Lincoln National Corporation
Lincoln National Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $18.2 billion, down 1.25% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +20.3%
- EPS
- +220.9%
- Free cash flow
- +176.7%
- Total debt
- +19.0%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) valuation and DCF model
At $39.20 the price implies 7.0% a year of dividend growth, at a 9.0% cost of equity.
The dividend a share grew 8.1% a year over the last ten years, 1.8% over the last five. The price asks for close to its ten-year rate. Return on equity averaged 11.2% over ten years; the price implies 7.7% for good.
- The price needs
- 7.0% a year for ten years
- $39.20
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 8.1% a year for five years, then 4.9%
- $38.40
- 2.0% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Lincoln National Corporation’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$16.25 10 years of dividends+$22.15 terminal value=$38.40 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 2.38× | 3.89× | 8.06× | 70% below | 11.34× | 79% below | |
| P/FCF | 11.05× | 11.68× | 11.79× | 6% below | 7.43× | 49% above | |
| P/B | 0.73× | 0.87× | 0.78× | 6% below | 1.08× | 32% below | |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 6.94× | 8.96× | — | 3.38× | — | |
| EV/Sales | — | 0.52× | 0.81× | — | 3.90× | — |
LNC trades at 0.73× P/B, against a 10-year average of 0.78× (range 0.43×–1.28×). That is cheaper than 67% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $41.56 per share.