Saturday 31 October 2026
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Spotify Technology
SPOT Communication Services Internet Content & Information
Spotify Technology’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $19.4 billion, up 14.6% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 16.7%, EPS grew 741.7% and free cash flow grew 9.80%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue growth for five consecutive years, operating cash flow growth for three.
594.62
37.38
+6.71%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Ten-year view | Analyst estimates Powerpack | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend | 10 yrs | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e | Next 3/yr |
| Price, $ | |||||||||||||||||
| Price, $ | Low | — | — | 103.29 | 108.59 | 109.18 | 201.68 | 69.29 | 79.14 | 185.37 | 443.21 | +23.1% | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | |
| High | — | — | 198.99 | 161.38 | 346.44 | 387.44 | 247.20 | 202.88 | 506.47 | 785.00 | +21.7% | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ||
| People | |||||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | — | 2,960 | 3,651 | 4,405 | 3,651 | 6,617 | 8,359 | 9,123 | 7,691 | 7,287 | +11.9% | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | |
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.00 | 1.56 | 1.70 | 1.72 | 2.47 | 1.73 | 1.48 | 1.57 | 2.21 | 2.67 | n/m | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ||
| Income, $m | |||||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 3,265 | 4,623 | 6,211 | 7,576 | 9,001 | 11,438 | 12,356 | 14,337 | 16,960 | 19,444 | +21.9% | 21,678 | 24,909 | 28,376 | +13.4% | |
| Gross margin, % | 13.38 | 20.76 | 25.73 | 25.46 | 25.57 | 26.80 | 24.95 | 25.64 | 30.14 | 31.98 | +18.6 pt | ||||||
| EBT | (590) | (1,394) | (204) | (147) | (810) | 295 | (390) | (547) | 1,451 | 2,516 | n/m | ||||||
| EBT margin, % | (18.07) | (30.15) | (3.29) | (1.94) | (9.00) | 2.58 | (3.16) | (3.81) | 8.56 | 12.94 | +31.0 pt | ||||||
| Net income | (596) | (1,396) | (92) | (208) | (664) | (40) | (453) | (576) | 1,231 | 2,503 | n/m | ||||||
| Depreciation | 42 | 61 | 38 | 97 | 127 | 150 | 180 | 171 | 131 | 115 | +11.9% | ||||||
| Per share, $ | |||||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 17.74 | 30.48 | 35.06 | 41.86 | 47.99 | 59.79 | 64.04 | 73.63 | 84.54 | 94.66 | +20.4% | |||||
| Earnings | (3.24) | (9.20) | (0.52) | (1.15) | (3.54) | (0.21) | (2.35) | (2.95) | 6.14 | 12.18 | n/m | ||||||
| Cash flow | 0.61 | 1.33 | 2.29 | 3.55 | 1.58 | 2.23 | 0.25 | 3.78 | 12.41 | 16.15 | +44.0% | ||||||
| Capex | 0.00 | (0.34) | (0.83) | (0.84) | (0.47) | (0.53) | (0.14) | (0.03) | (0.09) | (0.34) | n/m | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 0.61 | 0.99 | 1.46 | 2.71 | 1.10 | 1.71 | 0.11 | 3.75 | 12.32 | 15.82 | +43.7% | ||||||
| Book value | (1.37) | 1.77 | 13.96 | 12.61 | 17.08 | 13.11 | 13.11 | 14.02 | 29.80 | 45.88 | n/m | ||||||
| Shares, m | 184 | 152 | 177 | 181 | 188 | 191 | 193 | 195 | 201 | 205 | +1.2% | ||||||
| Valuation, × | |||||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.22 | 46.76 | 12.0 | |||||
| P/S | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.24 | 3.57 | 6.56 | 3.91 | 1.28 | 2.56 | 5.29 | 6.13 | 3.3 | ||||||
| P/B | 126.33 | 126.33 | 8.13 | 11.86 | 18.42 | 17.86 | 6.25 | 13.46 | 15.01 | 12.66 | 35.6 | ||||||
| EV/Sales | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 6.41 | 3.73 | 1.14 | 2.34 | 4.90 | 5.66 | 3.1 | ||||||
| EV/FCF | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.35 | 52.56 | 279.24 | 130.62 | 635.86 | 45.95 | 33.63 | 33.85 | 128.6 | ||||||
| Cash, $m | |||||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 112 | 202 | 406 | 642 | 296 | 427 | 48 | 736 | 2,490 | 3,318 | +45.8% | |||||
| Capex | (33) | (52) | (148) | (151) | (89) | (101) | (26) | (6) | (18) | (69) | +8.5% | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 112 | 150 | 259 | 491 | 207 | 327 | 22 | 729 | 2,472 | 3,249 | +45.4% | ||||||
| Balance, $m | |||||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | 727 | 43 | 117 | (233) | (610) | 1,356 | 881 | 1,266 | 4,252 | 4,991 | +23.9% | |||||
| Total debt | 1,173 | 1,067 | — | 698 | 706 | 2,025 | — | — | — | — | +11.5% | ||||||
| Net debt | (499) | (639) | (2,133) | (1,968) | (1,996) | (4,141) | (3,530) | (4,561) | (8,059) | (10,711) | +40.6% | ||||||
| Shareholders’ equity | (253) | 269 | 2,473 | 2,281 | 3,204 | 2,507 | 2,530 | 2,731 | 5,979 | 9,423 | n/m | ||||||
| Returns, % | |||||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | (20.05) | (48.75) | (2.13) | (3.84) | (10.24) | (0.51) | (5.48) | (6.74) | 11.18 | 16.70 | +36.8 pt | |||||
| ROIC | 0.00 | 0.00 | (9.33) | (16.29) | (17.31) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 pt | ||||||
| ROE | (3,612.12) | (17,436.59) | (6.72) | (8.76) | (24.20) | (1.41) | (17.99) | (21.89) | 28.28 | 32.50 | +3,644.6 pt | ||||||
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026
Spotify Technology vs peers in Internet Content & Information (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| META Meta Platforms, Inc. | $1.60T | 22.9× | 21.1× | +27.96% (above 0%: growing) | −14.42% (below 0%: shrinking) | −80.65% (below 0%: shrinking) | 81.37% | 30.88% | Compare |
| SPOT Spotify Technology | $114.7B | 31.4× | 45.1× | +16.69% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +9.80% (above 0%: growing) | 33.41% | 13.71% | |
| RDDT Reddit Inc. | $24.9B | 20.1× | 16.6× | +61.10% (above 0%: growing) | +172.92% (above 0%: growing) | +135.27% (above 0%: growing) | 91.27% | 28.79% | Compare |
| BIDU Baidu, Inc. | $21.7B | — (loss-making) | 15.7× | +1.09% (above 0%: growing) | −69.18% (below 0%: shrinking) | −128.87% (below 0%: shrinking) | 39.03% | 9.66% | Compare |
| PINS Pinterest, Inc. | $11.3B | 55.1× | 49.6× | +18.17% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +37.24% (above 0%: growing) | 78.18% | (4.68%) | Compare |
| MTCH Match Group Inc. | $9.8B | 13.8× | 14.8× | −1.23% (below 0%: shrinking) | +43.14% (above 0%: growing) | +52.63% (above 0%: growing) | 76.06% | 28.77% | Compare |
| SNAP Snap Inc. | $9.6B | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +18.89% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +406.61% (above 0%: growing) | 58.23% | (10.68%) | Compare |
| Z Zillow Group, Inc. | $7.0B | 140× | 139× | +17.86% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | −179.07% (below 0%: shrinking) | 72.80% | (1.30%) | Compare |
| ZG Zillow Group, Inc. | $7.0B | 145× | 61.2× | +17.86% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | −179.07% (below 0%: shrinking) | 72.80% | (1.30%) | Compare |
| Median of peers | $10.5B | 39.0× | 21.1× | +18.02% | +14.36% | −21.70% | 74.43% | 4.18% |