American Airlines Group Inc.
AAL Industrials Airlines
American Airlines Group Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $54.6 billion, up 0.78% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 16.3%, EPS fell 87.9%, free cash flow fell 175.7% and total debt fell 3.19%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Dividend growth for five consecutive years, revenue growth for five.
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American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Beneish M-score
American Airlines Group Inc.'s Beneish M-score for fiscal 2025 is −2.65; values above −1.78 are the model's flag for possible earnings manipulation — a statistical screen, not a finding.
Beneish M-score, annual
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Annual newest first
| Period | Beneish M-score | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | −2.65 | 0.06 |
| FY2024 | −2.71 | 0.08 |
| FY2023 | −2.79 | (0.24) |
| FY2022 | −2.55 | 2.68 |
| FY2021 | −5.23 | (2.41) |
| FY2019 | −2.82 | (0.62) |
| FY2018 | −2.19 | 0.51 |
| FY2017 | −2.70 | 0.07 |
| FY2016 | −2.78 | (0.23) |
| FY2015 | −2.54 | — |
How fiscal 2025’s score is made up
| Component | This year | Year before | Result | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Days’ sales in receivables index | 1.03 | — | 0.94 | |
| Gross margin index | 1.09 | — | 0.58 | |
| Asset quality index | 0.97 | — | 0.39 | |
| Sales growth index | 1.01 | — | 0.90 | |
| Depreciation index | 1.05 | — | 0.12 | |
| SG&A index | 1.09 | — | −0.19 | |
| Total accruals to total assets | (0.05) | — | −0.23 | |
| Leverage index | 1.01 | — | −0.33 | |
| Beneish M-score | Low — no pattern the model associates with manipulation | −2.65 | ||
How the Beneish M-score works
M = −4.84 + 0.920 × DSRI + 0.528 × GMI + 0.404 × AQI + 0.892 × SGI + 0.115 × DEPI − 0.172 × SGAI + 4.679 × TATA − 0.327 × LVGI (Beneish, 1999): eight changes in the accounts from one fiscal year to the next, which the model weighs for the pattern seen in companies that later restated their earnings. Higher is worse.
| below −2.22 | Low — no pattern the model associates with manipulation |
|---|---|
| −2.22 to −1.78 | Elevated |
| above −1.78 | Flagged by the model |
−1.78 is the cut-off usually quoted from the paper, −2.22 a common conservative one. A statistical screen, not a finding of wrongdoing.
When asset quality, depreciation or SG&A cannot be worked out, that index is set to 1, as Beneish did, and the breakdown says so; with all three missing there is no score. Depreciation includes amortisation, and asset quality leaves out securities. Not worked out for banks, insurers and REITs.
Beneish M-score against peers
| Company | Beneish M-score |
|---|---|
| RYAAY Ryanair Holdings PLC compare | −3.1× |
| LTM LATAM Airlines Group S.A. compare | −3.0× |
| ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. compare | −2.8× |
| CPA Copa Holdings, S.A. compare | −2.7× |
| AERO Grupo Aeromexico SAB DE CV - Sponsored ADR compare | −2.7× |
| LUV Southwest Airlines Co. compare | −2.7× |
| AAL American Airlines Group Inc. | −2.6× |
| SKYW SkyWest, Inc. compare | −2.5× |
| ZNH China Southern Airlines Company Limited compare | — |
What Beneish M-score is
The Beneish M-Score combines eight year-on-year changes in the accounts into a statistical screen for patterns seen in companies that overstated earnings.
−4.84 + 0.920 × DSRI + 0.528 × GMI + 0.404 × AQI + 0.892 × SGI + 0.115 × DEPI − 0.172 × SGAI + 4.679 × TATA − 0.327 × LVGI