Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) benefits from operational strengths and market conditions that support potential stock price gains. Favorable positioning points to moderate effects on future performance and investor views.
| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 0.60 | 4.31 | 2.80 | 1.64 |
| Receivables | 5.49 | 9.73 | 8.07 | 9.36 |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | 0.25 | 0.39 | — |
| 6.93 | 15.02 | 12.03 | 11.92 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 17.65 | 15.09 | 23.18 | 24.53 |
| ST’ Debt | — | — | — | — |
| Other | 0.13 | — | — | 0.14 |
| 18.84 | 15.68 | 24.60 | 26.00 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 19.57 | 22.54 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 16.37 | 11.11 | 15.19 | 14.74 |
57.42
|
| ’24 | 14.29 | 13.92 | 13.01 | 17.44 |
58.65
|
| ’23 | 14.29 | 10.11 | 12.75 | 13.44 |
50.60
|
| ’22 | 5.55 | 12.46 | 9.87 | 9.74 |
37.61
|
| ’21 | — | — | — | — |
14.78
|
| ’20 | — | — | — | — |
10.12
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 11.09 | 16.87 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 13.01 | 9.49 | 6.68 | 12.36 |
41.54
|
| ’24 | 9.70 | 7.32 | 11.78 | 10.09 |
38.89
|
| ’23 | 13.03 | 6.01 | 9.63 | 9.97 |
38.65
|
| ’22 | 1.24 | 8.31 | 6.39 | 6.10 |
22.04
|
| ’21 | — | — | — | — |
6.22
|
| ’20 | — | — | — | — |
6.45
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 9.22 | (4.80) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 3.05 | (7.41) | (10.69) | (6.06) |
(21.10)
|
| ’24 | 4.38 | 0.89 | 1.99 | 0.39 |
7.65
|
| ’23 | 8.84 | (9.73) | (7.62) | (6.02) |
(14.53)
|
| ’22 | (6.16) | 0.74 | 1.57 | (11.09) |
(14.93)
|
| ’21 | — | — | — | — |
6.22
|
| ’20 | — | — | — | — |
6.45
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 0.11 | 0.23 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.16 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.09 |
0.44
|
| ’24 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.16 |
0.51
|
| ’23 | 0.22 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.14 |
0.54
|
| ’22 | — | — | 0.25 | 0.08 |
0.44
|
| ’21 | — | — | — | — |
3.01
|
| ’20 | — | — | — | — |
(2.94)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.16 | 2.72 | 2.84 | 3.69 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 3.00 | 5.83 | 5.84 | 9.89 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 6.32 | 7.33 | 7.18 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 37.61 | 50.60 | 58.65 | 57.42 | — | — | — |
Revenue
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 86.96% | 88.35% | 85.96% | 83.90% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 16.64 | 22.64 | 23.98 | 20.35 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 44.26% | 44.74% | 40.88% | 35.43% | — | — | — |
EBT Margin
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 16.64 | 19.28 | 18.12 | 15.48 | — | — | — |
Net Income
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.58 | 15.01 | 15.89 | 17.04 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.06 | 1.42 | 1.64 | 1.62 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.45 | 0.54 | 0.51 | 0.44 | — | — | — |
Earnings/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.62 | 1.08 | 1.09 | 1.17 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | (1.04) | (1.49) | (0.88) | (1.77) | — | — | — |
Capex/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.42) | (0.41) | 0.21 | (0.59) | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.22 | 4.78 | 5.29 | 5.75 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 35.61 | 35.62 | 35.66 | 35.47 | — | — | — |
Shares
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.27 | 6.85 | 10.64 | 9.14 | — | — | — |
PE Ratio
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 2.67 | 2.65 | 3.23 | 2.43 | — | — | — |
PS Ratio
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.67 | 0.79 | 1.00 | 0.68 | — | — | — |
PB Ratio
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 3.12 | 3.25 | 3.75 | 3.25 | — | — | — |
EV/Sales
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | (7.85) | (11.33) | 28.76 | (8.85) | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 22.04 | 38.65 | 38.89 | 41.54 | — | — | — |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (36.97) | (53.17) | (31.24) | (62.64) | — | — | — |
Capex
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (14.93) | (14.53) | 7.65 | (21.10) | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (6.57) | (11.92) | (0.66) | (12.57) | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 17.85 | 29.77 | 33.41 | 49.12 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 16.81 | 29.18 | 29.09 | 46.33 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 150.20 | 170.41 | 188.81 | 203.88 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.78% | 9.44% | 7.66% | 5.70% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 7.99% | 7.72% | 7.98% | 5.92% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.78% | 12.03% | 10.09% | 7.88% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI), a micro-cap shale driller in Oklahoma’s CanAm region, has staged a gritty comeback from 2020’s pandemic wreckage, tripling revenue to $58.7 million by 2024 while boasting gross margins above 85% and sky-high employee productivity ($7.3 million per head with just 8 staff). Free cash flow flipped positive at $7.6 million in 2024 after years of burns, fueling a stock surge from $0.16 lows in 2022 to recent highs near $5, with reasonable valuations (P/E 10.6x, PB 1.0x) and analysts eyeing 85% upside on sustained growth.
Yet, this resilience masks underappreciated traps: rising debt to $33 million, persistent capex demands, and a 41% share dilution history that could erode per-share gains if oil prices crater below $60 amid geopolitics or energy transition headwinds. ROE at 10-12% impresses for the sector, but FCF fragility and micro-cap execution risks scream caution in a cyclical pitfall-ridden industry.
KGEI’s lean machine merits a watchlist spot for cycle-tested investors, promising self-funded drilling and BVPS growth to $6+—but only with vigilant hedging, as history shows juniors like this can evaporate overnight. Dive deeper for the full risk-reward dissection.
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