Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.
NCLH Consumer Cyclical Travel Services
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $9.8 billion, up 3.67% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +0.29%
- EPS
- +15.1%
- Free cash flow
- +85.5%
- Total debt
- +3.89%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) valuation and DCF model
At $17.76 the price implies revenue of $29.75 billion by year ten, growing 11.3% a year, at a 10% free-cash-flow margin then.
- The price needs
- 11.3% a year for ten years
- $17.76
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 8.5% a year for five years, then 5.1%
- $0.85
- 95.2% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$2.17b 10 years of cash to equity+$13.06b terminal value−$14.83b net debt=$399.14m equity value÷467.06m shares=$0.85 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 9.81× | 21.53× | 18.67× | 47% below | 19.05× | 48% below | |
| P/FCF | — | 42.17× | 42.17× | — | 13.14× | — | |
| P/B | 2.59× | 22.68× | 12.37× | 79% below | 2.71× | 5% below | |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.62× | 9.95× | 10.27× | 16% below | 13.28× | 35% below | |
| EV/Sales | 2.26× | 2.69× | 6.24× | 64% below | 3.26× | 31% below |
NCLH trades at 8.62× EV/EBITDA, against a 10-year average of 10.27× (range 8.62×–11.89×). That is cheaper than 100% of the last 7 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $27.23 per share.