Smurfit Westrock PLC
SW Consumer Cyclical Packaging & Containers
Smurfit Westrock PLC’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $31.2 billion, up 47.7% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 1.15%, EPS grew 440.0%, free cash flow was flat and total debt fell 1.39%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Member of the S&P 500; dividend growth for five consecutive years.
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Smurfit Westrock PLC (SW) Beneish M-score
Smurfit Westrock PLC's Beneish M-score for fiscal 2025 is −2.63; values above −1.78 are the model's flag for possible earnings manipulation — a statistical screen, not a finding.
Beneish M-score, annual
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Annual newest first
| Period | Beneish M-score | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | −2.63 | (1.17) |
| FY2024 | −1.46 | 1.19 |
| FY2022 | −2.65 | (0.21) |
| FY2021 | −2.44 | 0.50 |
| FY2020 | −2.93 | (0.26) |
| FY2019 | −2.68 | (0.18) |
| FY2018 | −2.50 | (0.08) |
| FY2017 | −2.42 | 0.45 |
| FY2016 | −2.87 | — |
How fiscal 2025’s score is made up
| Component | This year | Year before | Result | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Days’ sales in receivables index | 0.70 | — | 0.65 | |
| Gross margin index | 1.03 | — | 0.54 | |
| Asset quality index | 1.01 | — | 0.41 | |
| Sales growth index | 1.48 | — | 1.32 | |
| Depreciation index | 0.61 | — | 0.07 | |
| SG&A index | 0.94 | — | −0.16 | |
| Total accruals to total assets | (0.06) | — | −0.28 | |
| Leverage index | 1.00 | — | −0.33 | |
| Beneish M-score | Low — no pattern the model associates with manipulation | −2.63 | ||
How the Beneish M-score works
M = −4.84 + 0.920 × DSRI + 0.528 × GMI + 0.404 × AQI + 0.892 × SGI + 0.115 × DEPI − 0.172 × SGAI + 4.679 × TATA − 0.327 × LVGI (Beneish, 1999): eight changes in the accounts from one fiscal year to the next, which the model weighs for the pattern seen in companies that later restated their earnings. Higher is worse.
| below −2.22 | Low — no pattern the model associates with manipulation |
|---|---|
| −2.22 to −1.78 | Elevated |
| above −1.78 | Flagged by the model |
−1.78 is the cut-off usually quoted from the paper, −2.22 a common conservative one. A statistical screen, not a finding of wrongdoing.
When asset quality, depreciation or SG&A cannot be worked out, that index is set to 1, as Beneish did, and the breakdown says so; with all three missing there is no score. Depreciation includes amortisation, and asset quality leaves out securities. Not worked out for banks, insurers and REITs.
Beneish M-score against peers
| Company | Beneish M-score |
|---|---|
| CCK Crown Holdings, Inc. compare | −2.7× |
| PKG Packaging Corporation of America compare | −2.6× |
| SW Smurfit Westrock PLC | −2.6× |
| IP International Paper Company compare | −2.6× |
| AVY Avery Dennison Corporation compare | −2.5× |
| REYN Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. compare | −2.5× |
| AMCR Amcor PLC compare | −2.5× |
| SON Sonoco Products Company compare | −2.4× |
| BALL Ball Corporation compare | −2.4× |
What Beneish M-score is
The Beneish M-Score combines eight year-on-year changes in the accounts into a statistical screen for patterns seen in companies that overstated earnings.
−4.84 + 0.920 × DSRI + 0.528 × GMI + 0.404 × AQI + 0.892 × SGI + 0.115 × DEPI − 0.172 × SGAI + 4.679 × TATA − 0.327 × LVGI
More on SW
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- The full statement