| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 0.82 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 0.72 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.68 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.64 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.60 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.48 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.36 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.32 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.28 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 0.24 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 0.06 |
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 2,455.35 | 2,913.27 | 1,905.98 | 1,537.71 |
| Receivables | — | — | — | — |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 12,941.46 | 13,073.74 | 12,665.42 | 12,844.08 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 11,063.19 | 11,065.32 | 10,878.08 | 10,514.05 |
| ST’ Debt | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 12,345.25 | 12,304.25 | 11,741.50 | 11,996.23 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 372.71 | 389.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 406.14 | 389.82 | 418.07 | 411.17 |
1,625.19
|
| ’24 | 391.23 | 400.45 | 411.49 | 404.18 |
1,607.35
|
| ’23 | 353.92 | 404.08 | 413.60 | 395.75 |
1,567.35
|
| ’22 | 335.97 | 374.41 | 363.45 | 349.76 |
1,423.58
|
| ’21 | 564.51 | 474.72 | 493.12 | 407.90 |
1,940.25
|
| ’20 | 416.59 | 603.06 | 632.54 | 584.79 |
2,236.98
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (127.27) | (157.46) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 5.84 | (234.60) | 272.95 | (82.89) |
(38.70)
|
| ’24 | 70.85 | (435.31) | 515.58 | 122.81 |
273.93
|
| ’23 | (108.46) | (215.16) | 503.53 | 263.11 |
443.02
|
| ’22 | 388.63 | 357.00 | 490.18 | (46.36) |
1,189.45
|
| ’21 | 313.82 | (639.75) | 1,199.49 | (107.93) |
765.62
|
| ’20 | (582.77) | 452.07 | 205.35 | 205.79 |
280.44
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (133.70) | (155.85) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 53.27 | (214.12) | 271.86 | (91.63) |
19.38
|
| ’24 | 70.53 | (432.27) | 514.04 | 122.16 |
274.45
|
| ’23 | (108.15) | (217.08) | 502.48 | 261.54 |
438.80
|
| ’22 | 388.10 | 354.78 | 487.41 | (46.09) |
1,184.19
|
| ’21 | 306.34 | (645.71) | 1,195.09 | (90.50) |
765.22
|
| ’20 | (585.17) | 451.06 | 204.35 | 193.97 |
264.20
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 0.64 | 0.63 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.65 | 0.57 | 0.74 | 0.69 |
2.64
|
| ’24 | 0.42 | 0.31 | 0.46 | 0.55 |
1.74
|
| ’23 | 0.40 | 0.28 | 0.57 | 0.44 |
1.69
|
| ’22 | 0.28 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.39 |
1.60
|
| ’21 | 1.46 | 1.21 | 1.15 | 0.78 |
4.61
|
| ’20 | 0.55 | 1.42 | 1.70 | 1.35 |
5.01
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 24.18 | 26.78 | 28.35 | 26.67 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 38.23 | 35.66 | 35.45 | 36.14 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4,170 | 3,820 | 3,646 | 3,550 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.34 | 0.41 | 0.44 | 0.46 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,423.58 | 1,567.35 | 1,607.35 | 1,625.19 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 90.72% | 76.30% | 73.96% | 78.87% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 156.13 | 149.12 | 154.26 | 221.06 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.97% | 9.51% | 9.60% | 13.60% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | — |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 119.29 | 117.98 | 123.21 | 172.02 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 32.63 | 19.63 | 19.95 | 15.71 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 20.21 | 24.10 | 24.71 | 25.92 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 1.61 | 1.69 | 1.74 | 2.64 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | — |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 16.89 | 6.81 | 4.21 | (0.62) | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.07) | (0.06) | 0.01 | 0.93 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | — |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 16.81 | 6.75 | 4.22 | 0.31 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 29.30 | 33.06 | 34.11 | 35.05 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 70.43 | 65.04 | 65.04 | 62.70 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 18.50 | 20.60 | 16.45 | 12.81 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | — |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.49 | 1.44 | 1.16 | 1.31 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | — |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.03 | 1.05 | 0.84 | 0.97 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | — |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.78 | 0.74 | 0.18 | 0.97 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | — |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.94 | 2.63 | 1.08 | 80.96 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,189.45 | 443.02 | 273.93 | (38.70) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | — |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (5.25) | (4.23) | 0.52 | 58.08 | — | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,184.19 | 438.80 | 274.45 | 19.38 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (214.31) | 596.21 | 769.49 | 923.92 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,447.00 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1,006.26) | (2,455.35) | (2,913.27) | (1,905.98) | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,063.53 | 2,150.33 | 2,218.31 | 2,197.61 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.65% | 0.67% | 0.69% | 1.03% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 47.38% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.91% | 5.20% | 5.18% | 7.50% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Hilltop Holdings Inc. (HTH), a diversified regional financial player anchored in mortgage banking and investment services, has weathered the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate hikes with notable resilience, trading near analyst price targets amid sector turbulence. Revenues soared to $2.24 billion in 2020 on pandemic refinancing but plunged 27% to $1.42 billion in 2022 as mortgage rates doubled; recovery has been modest, with 2024 at $1.61 billion and projections dipping to $1.26 billion in 2026 before rebounding. Profitability echoes this volatility—EBT margins peaked at 25% in 2020 but stabilized at 9.6% in 2024—bolstered by sharp headcount reductions (down 32% since 2016) and aggressive share buybacks that lifted revenue per employee 36% and book value per share 79%.
The balance sheet stands as a fortress, with equity up 19% to $2.22 billion, a cash-rich negative net debt position, and ROE at 5.2% above regional bank medians post-2023 banking scares. Valuation metrics scream undervaluation: P/B at 0.84, P/E compressing to 16.5, and EV/FCF at 1.08, while recent insider buying—net 45,000 shares—outpaces sales, signaling confidence ahead of anticipated Fed easing.
Looking forward, HTH is poised for steady gains as rates soften to 3-4%, potentially reviving originations 20-30%, with EPS climbing to $2.40 by 2027 and 5-10% annualized returns through 2028. This cycle-tested “coiled spring” offers defensive appeal in a geopolitically volatile landscape, outperforming flashier fintechs—for those patient with methodical financials.
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