138.12 | 143.24 | 141.25 | 138.77 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 15.85 | 13.51 | 14.76 | 12.49 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.15 | 3.58 | 4.00 | 3.39 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.25 | 2.38 | 2.52 | 1.90 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.85 | 3.36 | 3.39 | 2.61 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 18.43 | 16.36 | 13.11 | 9.42 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 559.39 | 488.77 | 577.86 | 645.14 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (62.21) | (83.72) | (37.24) | (52.65) | — | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 497.18 | 405.05 | 540.62 | 592.49 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (11,111.55) | (8,059.44) | (7,120.85) | (6,595.38) | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,857.67 | 1.40 | 0.06 | 12.80 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,098.01 | (3,164.61) | (4,038.89) | (4,424.91) | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,481.58 | 2,964.23 | 3,332.48 | 3,814.77 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.42% | 1.50% | 1.65% | 1.74% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 16.47% | 17.52% | 16.72% | 15.85% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (CBSH), a conservative Midwest regional bank, has delivered steady performance through economic storms like COVID-19 and 2023 banking crises, fueled by prudent lending, limited real estate exposure, and robust revenue growth from $1.16 billion in 2016 to $2.09 billion in 2024 (7.7% CAGR). Profitability shines with net income up 93%, EPS surging 108% to $3.88, and ROE averaging 14%, underpinned by operational efficiency and free cash flow per share at $4.02. The balance sheet is a fortress: debt virtually eliminated, a $4 billion cash surplus, and book value per share up 38% to $24.77.
Yet caution flags emerge—insider selling totaling $1.82 million with zero buys signals potential concerns, while analyst forecasts predict a sharp 16% revenue drop to $1.76 billion in 2025 amid normalizing rates and margin compression to 79.5%. Valuation appears fair at 14.8x P/E and 2.4x book, with mean targets implying 16% upside but 9% downside risk.
CBSH offers reliable mid-teens ROE and dividend appeal for patient investors, positioned for low-single-digit growth post-dip via its deleveraged strength and Midwest opportunities. Key risks include NIM erosion, provision builds, and deposit trends—monitor Q1 2026 earnings to assess if execution justifies a hold or reveals deeper cyclical vulnerabilities.
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