Ventas, Inc.

VTR Real Estate Reit Healthcare Facilities

Ventas, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $5.8 billion, up 18.5% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+23.0%
EPS
−6.50%
Free cash flow
+20.5%
Total debt
−1.07%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

88.88 0.16 −0.18%
Market cap
$48.1B
P/E
164×
Fwd P/E
140×
Dividend yield
2.30%
F-score
7/9
Altman Z
n/a
Beneish M
n/a
Dividend safety
n/a

Ventas, Inc. (VTR) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $88.88 the price implies FFO a share growing 8.1% a year for ten years.

FFO a share grew −6.5% a year over the last ten years, 0.1% over the last five. The price asks for 14.6 points a year more than its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 5.1%.

In December 2017 the price assumed 2.3% a year; Ventas, Inc. went on to grow FFO a share 5.4% a year to FY2025.

FFO a share is worked out from Ventas, Inc.’s 10-Ks and 10-Qs: net income, plus the depreciation of its property and impairments, less gains on property sales.

Price implies
8.1%
Last 5 years, reported
0.1%
Last 10 years, reported
−6.5%
Industry median implies
5.1%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ FFO a share at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
8.1% a year for ten years
$88.88
today’s price
Its base case
−6.5% a year for five years, then −3.9%
$32.27
63.7% below today’s price

Both are growth in FFO a share, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Ventas, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · FFO a share
the four quarters to September 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings

Yearly growth in FFO a share. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies FFO a share growing 8.1% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

The model is a share’s own: no debt to take off and no shares to divide among.

Advanced inputs

Against Ventas, Inc.’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 0.77 × equity premium 4.5% = 7.8% cost of equity; weighted, 7.8%.

Use 7.8%
Base case value per share $32.27 ten years discounted, and what follows
Current price $88.88 market price per share
Below today’s price 63.7% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$17.87 10 years of FFO+$14.39 terminal value=$32.27 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Reit Healthcare Facilities).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 164.32× 204.40× 130.02× 26% above 25.44× 546% above
P/FCF 31.39× 25.16× 21.27× 48% above 18.55× 69% above
P/B 2.88× 2.36× 2.14× 35% above 1.72× 67% above
EV/EBITDA 23.08× 20.19× 18.93× 22% above 17.56× 31% above
EV/Sales 8.53× 7.77× 8.09× 5% above 8.15× 5% above
P/FFO 24.12× 19.43× 18.78× 28% above — —
55.07×148.88×242.69×336.50×10Y avg 130.02×201620172018201920202021202420252026

VTR trades at 164.32× P/E, against a 10-year average of 130.02× (range 15.69×–365.14×). That is dearer than 75% of the last 8 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $70.33 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.