SailPoint, Inc.

SAIL Technology Software Infrastructure

SailPoint, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended January 2026) was $1.1 billion, up 24.4% from fiscal 2025.

Revenue
+16.8%
EPS
−350.0%
Free cash flow
−18.6%

Quarter to July 2026, against a year earlier

19.13 0.06 −0.31%
Market cap
$10.8B
P/E
0.0×
Fwd P/E
−60.3×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
6/9
Altman Z
6.81
Beneish M
−2.25
Dividend safety
n/a

SailPoint, Inc. (SAIL) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $19.13 the price implies revenue of $13.46 billion by year ten, growing 27.7% a year, at a 10% free-cash-flow margin then.

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
27.7% a year for ten years
$19.13
today’s price
Its base case
24.2% a year for five years, then 14.5%
$10.04
47.5% below today’s price

Both are growth in revenue, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record SailPoint, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Revenue and margin
the four quarters to July 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings

Yearly growth in revenue. It usually slows as the company matures.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against SailPoint, Inc.’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 2.12 × equity premium 4.5% = 13.8% cost of equity; weighted, 13.8%.

Use 13.8%
Equity value $5.61b ▼ below market cap $10.69b
Base case value per share $10.04 equity value ÷ 558.59m shares
Current price $19.13 market price per share
Below today’s price 47.5% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$775.54m 10 years of cash to equity+$4.52b terminal value+$309.85m net cash=$5.61b equity value÷558.59m shares=$10.04 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Software Infrastructure).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/FCF 68.05× 156.15× 156.15× 56% below 17.26× 294% above
P/B 1.58× 1.42× 1.42× 12% above 2.94× 46% below
EV/EBITDA 267.18× 78.94× 78.94× 238% above 15.00× 1682% above
EV/Sales 9.94× 5.62× 5.21× 91% above 2.95× 237% above
22.85×96.47×170.10×243.72×10Y avg 78.94×20222023202420252026

SAIL trades at 267.18× EV/EBITDA, against a 10-year average of 78.94× (range 31.88×–267.18×). That is dearer than 100% of the last 4 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $6.04 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.