Yum! Brands, Inc.
YUM Consumer Cyclical Restaurants
Yum! Brands, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $8.2 billion, up 8.81% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +3.79%
- EPS
- +320.2%
- Free cash flow
- −13.6%
- Total debt
- +0.40%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) valuation and DCF model
At $165.68 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 13.3% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 7.6% a year over the last ten years, 4.6% over the last five. The price asks for about twice its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 11.6%.
In December 2017 the price assumed 21.7% a year; Yum! Brands, Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 11.7% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 13.3% a year for ten years
- $165.68
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 7.6% a year for five years, then 4.6%
- $83.08
- 49.9% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Yum! Brands, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$13.91b 10 years of cash to equity+$18.66b terminal value−$9.49b net debt=$23.08b equity value÷277.75m shares=$83.08 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 13.20× | 23.15× | 24.22× | 45% below | 26.18× | 50% below | |
| P/FCF | 27.85× | 27.83× | 29.45× | 5% below | 17.92× | 55% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 18.55× | 19.21× | 19.29× | 4% below | 12.81× | 45% above | |
| EV/Sales | 6.20× | 6.55× | 6.87× | 10% below | 1.29× | 379% above |
YUM trades at 18.55× EV/EBITDA, against a 10-year average of 19.29× (range 12.14×–25.94×). That is cheaper than 78% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $173.63 per share.