Ventas, Inc.
VTR Real Estate Reit Healthcare Facilities
Ventas, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $5.8 billion, up 18.5% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +23.0%
- EPS
- −6.50%
- Free cash flow
- +20.5%
- Total debt
- −1.07%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Ventas, Inc. (VTR) valuation and DCF model
At $88.88 the price implies FFO a share growing 8.1% a year for ten years.
FFO a share grew −6.5% a year over the last ten years, 0.1% over the last five. The price asks for 14.6 points a year more than its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 5.1%.
In December 2017 the price assumed 2.3% a year; Ventas, Inc. went on to grow FFO a share 5.4% a year to FY2025.
FFO a share is worked out from Ventas, Inc.’s 10-Ks and 10-Qs: net income, plus the depreciation of its property and impairments, less gains on property sales.
- The price needs
- 8.1% a year for ten years
- $88.88
- today’s price
- Its base case
- −6.5% a year for five years, then −3.9%
- $32.27
- 63.7% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Ventas, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$17.87 10 years of FFO+$14.39 terminal value=$32.27 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 164.32× | 204.40× | 130.02× | 26% above | 25.44× | 546% above | |
| P/FCF | 31.39× | 25.16× | 21.27× | 48% above | 18.55× | 69% above | |
| P/B | 2.88× | 2.36× | 2.14× | 35% above | 1.72× | 67% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 23.08× | 20.19× | 18.93× | 22% above | 17.56× | 31% above | |
| EV/Sales | 8.53× | 7.77× | 8.09× | 5% above | 8.15× | 5% above | |
| P/FFO | 24.12× | 19.43× | 18.78× | 28% above | — | — |
VTR trades at 164.32× P/E, against a 10-year average of 130.02× (range 15.69×–365.14×). That is dearer than 75% of the last 8 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $70.33 per share.