Textron Inc.
TXT Industrials Aerospace & Defense
Textron Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $14.8 billion, up 8.01% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +4.14%
- EPS
- +20.3%
- Free cash flow
- +18.3%
- Total debt
- +1.87%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Textron Inc. (TXT) valuation and DCF model
At $86.55 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 6.5% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 3.7% a year over the last ten years, −1.8% over the last five. The price asks for about twice its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 14.7%.
In December 2017 the price assumed 9.0% a year; Textron Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 7.8% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 6.5% a year for ten years
- $86.55
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 3.7% a year for five years, then 2.2%
- $64.19
- 25.8% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Textron Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$6.15b 10 years of cash to equity+$7.26b terminal value−$2.11b net debt=$11.30b equity value÷175.99m shares=$64.19 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 15.76× | 17.14× | 21.73× | 27% below | 31.60× | 50% below | |
| P/FCF | 18.43× | 17.65× | 18.53× | 1% below | 33.23× | 45% below | |
| P/B | 1.85× | 2.05× | 2.14× | 14% below | 2.99× | 38% below | |
| EV/EBITDA | 11.95× | 12.58× | 12.17× | 2% below | 19.00× | 37% below | |
| EV/Sales | 1.11× | 1.21× | 1.19× | 7% below | 3.37× | 67% below |
TXT trades at 1.85× P/B, against a 10-year average of 2.14× (range 1.85×–2.70×). That is cheaper than 100% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $100.29 per share.