Unum Group

UNM Financial Insurance Life

Unum Group’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $13.1 billion, up 1.46% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
−24.6%
EPS
−1,250.5%
Free cash flow
+231.5%
Total debt
+0.53%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

73.85 0.94 −1.26%
Market cap
$11.7B
P/E
52.2×
Fwd P/E
12.9×
Dividend yield
2.61%
F-score
5/9
Altman Z
n/a
Beneish M
n/a
Dividend safety
n/a

Unum Group (UNM) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $73.85 the price implies 33.6% a year of dividend growth, at a 9.0% cost of equity.

The dividend a share grew 9.7% a year over the last ten years, 9.2% over the last five. The price asks for about three times its ten-year rate. Return on equity averaged 10.7% over ten years; the price implies 9.6% for good.

In December 2017 the price assumed 21.6% a year; Unum Group went on to grow the dividend a share −7.7% a year to FY2025.

Price implies
33.6%
Last 5 years, reported
9.2%
Last 10 years, reported
9.7%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ the dividend a share at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
33.6% a year for ten years
$73.85
today’s price
Its base case
9.7% a year for five years, then 5.8%
$11.24
84.8% below today’s price

Both are growth in the dividend a share, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Unum Group’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Dividends
the four quarters to September 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings

Yearly growth in the dividend. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies the dividend a share growing 33.6% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

The model is a share’s own: no debt to take off and no shares to divide among.

Advanced inputs

Against Unum Group’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 0.22 × equity premium 4.5% = 5.3% cost of equity; after-tax cost of debt 4.6%; weighted, 5.1%.

Use 5.1%
Base case value per share $11.24 ten years discounted, and what follows
Current price $73.85 market price per share
Below today’s price 84.8% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$4.63 10 years of dividends+$6.61 terminal value=$11.24 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Insurance Life).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 52.24× 18.25× 13.28× 293% above 11.34× 361% above
P/FCF 7.21× 11.14× 9.35× 23% below 7.43× 3% below
P/B 1.09× 1.08× 0.89× 22% above 1.08× 1% above
EV/EBITDA — 7.59× 7.81× — 3.38× —
EV/Sales — 1.07× 1.02× — 3.90× —
6.61×20.39×34.17×47.96×10Y avg 13.28×2017201820192020202120222023202420252026

UNM trades at 52.24× P/E, against a 10-year average of 13.28× (range 5.11×–52.24×). That is dearer than 100% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $18.77 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.