Lattice Semiconductor Corporation

LSCC Technology Semiconductors

Lattice Semiconductor Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $523.3 million, up 2.72% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+118.3%
EPS
+298.0%
Free cash flow
+124.6%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

99.23 8.02 −7.48%
Market cap
$15.2B
P/E
310×
Fwd P/E
118×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
7/9
Altman Z
37.10
Beneish M
−3.23
Dividend safety
n/a

Lattice Semiconductor Corporation (LSCC) valuation and DCF model

What the price implies · reverse DCF

At $99.23 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 45.5% a year for ten years.

Free cash flow after share-based pay grew −22.3% a year over the last five years. The price asks for 67.8 points a year more than its five-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 25.1%.

Price implies
45.5%
Last 5 years, reported
−22.3%
Industry median implies
25.1%

The headline discounts the last twelve months’ free cash flow after share-based pay at 9.0% for ten years and grows it 2.5% a year after that, the same for every company, so the figure compares across the market (how a reverse DCF works).

The other way round · DCF
The price needs
45.5% a year for ten years
$99.23
today’s price

Both are growth in free cash flow after share-based pay, discounted at 9.0%, with 2.5% a year after year ten.

Base case on its own ten-year record Lattice Semiconductor Corporation’s own growth, carried forward

Its assumptions

Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.

The base case’s inputs, which Powerpack lets you change
1 · Cash flow to equity
the four quarters to September 2026, from the 10-Q and 10-K filings, before share-based pay

Yearly growth in cash flow. It usually slows as the company matures.

Today’s price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 45.5% a year for ten years.

2 · Rates

Cost of equity is the yearly return shareholders require, typically 8–11%. Terminal growth is growth forever after year 10, usually near long-run inflation, 2–3%.

3 · Per share

Diluted shares outstanding. Net debt, under Advanced inputs, is taken off before dividing.

Advanced inputs
negative is net cash
new shares the cash flow does not pay for

Against Lattice Semiconductor Corporation’s own cost of capital: risk-free 4.3% + beta 1.90 × equity premium 4.5% = 12.8% cost of equity; weighted, 12.8%.

Use 12.8%
Equity value $(445.95m) ▼ below market cap $13.93b
Base case value per share $(3.18) equity value ÷ 140.41m shares
Current price $99.23 market price per share
Below today’s price 103.2% downside at the base case’s assumptions

How we got there$174.36m 10 years of cash to equity+$120.50m terminal value−$740.80m net debt=$(445.95m) equity value÷140.41m shares=$(3.18) per share

Valuation against its own history

Today’s multiple against its 5- and 10-year averages and the industry median (Semiconductors).

Multiple Current 5Y avg 10Y avg vs 10Y avg Industry median vs industry 10Y range
P/E 310.48× 840.75× 562.87× 45% below 36.98× 740% above
P/FCF 69.93× 63.61× 55.62× 26% above 43.80× 60% above
P/B 9.86× 13.33× 12.28× 20% below 3.87× 155% above
EV/EBITDA 110.40× 93.78× 74.98× 47% above 20.84× 430% above
EV/Sales 18.22× 15.69× 12.53× 45% above 5.07× 259% above
4.59×9.42×14.26×19.09×10Y avg 12.53×2017201820192020202120222023202420252026

LSCC trades at 18.22× EV/Sales, against a 10-year average of 12.53× (range 2.37×–20.48×). That is dearer than 78% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $66.60 per share.

Every growth rate on this page is the business’s — its cash flow, FFO or dividend — never its share price’s. A discounted-cash-flow model is only as good as its assumptions. Figures from the 10-K and 10-Q filings. Not investment advice.