Medpace Holdings, Inc.
MEDP Healthcare Diagnostics & Research
Medpace Holdings, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $2.5 billion, up 20.0% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +8.50%
- EPS
- +24.6%
- Free cash flow
- −16.6%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Medpace Holdings, Inc. (MEDP) valuation and DCF model
At $634.63 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 9.8% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 28.4% a year over the last ten years, 28.8% over the last five. The price asks for less than its ten-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 15.8%.
In December 2017 the price assumed 5.9% a year; Medpace Holdings, Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 29.7% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 9.8% a year for ten years
- $634.63
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 25.0% a year for five years, then 15.0%
- $1,371.57
- 116.1% above today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Medpace Holdings, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$12.49b 10 years of cash to equity+$26.38b terminal value+$705.32m net cash=$39.57b equity value÷28.85m shares=$1,371.57 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 34.57× | 31.29× | 32.61× | 6% above | 34.52× | 0% above | |
| P/FCF | 26.56× | 22.23× | 21.29× | 25% above | 33.51× | 21% below | |
| P/B | 30.31× | 22.46× | 13.69× | 121% above | 3.42× | 787% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 27.01× | 24.73× | 23.37× | 16% above | 23.44× | 15% above | |
| EV/Sales | 6.04× | 5.30× | 4.82× | 25% above | 5.18× | 17% above |
MEDP trades at 26.56× P/FCF, against a 10-year average of 21.29× (range 13.39×–33.20×). That is dearer than 89% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $508.74 per share.