| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 0.20 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 0.20 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.20 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.20 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.20 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.20 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.20 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.20 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 104.80 | 187.30 | 214.60 | 432.10 |
| Receivables | 357.10 | 350.20 | 417.70 | 559.00 |
| Inventory | 401.80 | 359.90 | 424.20 | 364.20 |
| Other | 48.30 | 56.60 | 50.00 | 55.60 |
| 912.00 | 954.00 | 1,106.50 | 1,410.90 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 272.50 | 237.30 | 259.30 | 223.50 |
| ST’ Debt | 6.80 | 12.10 | 8.50 | 7.70 |
| Other | 34.50 | 100.20 | 57.00 | 29.40 |
| 431.20 | 516.00 | 503.60 | 452.30 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 571.70 | 658.70 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 547.60 | 647.50 | 797.80 | 890.50 |
2,883.40
|
| ’24 | 598.60 | 664.70 | 640.40 | 666.20 |
2,569.90
|
| ’23 | 549.20 | 584.80 | 591.70 | 582.20 |
2,307.90
|
| ’22 | 535.80 | 602.80 | 603.90 | 500.30 |
2,242.80
|
| ’21 | 440.40 | 515.10 | 559.10 | 521.80 |
2,036.40
|
| ’20 | 488.20 | 498.50 | 490.00 | 458.90 |
1,935.60
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 71.90 | (11.20) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (0.70) | 61.20 | 160.60 | 120.00 |
341.10
|
| ’24 | 80.50 | 38.30 | 135.00 | 248.20 |
502.00
|
| ’23 | 27.30 | 127.60 | 43.90 | 62.20 |
261.00
|
| ’22 | 24.50 | 86.70 | 71.40 | (8.30) |
174.30
|
| ’21 | 0.40 | 50.70 | 25.70 | 89.70 |
166.50
|
| ’20 | 41.50 | 78.80 | 106.40 | 33.20 |
259.90
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 35.00 | (37.50) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (28.70) | 40.00 | 132.20 | 58.60 |
202.10
|
| ’24 | 30.30 | (6.10) | 107.20 | 199.20 |
330.60
|
| ’23 | 6.80 | 75.60 | 1.70 | 10.00 |
94.10
|
| ’22 | 19.20 | 68.30 | 40.70 | (59.70) |
68.50
|
| ’21 | (10.00) | 30.70 | 10.20 | 70.50 |
101.40
|
| ’20 | 25.50 | 58.20 | 95.00 | 8.70 |
187.40
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 0.77 | 6.67 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.48 | 1.22 | 1.48 | 1.06 |
4.24
|
| ’24 | 0.80 | 0.93 | 0.34 | (0.16) |
1.91
|
| ’23 | 1.14 | 0.84 | 0.72 | 0.56 |
3.26
|
| ’22 | 0.41 | 0.79 | 0.66 | 3.18 |
5.05
|
| ’21 | 0.32 | 0.43 | 0.49 | 0.19 |
1.42
|
| ’20 | 0.65 | 0.68 | 0.64 | 0.21 |
2.18
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 43.42 | 52.04 | 72.75 | 68.11 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 65.80 | 84.21 | 113.43 | 113.25 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5,230 | 6,075 | 6,250 | 6,390 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.43 | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.45 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,242.80 | 2,307.90 | 2,569.90 | 2,883.40 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 18.33% | 19.23% | 20.05% | 22.45% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 316.20 | 195.90 | 130.00 | 241.30 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14.10% | 8.49% | 5.06% | 8.37% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 245.80 | 159.20 | 93.70 | 208.40 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 154.10 | 159.50 | 195.00 | 223.00 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 46.53 | 47.59 | 52.88 | 58.97 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 5.08 | 3.27 | 1.92 | 4.25 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.62 | 5.38 | 10.33 | 6.98 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2.19) | (3.44) | (3.53) | (2.84) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.42 | 1.94 | 6.80 | 4.13 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 45.32 | 48.08 | 49.96 | 54.02 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 48.20 | 48.50 | 48.60 | 48.90 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.63 | 25.01 | 50.39 | 25.02 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | — |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.16 | 1.72 | 1.83 | 1.80 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.19 | 1.71 | 1.94 | 1.97 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.33 | 1.92 | 2.41 | 2.26 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 43.70 | 47.21 | 18.76 | 32.20 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 174.30 | 261.00 | 502.00 | 341.10 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (105.80) | (166.90) | (171.40) | (139.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 68.50 | 94.10 | 330.60 | 202.10 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 489.10 | 480.80 | 438.00 | 602.90 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 550.60 | 568.70 | 1,688.90 | 1,522.80 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 390.20 | 463.90 | 1,501.60 | 1,308.20 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,184.40 | 2,332.00 | 2,428.20 | 2,641.40 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.53% | 4.60% | 2.21% | 4.21% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8.47% | 4.86% | 3.14% | 5.41% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.88% | 7.05% | 3.94% | 8.22% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Arcosa, Inc. (ACA), a focused infrastructure player in rail structures, storage tanks, and construction products, has thrived since its 2019 spin-off from Trinity Industries, capitalizing on U.S. infrastructure booms like the 2021 Bipartisan Infrastructure Law. Revenue has compounded at 8.4% annually to $2.57 billion in 2024, with per-share metrics surging 77% and productivity gains driving revenue per employee up 54%. Free cash flow exploded to $331 million last year, covering capex nearly 2x and providing debt buffers, while the stock has delivered ~25% annual returns post-spin-off, far outpacing industrials.
Profitability shows cyclical volatility—EPS dipped to $1.92 in 2024 from 2022 peaks amid rail demand softness and input costs—but forecasts signal a sharp rebound to $5.36 by 2027 on 15-20% CAGR, supported by gross margins recovering to 20.1% and strong revenue-EPS correlation. Balance sheet equity grew 81%, though debt rose sharply; valuations appear stretched on trailing metrics (P/E 50x) but normalize forward (24x by 2027), trading near analyst targets with modest 1% upside or 10% downside risks.
Insider buys by the CEO and a director in early 2025 signal conviction amid routine sells, aligning with projections for mid-teens total returns through 2027 on infra spending and reshoring tailwinds. Monte Carlo scenarios favor 15% gains in the base case, positioning Arcosa for outperformance in cyclical portfolios—yet debt, steel volatility, and recession risks warrant caution.
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