Alphabet Inc.
GOOG Communication Services Internet Content & Information
Alphabet Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $402.8 billion, up 15.1% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +24.7%
- EPS
- −26.0%
- Free cash flow
- −137.1%
- Total debt
- +479.0%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) valuation and DCF model
At $282.56 the price implies revenue of $4,408.83 billion by year ten, growing 25.1% a year, at a 10% free-cash-flow margin then.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew 13.8% a year over the last ten years, 4.8% over the last five.
In December 2017 the price assumed 15.2% a year; Alphabet Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 14.6% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 25.1% a year for ten years
- $282.56
- today’s price
- Its base case
- 18.3% a year for five years, then 11.0%
- $129.39
- 54.2% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record Alphabet Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$333.45b 10 years of cash to equity+$1.22t terminal value+$140.00b net cash=$1.70t equity value÷13.12b shares=$129.39 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 14.57× | 22.03× | 27.39× | 47% below | 12.38× | 18% above | |
| P/FCF | 175.37× | 60.88× | 49.22× | 256% above | 10.76× | 1530% above | |
| P/B | 5.25× | 6.48× | 5.89× | 11% below | 1.24× | 325% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.97× | 17.98× | 18.35× | 2% below | 10.74× | 67% above | |
| EV/Sales | 7.05× | 6.39× | 6.01× | 17% above | 1.20× | 487% above |
GOOG trades at 14.57× P/E, against a 10-year average of 27.39× (range 14.57×–58.45×). That is cheaper than 100% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $531.16 per share.