10x Genomics
TXG Healthcare Medical Devices
10x Genomics' revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $642.8 million, up 5.25% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +1.12%
- EPS
- +31.8%
- Free cash flow
- −4.61%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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10x Genomics (TXG) valuation and DCF model
At $58.35 the price implies revenue of $8.52 billion by year ten, growing 30.0% a year, at a 10% free-cash-flow margin then.
- The price needs
- 30.0% a year for ten years
- $58.35
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 31.7% a year for five years, then 19.0%
- $42.74
- 26.8% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record 10x Genomics’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$1.02b 10 years of cash to equity+$3.90b terminal value+$575.68m net cash=$5.49b equity value÷128.46m shares=$42.74 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 82.67× | 49.21× | 49.21× | 68% above | 28.81× | 187% above | |
| P/B | 9.15× | 5.54× | 10.58× | 13% below | 2.48× | 269% above | |
| EV/Sales | 11.52× | 6.57× | 17.39× | 34% below | 2.72× | 324% above |
TXG trades at 82.67× P/FCF, against a 10-year average of 49.21× (range 15.76×–82.67×). That is dearer than 100% of the last 1 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $34.74 per share.