DexCom, Inc.
DXCM Healthcare Medical Devices
DexCom, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $4.7 billion, up 15.6% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +11.2%
- EPS
- 0.00%
- Free cash flow
- −52.9%
- Total debt
- +0.31%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
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DexCom, Inc. (DXCM) valuation and DCF model
At $79.79 the price implies free cash flow after share-based pay growing 12.1% a year for ten years.
Free cash flow after share-based pay grew −16.0% a year over the last five years. The price asks for 28.1 points a year more than its five-year rate. The industry’s median company is priced for 12.5%.
In December 2019 the price assumed 33.8% a year; DexCom, Inc. went on to grow free cash flow after share-based pay 75.1% a year to FY2025.
- The price needs
- 12.1% a year for ten years
- $79.79
- today’s price
- Its base case
- −10.0% a year for five years, then −6.0%
- $18.42
- 76.9% below today’s price
Base case on its own ten-year record DexCom, Inc.’s own growth, carried forward
Its assumptions
Powerpack lets you start from a scenario and type over any of them.
How we got there$3.94b 10 years of cash to equity+$2.73b terminal value+$574.20m net cash=$7.24b equity value÷393.18m shares=$18.42 per share
Valuation against its own history
| Multiple | Current | 5Y avg | 10Y avg | vs 10Y avg | Industry median | vs industry | 10Y range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 32.61× | 66.81× | 110.93× | 71% below | 25.58× | 27% above | |
| P/FCF | 28.81× | 68.17× | 101.51× | 72% below | 28.81× | 0% above | |
| P/B | 12.48× | 16.08× | 17.54× | 29% below | 2.48× | 403% above | |
| EV/EBITDA | 21.24× | 44.45× | 69.48× | 69% below | 11.51× | 85% above | |
| EV/Sales | 6.24× | 9.54× | 11.59× | 46% below | 2.72× | 130% above |
DXCM trades at 6.24× EV/Sales, against a 10-year average of 11.59× (range 5.56×–20.92×). That is cheaper than 89% of the last 9 year-end readings; re-rating to the average implies $147.00 per share.