| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — |
| Sell | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | 9 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2024 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2022 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2021 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2020 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2019 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2017 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 48.67 | 39.90 | 2,303.34 | 2,449.83 |
| Receivables | 183.82 | 181.20 | 205.75 | 123.79 |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 267.90 | 252.32 | 2,564.14 | 2,668.63 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 43.09 | 52.98 | 50.34 | 35.34 |
| ST’ Debt | 0.48 | 0.52 | 31.31 | 39.81 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 323.27 | 355.38 | 456.49 | 495.11 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 124.30 | 122.37 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 111.07 | 114.49 | 128.69 | 122.99 |
477.23
|
| ’24 | 115.25 | 111.44 | 116.07 | 120.70 |
463.46
|
| ’23 | 121.92 | 120.40 | 129.46 | 124.48 |
496.26
|
| ’22 | 119.28 | 122.07 | 125.36 | 132.55 |
499.26
|
| ’21 | 122.90 | 125.35 | 127.99 | 134.52 |
510.76
|
| ’20 | 111.42 | 110.58 | 127.41 | 131.32 |
480.74
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 13.99 | (4.14) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (2.39) | (34.91) | (8.31) | (21.63) |
(67.24)
|
| ’24 | 28.59 | (23.33) | (40.97) | (17.32) |
(53.03)
|
| ’23 | 37.40 | (18.47) | (7.40) | 1.18 |
12.71
|
| ’22 | 43.68 | (20.82) | (1.45) | (18.20) |
3.21
|
| ’21 | 62.70 | 13.97 | 13.91 | 3.25 |
93.83
|
| ’20 | 29.07 | (2.55) | 1.78 | 25.32 |
53.62
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (7,238.09) | (6,385.84) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (7,672.79) | (6,822.21) | (4,968.19) | (3,116.34) |
(22,579.53)
|
| ’24 | (1,612.27) | (817.88) | (1,616.46) | (18,092.66) |
(22,139.27)
|
| ’23 | (142.38) | (366.11) | (170.53) | (1,213.50) |
(1,892.52)
|
| ’22 | (172.46) | (31.70) | (7.76) | (75.28) |
(287.20)
|
| ’21 | (1,024.12) | (516.15) | (406.49) | (588.63) |
(2,535.40)
|
| ’20 | 28.41 | (3.05) | (423.22) | (677.17) |
(1,075.03)
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (38.25) | (24.45) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (16.49) | 32.60 | 8.42 | (42.93) |
(15.23)
|
| ’24 | (0.31) | (0.57) | (1.72) | (3.03) |
(6.06)
|
| ’23 | 3.18 | 0.15 | (1.01) | 0.50 |
2.64
|
| ’22 | (1.16) | (9.40) | (0.24) | (2.19) |
(12.98)
|
| ’21 | (1.14) | (3.07) | (0.36) | (0.84) |
(5.34)
|
| ’20 | 0.01 | 0.04 | (0.15) | 0.03 |
(0.08)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.26 | 13.94 | 43.87 | 151.42 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 57.63 | 68.94 | 543.00 | 457.22 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,152 | 1,934 | 1,534 | 1,539 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.23 | 0.26 | 0.30 | 0.31 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 499.26 | 496.26 | 463.46 | 477.23 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 79.37% | 77.85% | 72.06% | 68.69% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1,322.46) | (124.52) | (1,934.35) | (5,525.95) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (264.88%) | (25.09%) | (417.37%) | (1,157.92%) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1,469.80) | 429.12 | (1,166.66) | (3,848.15) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 19.57 | 23.34 | 33.14 | 50.93 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.41 | 3.63 | 2.41 | 1.72 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (12.98) | 3.14 | (6.06) | (15.23) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.03 | 0.09 | (0.28) | (0.24) | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2.57) | (13.94) | (114.70) | (81.08) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2.54) | (13.84) | (114.98) | (81.32) | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | (3.38) | 15.84 | 94.68 | 158.91 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 113.21 | 136.71 | 192.55 | 277.66 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 18.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.29 | 18.88 | 120.33 | 88.41 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 4.33 | 3.06 | 0.96 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.95 | 23.18 | 135.76 | 100.74 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (13.82) | (6.08) | (2.84) | (2.13) | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.21 | 12.71 | (53.03) | (67.24) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (290.41) | (1,905.24) | (22,086.24) | (22,512.29) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (287.20) | (1,892.52) | (22,139.27) | (22,579.53) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (52.84) | (55.38) | (103.06) | 2,107.65 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,379.01 | 2,182.59 | 7,191.68 | 8,190.16 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,328.15 | 2,133.92 | 7,151.78 | 5,886.81 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (383.12) | 2,164.97 | 18,229.98 | 44,123.46 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (49.26%) | 11.97% | (7.62%) | (9.67%) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (40.99%) | (1.67%) | (4.56%) | (6.80%) | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (493.35%) | 48.17% | (11.44%) | (13.57%) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
MicroStrategy (MSTR) has reinvented itself from a steady business intelligence software provider into the ultimate public-market Bitcoin play, thanks to Executive Chairman Michael Saylor’s bold pivot since 2020. With billions in BTC holdings funded by aggressive debt and equity raises, the stock has wildly amplified Bitcoin’s cycles—surging 1,344% in 2020-2021, crashing over 80% in 2022’s crypto winter, and now partially recovering amid analyst forecasts of substantial upside. Beneath the volatility, software revenue remains rock-solid at around $480-500 million annually, though margins have eroded to 72% from competitive pressures, masking a leaner operation post-29% headcount cuts.
The balance sheet tells a tale of BTC dominance: explosive CapEx into Bitcoin flipped free cash flow negative, ballooned debt to $8.2 billion, and swung shareholders’ equity from negative to $18 billion as crypto rallied. Earnings forecasts flip from deep losses to $16 billion profits by 2025 (EPS $72), with valuations like 94x PS reflecting a levered BTC bet rather than software fundamentals. Insider buys totaling $30 million—led by execs scooping shares on dips—signal confidence, outweighing routine sells.
Analysts project mean 172% stock upside (high 427%), backed by MSTR’s 2.3x BTC beta and historical post-halving tailwinds, though risks like 40% BTC drawdowns loom amid share dilution. This blend of cash-cow stability and crypto convexity offers asymmetric returns for bold investors—dive into the full analysis for the probabilistic models and position-sizing playbook.
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