| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2024 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2022 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2021 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2020 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2019 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2017 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 4,560.81 | 8,059.48 | 10,710.96 | 10,915.43 |
| Receivables | 950.26 | 864.60 | 1,038.63 | 1,013.87 |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | 181.83 | 142.84 | 125.59 | 134.87 |
| 5,692.90 | 9,066.92 | 11,875.17 | 12,064.17 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 1,058.49 | 1,452.18 | 1,350.89 | 1,540.58 |
| ST’ Debt | — | — | — | — |
| Other | 41.13 | 48.69 | 69.02 | 77.90 |
| 4,426.61 | 4,815.35 | 6,884.57 | 5,713.51 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 5,305.42 | 5,554.22 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 4,414.17 | 4,759.89 | 4,993.54 | 5,276.64 |
19,444.24
|
| ’24 | 3,947.61 | 4,099.76 | 4,385.21 | 4,527.19 |
16,959.75
|
| ’23 | 3,265.28 | 3,464.20 | 3,653.76 | 3,953.99 |
14,337.23
|
| ’22 | 2,986.17 | 3,047.87 | 3,057.86 | 3,263.67 |
12,355.57
|
| ’21 | 2,588.42 | 2,808.62 | 2,949.18 | 3,091.99 |
11,438.21
|
| ’20 | 2,038.71 | 2,079.98 | 2,308.78 | 2,573.86 |
9,001.32
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 978.45 | 942.33 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 567.84 | 848.89 | 1,011.08 | 890.59 |
3,318.40
|
| ’24 | 229.08 | 527.98 | 802.17 | 930.68 |
2,489.91
|
| ’23 | 63.33 | 15.18 | 229.51 | 427.95 |
735.96
|
| ’22 | 41.52 | 39.36 | 35.96 | (68.37) |
48.47
|
| ’21 | 78.36 | 65.02 | 141.98 | 141.73 |
427.10
|
| ’20 | (9.93) | 42.96 | 144.66 | 118.17 |
295.86
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 972.60 | 919.11 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 561.52 | 837.05 | 983.65 | 867.16 |
3,249.38
|
| ’24 | 223.65 | 525.87 | 797.62 | 924.38 |
2,471.52
|
| ’23 | 61.18 | 12.96 | 228.43 | 426.90 |
729.47
|
| ’22 | 30.30 | 34.62 | 31.78 | (74.57) |
22.13
|
| ’21 | 49.43 | 40.94 | 113.63 | 122.53 |
326.54
|
| ’20 | (23.17) | 27.57 | 123.02 | 79.34 |
206.76
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 4.04 | 3.03 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1.13 | (0.48) | 3.83 | 5.16 |
11.89
|
| ’24 | 1.05 | 1.43 | 1.59 | 1.88 |
5.95
|
| ’23 | (1.24) | (1.69) | 0.36 | (0.39) |
(2.95)
|
| ’22 | 0.24 | (0.91) | (0.99) | (1.43) |
(3.09)
|
| ’21 | (0.30) | (0.23) | (0.48) | (0.24) |
(1.22)
|
| ’20 | (0.22) | (2.10) | (0.68) | (0.79) |
(3.54)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 69.29 | 79.14 | 185.37 | 443.21 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 247.20 | 202.88 | 506.47 | 785.00 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8,359 | 9,123 | 7,691 | 7,287 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.48 | 1.57 | 2.21 | 2.67 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12,355.57 | 14,337.23 | 16,959.75 | 19,444.24 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 24.95% | 25.64% | 30.14% | 31.98% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (389.83) | (546.56) | 1,451.10 | 2,516.23 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (3.16%) | (3.81%) | 8.56% | 12.94% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (453.05) | (575.78) | 1,231.43 | 2,502.66 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 180.17 | 171.00 | 130.93 | 115.40 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 64.04 | 73.63 | 84.54 | 94.66 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2.35) | (2.95) | 6.14 | 12.18 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.25 | 3.78 | 12.41 | 16.15 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.14) | (0.03) | (0.09) | (0.34) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.11 | 3.75 | 12.32 | 15.82 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.11 | 14.02 | 29.80 | 45.88 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 192.94 | 194.73 | 200.62 | 205.41 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.22 | 46.76 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.28 | 2.56 | 5.29 | 6.13 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.25 | 13.46 | 15.01 | 12.66 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.14 | 2.34 | 4.90 | 5.66 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 635.86 | 45.95 | 33.63 | 33.85 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 48.47 | 735.96 | 2,489.91 | 3,318.40 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (26.34) | (6.49) | (18.40) | (69.02) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 22.13 | 729.47 | 2,471.52 | 3,249.38 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 880.81 | 1,266.29 | 4,251.57 | 4,990.60 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (3,529.56) | (4,560.81) | (8,059.48) | (10,710.96) | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,529.69 | 2,730.64 | 5,978.60 | 9,423.43 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (5.48%) | (6.74%) | 11.18% | 16.70% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (17.99%) | (21.89%) | 28.28% | 32.50% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) has transformed from a loss-making streaming pioneer into a profitable juggernaut, with revenue surging at a 26% CAGR from $3.27 billion in 2016 to $16.96 billion in 2023, fueled by premium subscriptions, ad tiers, and audiobook bundles. The stock trades just 10% above the lowest analyst target but 38% below the average and 68% under the high, reflecting monetization breakthroughs amid competition and cost cuts. Employee efficiency has rebounded, with revenue per employee at $2.21 million in 2023 post-layoffs, driving gross margins to 30.14% and projected 31.98% in 2024.
Profitability exploded in 2023: EBT swung from a $547 million loss to $1.45 billion profit, EPS from -$2.95 to $6.14, and FCF from $22 million to $2.47 billion, building a $10.71 billion net cash fortress. Forward multiples are compelling—30x 2025 P/E, tightening EV/FCF at 34x—versus peers, with ROE at 28.28% signaling efficient capital returns. Share price rocketed 149% in 2024 to $506 highs, tracking revenue beats and catalysts like price hikes, podcast deals, and regulatory wins.
Analysts forecast 18% revenue CAGR through 2028 to $29.77 billion, EPS to $23.17, and 20-30% annual returns, with 38% average upside. Yet risks like 70% music royalty costs, TikTok rivalry, and regulations loom. Dive into the full analysis for quantitative models unpacking this momentum and risk/reward skew.
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