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Friday 6 November 2026 Export MOD’s income statement to Excel — free account

Modine Manufacturing Company

MOD Consumer Cyclical Auto Parts

Modine Manufacturing Company’s revenue for fiscal 2026 (year ended March 2026) was $3.2 billion, up 23.1% from fiscal 2025.

Revenue
+34.6%
EPS
−32.5%
Free cash flow
−223.0%
Total debt
+16.4%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

91.81 6.75 −6.85%
Market cap
$4.9B
P/E
38.4×
Fwd P/E
22.6×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
5/9
Altman Z
6.94
Beneish M
−2.19
Dividend safety
66/100
Overview Business Profile Earnings & Analysis
Financials
Income Statement Balance Sheet Cash Flow Metrics & Ratios
Segments Valuation Filings

Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $91.81 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 14.9% a year for ten years.

Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 28.3% a year over the last five years. The price asks for less than its five-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 12.3%.

In March 2018 the price assumed 16.6% a year; Modine Manufacturing Company went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 8.4% a year to FY2026.

Price implies
14.9%
Last 5 years, reported
28.3%
Industry median implies
12.3%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
14.9% a year for ten years
$91.81
today’s price
Its base case
25.0% a year for five years, then 15.0%
$141.97
54.6% above today’s price

Both are growth in free cash flow after share-based pay, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Modine Manufacturing Company’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Cash flow to equity
the four quarters to September 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings, before share-based pay

Yearly growth in cash flow. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 14.9% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
Free cash flow Revenue and margin
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against Modine Manufacturing Company’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 1.82 × equity premium 4.5% = 12.5% cost of equity; weighted, 12.5%.

Use 12.5%
Equity value $7.61b ▲ above market cap $4.92b
Base case value per share $141.97 equity value ÷ 53.63m shares
Current price $91.81 market price per share
Above today’s price 54.6% upside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$2.62b 10 years of cash to equity+$5.52b terminal value−$526.80m net debt=$7.61b equity value÷53.63m shares=$141.97 per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Auto Parts).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 38.41× 38.28× 32.49× 18% above 14.81× 159% above
P/FCF 4,448.61× 928.99× 586.62× 658% above 10.18× 43584% above
P/B 3.95× 5.13× 3.23× 22% above 1.16× 242% above
EV/EBITDA 12.19× 15.04× 10.94× 11% above 7.39× 65% above
EV/Sales 1.51× 1.90× 1.19× 27% above 0.67× 126% above
P/E P/FCF P/B EV/EBITDA EV/Sales
7.10×13.20×19.29×25.38×10Y avg 10.94×2017201820192020202220232024202520262026

MOD trades at 12.19× EV/EBITDA, against a 10-year average of 10.94× (range 4.51×–27.08×). That is dearer than 78% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $81.33 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.