AutoZone, Inc.
AZO Consumer Cyclical Auto Parts
AutoZone, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended August 2026) was $20.3 billion, up 7.39% from fiscal 2025.
- Revenue
- +5.64%
- EPS
- +14.3%
- Free cash flow
- +35.7%
- Total debt
- +3.17%
Quarter to August 2026, against a year earlier
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AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) valuation and DCF model
At $3,309.71 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 14.4% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 5.4% a year over the last ten years, −11.0% over the last five. The price asks for about three times its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 12.3%.
In August 2017 the price assumed 6.5% a year; AutoZone, Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 6.1% a year to FY2026.
- The price needs
- 14.4% a year for ten years
- $3,309.71
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 5.4% a year for five years, then 3.2%
- $1,293.16
- 60.9% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record AutoZone, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$13.63b 10 years of cash to equity+$17.03b terminal value−$8.75b net debt=$21.92b equity value÷16.95m shares=$1,293.16 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 21.18× | 21.31× | 18.71× | 13% above | 14.81× | 43% above | |
| P/FCF | 30.21× | 29.58× | 21.61× | 40% above | 10.18× | 197% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 14.43× | 14.85× | 13.42× | 8% above | 7.39× | 95% above | |
| EV/Sales | 3.14× | 3.35× | 3.00× | 5% above | 0.67× | 371% above |
AZO trades at 14.43× EV/EBITDA, against a 10-year average of 13.42× (range 11.08×–18.70×). That is dearer than 78% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $3,041.99 per share.