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Micron Technology, Inc.

MU Technology Semiconductors

Micron Technology, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended August 2026) was $133.2 billion, up 256.3% from fiscal 2025.

Revenue
+379.3%
EPS
+1,066.4%
Free cash flow
+45,543.1%
Total debt
−64.5%

Quarter to August 2026, against a year earlier

681.58 113.65 −14.29%
Market cap
$899.7B
P/E
10.5×
Fwd P/E
5.1×
Dividend yield
0.07%
F-score
8/9
Altman Z
14.96
Beneish M
0.34
Dividend safety
82/100
Overview Business Profile Earnings & Analysis
Financials
Income Statement Balance Sheet Cash Flow Metrics & Ratios
Segments Valuation Filings

Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $681.58 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing −0.2% a year for ten years.

Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 75.8% a year over the last ten years, 80.1% over the last five. The price asks for 76.0 points a year less than its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 27.0%.

In August 2017 the price assumed 34.8% a year; Micron Technology, Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 37.9% a year to FY2026.

Price implies
−0.2%
Last 5 years, reported
80.1%
Last 10 years, reported
75.8%
Industry median implies
27.0%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
−0.2% a year for ten years
$681.58
today’s price
Its base case
25.0% a year for five years, then 15.0%
$3,073.97
351.0% above today’s price

Both are growth in free cash flow after share-based pay, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Micron Technology, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Cash flow to equity
the four quarters to August 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings, before share-based pay

Yearly growth in cash flow. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing −0.2% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
Free cash flow Revenue and margin
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against Micron Technology, Inc.’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 2.40 × equity premium 4.5% = 15.1% cost of equity; weighted, 15.1%.

Use 15.1%
Equity value $3.51t ▲ above market cap $778.36b
Base case value per share $3,073.97 equity value ÷ 1.14b shares
Current price $681.58 market price per share
Above today’s price 351.0% upside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$1.12t 10 years of cash to equity+$2.36t terminal value+$38.26b net cash=$3.51t equity value÷1.14b shares=$3,073.97 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Semiconductors).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 10.54× 34.51× 22.47× 53% below 44.75× 76% below
P/FCF 15.17× 187.48× 161.19× 91% below 49.60× 69% below
P/B 6.47× 4.12× 2.82× 129% above 4.87× 33% above
EV/EBITDA 7.87× 14.86× 9.67× 19% below 26.59× 70% below
EV/Sales 6.43× 5.44× 3.83× 68% above 6.30× 2% above
P/E P/FCF P/B EV/EBITDA EV/Sales
6.56×42.65×78.74×114.83×10Y avg 22.47×2017201820192020202120222024202520262026

MU trades at 10.54× P/E, against a 10-year average of 22.47× (range 4.29×–126.54×). That is cheaper than 56% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $1,452.61 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.